MELI Earning Date, Earning Analysis and Earning Prediction

Quarterly Results

MELI Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, MELI remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q2 project quarter revenue of 8.67B and an EPS of 13.51.

However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates have been unchanged by 0%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted unchanged by 0%. These revisions correlate with a -6.23% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in MELI long-term fundamentals.

The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

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AI Analysis

Earnings Surprise Analysis

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Earnings Reaction

The chart below shows how MELI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MELI sees a -4.11% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a 1.75% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by 1.8%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.

For example, in MAR/2026, the stock changed -12.7% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -10.27% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What were the key highlights of MELI's latest earnings report for ?

MELI reported its earnings on 2026-05-07, showcasing a revenue of 8.85B against an estimate of 8.41B, resulting in a 5.17% surprise. The EPS was 8.23, surpassing the expected 8.78 by -6.26%. The stock experienced a -12.7% price change on the earnings day and a -16.47% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

How did MELI's stock price react after the earnings release?

Following MELI's earnings announcement on 2026-05-07, the stock price moved by -12.7% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -16.47% change. Historically, MELI's stock price tends to shift by an average of -4.11% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 1.75% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

What are the revenue and EPS estimates for MELI for 2026/Q2?

For 2026/Q2, analysts estimate MELI's annual revenue to reach 8.67B, while the EPS is projected at 13.51. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

How does MELI's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between MELI's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

What should investors expect from MELI's next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, MELI's stock price typically moves by -4.11% in the 10 days before its earnings and 1.75% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q2 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 13.51 and revenue of 8.67B.

What is the sentiment in MercadoLibre Inc (MELI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary highlights strong financial metrics, growth in buyer engagement, and record-high NPS, but also mentions NIM compression in Brazil and potential margin changes due to investment intensity. The Q&A section reveals stable asset quality and strategic investments but lacks detailed guidance on margin impacts from external factors like oil prices. Given these mixed signals, the stock price is likely to remain neutral in the short term as positive operational trends are balanced by uncertainties in margins and external cost pressures.