Should I Buy Pultegroup Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PHM has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
PHM stock price ended at $98.21 on Friday, after losing -0.38%
The Pultegroup Inc stock price decreased by -0.38% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), dropping from 97.36 to 98.21. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.64% , ranging from a day low of $97.01 to a day high of 98.6. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -4.16% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -928.00K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.39M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 136.33M.
PHM Technical Signals
PHM(Pultegroup Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-05. The total price change during this trend is -5.27%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of PHM over the last 5 trading days is 185.68M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
PHM Moving Average Analysis
Pultegroup Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $109.9824, and $114.49. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $95.3976, and $90.89. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
PHM Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Pultegroup Inc(PHM) as of 16 May 2025 is 18.82%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 102.77 to 104.41. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
8.707
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-190.524
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.226
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
-0
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-89.831
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-4.26
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.258
Bearish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
PHM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Pultegroup Inc(PHM), our algorithm predicts PHM's 1-month price at $101.49, with an -2.8%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.67%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Pultegroup Inc (PHM.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -2.8% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with TOL.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.67%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
PHM
No Data
TOL
Down: -2.8%Similarity: 95.67%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
TOL.N
95.67%
-2.80%
MTH.N
95.09%
-6.97%
DUK.N
93.84%
+1.81%
STRR.O
93.82%
+3.88%
CMRE.N
93.64%
+1.30%
NTES.O
93.60%
-5.11%
XRX.O
93.55%
+8.42%
ARI.N
93.49%
-3.12%
BH.N
93.46%
-1.59%
MOG.B.N
93.44%
-3.24%
PHM Seasonality Analysis
Based on PHM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is36.36%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in PHM. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Pultegroup Inc (PHM.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while December has the lowest probability (30.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Pultegroup Inc. (PHM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Pultegroup Inc (PHM.N) stock?
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