The chart below shows how SPGI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SPGI sees a -1.24% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.04% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.84%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
EPS Growth Exceeds Guidance: S&P Global reported a 25% growth in adjusted EPS for 2024, exceeding the midpoint of initial guidance by over 13%.
Revenue Increase Overview: Total revenue increased by 15% in 2024, excluding the impact of divested Engineering Solutions, with subscription product revenue growing by 7%.
Shareholder Return Strategy: The company returned $4.4 billion to shareholders in 2024 through dividends and share repurchases, maintaining a target of returning 85% or more of expected adjusted free cash flow in 2025.
Energy Transition Revenue Growth: Energy transition and sustainability revenue grew by 23% to $104 million in Q4 2024, driven by strong performance in Commodity Insights offerings.
Vitality Index Revenue Growth: S&P Global's Vitality Index reached $1.5 billion, representing nearly 11% of total revenue, with a steady stream of innovative offerings expected to replace maturing products.
Negative
Market Intelligence Revenue Slowdown: Market Intelligence revenue growth was only 5% in Q4 2024, indicating a slowdown compared to previous quarters, with cancellations early in the year impacting overall performance.
Operating Margin Decline: Operating margin for Market Intelligence decreased by 160 basis points to 32.6% in Q4 2024, reflecting increased expenses primarily due to elevated incentive compensation.
Rising Adjusted Expenses: Adjusted expenses increased by 9% in Q4 2024, driven by ongoing investments and increased incentive compensation, which negatively impacted overall profitability.
Revenue Decline Concerns: The Vitality Index saw a significant drop in revenue contribution from maturing products, with $330 million in revenue maturing out in 2023, representing nearly 25% of the total index, raising concerns about future revenue replacement.
2025 Billed Issuance Outlook: Guidance for 2025 indicates low single-digit growth in billed issuance, a significant deceleration from the record high levels seen in 2024, suggesting potential challenges ahead.
S&P Global Inc. (NYSE:SPGI) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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