Should I Buy Roku Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ROKU has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
ROKU stock price ended at $68.78 on Monday, after rising 12.88%
The Roku Inc stock price increased by 12.88% on the last trading day (12 May 2025), rising from 65.5 to 68.78. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 6.43% , ranging from a day low of $65.2 to a day high of 69.39. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.94% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 5.02M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 8.11M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 551.60M.
ROKU Technical Signals
ROKU(Roku Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-09. The total price change during this trend is +8.10%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of ROKU over the last 5 trading days is 239.61M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
ROKU Moving Average Analysis
Roku Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, May 13, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $72.38869666666668, and $77.24009666666667. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $56.691496666666666, and $51.84009666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
ROKU Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Roku Inc(ROKU) as of 09 May 2025 is 28.24%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 61.36 to 60.93. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.893
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
105.729
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-2.317
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.97
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-17.457
Bearish
ROKU Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Roku Inc(ROKU), our algorithm predicts ROKU's 1-month price at $45.97, with an -24.56%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.42%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Roku Inc (ROKU.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a -24.56% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with VRCA.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.42%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
ROKU
No Data
VRCA
Down: -24.56%Similarity: 92.42%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
VRCA.O
92.42%
-24.56%
PBI.N
91.99%
+7.22%
SPNS.O
91.77%
+9.95%
BRO.N
91.67%
-5.99%
ALKS.O
91.24%
-8.88%
NMG.N
91.17%
-14.63%
BL.O
90.96%
+19.37%
ROKU Seasonality Analysis
Based on ROKU's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is62.50%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ROKU. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at85.71%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Roku Inc (ROKU.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (85.71%), while March has the lowest probability (25.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Roku Inc. (ROKU)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Roku Inc (ROKU.O) stock?
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