SPGI Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how SPGI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SPGI sees a -1.31% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.06% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.27%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
SPGI Key Earning Data
SPGI Earnings Analysis
Positive
Earnings Per Share Beat: S&P Global Inc. reported an EPS of $4.37, exceeding expectations of $4.20, indicating strong financial performance.
Overall Revenue Growth: Total revenue increased by 8% year over year, showcasing growth across all five divisions of the company.
Subscription Revenue Growth: Revenue from subscription products grew by 7%, reflecting the company's successful focus on recurring revenue streams.
Margin Expansion Achievement: The company achieved a year-over-year margin expansion of 240 basis points, demonstrating improved operational efficiency.
Shareholder Value Commitment: S&P Global returned over $900 million to shareholders in the first quarter through dividends and share repurchases, highlighting its commitment to shareholder value.
Divestiture Announcement: The company announced a definitive agreement to divest the Ostra joint venture, which is expected to close in the second half of the year, indicating proactive portfolio management.
Mobility Division Spin-Off: S&P Global plans to separate its mobility division into a standalone public company, expected to be tax-free and completed within 12 to 18 months, which could enhance strategic focus and shareholder value.
User Engagement Growth: Active users across Capital IQ platforms, PlattsConnect, and Automotive Mastermind increased by 23% year over year, indicating strong customer engagement and demand for services.
Strong Industry Position: Record attendance at major conferences like CERAWeek and TPM 25 reflects the company's strong position in the industry and its ability to attract key stakeholders.
Sustainability Revenue Growth: Sustainability and energy transition revenue grew by 20% to $93 million, driven by strong demand for related products, showcasing the company's innovation in key growth areas.
Private Markets Revenue Surge: Private markets revenue increased by 21% year over year, indicating robust growth in debt and bank loan ratings, as well as private market solutions.
Consistent Revenue Performance: S&P Global's ratings division achieved its fifth consecutive quarter of over $1 billion in revenue, with an 8% year-over-year increase, demonstrating consistent performance in a competitive market.
Revenue Increase Driven by Growth: The company reported a 15% increase in revenue for S&P Dow Jones Indices, driven by strong growth in asset-linked fees and exchange-traded derivatives, reflecting the strength of its index business.
Negative
Earnings Beat, Bond Decline: Despite beating earnings expectations with an EPS of $4.37 compared to the expected $4.2, the company anticipates a decline in bond issuance for the remainder of 2025, with expectations of a double-digit decrease in the second quarter year-over-year.
Bond Issuance Outlook Revision: The company has revised its outlook for bond issuance to be flat year-over-year, down from initial expectations of low single-digit growth, indicating a more cautious market environment.
Market Volatility Impact: Market volatility and geopolitical risks are creating unpredictable conditions, leading to a slowing pace of decision-making among customers, which could impact future revenue growth.
M&A Volume Outlook: The company expects M&A volumes to be flat year-over-year, contrary to previous assumptions of modest improvements, reflecting a lack of confidence in the market recovery.
Transaction Revenue Decline: There is a noted decline in transaction revenue due to reduced bond issuance, which is expected to impact the cadence of revenue in the ratings division.
Market Uncertainty Risks: The company acknowledges that trade conflicts and supply chain risks are making it challenging to predict central bank actions and capital market activity, which could negatively affect performance.
Rising Expense Pressures: Adjusted expenses increased by 6%, which, while managed, indicates rising costs that could pressure margins in the future.
Operating Income Impact: The planned sale of the Ostra joint venture is expected to lower operating income without a corresponding revenue impact, which will directly affect margins for the year.
SPGI FAQs
How does SPGI typically perform around its earnings report dates?
SPGI's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -1.31% change leading up to the report and a +2.06% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is S&P Global Inc (SPGI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
SPGI Earning Call Sentiment
S&P Global Inc. (NYSE:SPGI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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