The chart below shows how RTX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, RTX sees a -2.14% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.03% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.63%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Sales Growth Overview: In 2024, RTX achieved $80.8 billion in adjusted sales, reflecting an 11% organic growth driven by 14% growth in commercial OE, 13% in commercial aftermarket, and 9% in defense sales.
EPS Growth and Profit Expansion: Adjusted EPS increased by 13% year-over-year to $5.73, supported by a 29% rise in segment operating profit and a 180 basis points expansion in segment operating margin.
Free Cash Flow Highlights: Free cash flow for the year totaled $4.5 billion, contributing to a total of over $33 billion returned to shareholders since the merger, including $3.7 billion in 2024.
Backlog Growth and Demand: The backlog reached $218 billion, an 11% increase year-over-year, with a record $93 billion in defense backlog, indicating strong future demand.
Sales and Profit Projections: In 2025, RTX expects adjusted sales between $83 billion and $84 billion, translating to 4% to 6% organic growth, alongside anticipated segment profit growth of 10% to 13% and adjusted EPS of $6 to $6.15.
Negative
Adjusted EPS Analysis: Adjusted EPS from continuing operations was $1.10, which included $0.30 of acquisition accounting adjustments, indicating a significant impact from non-recurring items on overall earnings.
Free Cash Flow Analysis: Free cash flow for Q4 was $492 million, bringing the full year total to $4.5 billion, which included approximately $1.1 billion of powder metal compensation, highlighting ongoing cash flow pressures.
Financial Strain Analysis: The full year included approximately $2.6 billion of impacts from powder metal, legal matters, and the Raytheon contract matter, indicating substantial financial strain from these issues.
Commercial OE Sales Decline: Collins' commercial OE sales for the quarter were down 6% versus the prior year, driven primarily by lower narrow body volume on the 737 MAX, reflecting challenges in the commercial aerospace segment.
Sales Growth Challenges: Raytheon's sales growth was partially offset by the impact from the cybersecurity divestiture and lower volume on air and space defense systems, indicating a negative trend in certain defense segments.
Earnings call transcript: RTX Q4 2024 beats expectations, stock steady
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