MAX Stock Price Prediction

Mediaalpha Inc

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9.590

+1.190(+14.170%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Mediaalpha Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MAX has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

MAX stock price ended at $9.59 on Thursday, after rising 14.17%

The Mediaalpha Inc stock price increased by 14.17% on the last trading day (01 May 2025), rising from 9.91 to 9.59. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 18.05% , ranging from a day low of $9.14 to a day high of 10.79. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 26.52% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 1.09M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.64M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 15.92M.

MAX Technical Signals

MAX(Mediaalpha Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-03-10. The total price change during this trend is +16.38%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of MAX over the last 5 trading days is 7.90M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

MAX Moving Average Analysis

Mediaalpha Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, May 2, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $10.966099999999999, and $12.283999999999999. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $6.7019, and $5.384. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

MAX Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Mediaalpha Inc(MAX) as of 30 Apr 2025 is 6.43%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 8.75 to 8.40. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.0405

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

2.01

Bullish

Moving Average

Price crosses above 5-day SMA

Bullish

Moving Average

Price crosses above 60-day SMA

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

80.223

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

271.021

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.0725

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

92.028

Bearish

MAX Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Mediaalpha Inc(MAX), our algorithm predicts MAX's 1-month price at $8.30, with an -1.36%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.33%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Mediaalpha Inc (MAX.N) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a -1.36% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with XPER.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.33%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

MAX

Future prediction

Up: -1.36%

XPER

Down: -1.36%Similarity: 98.33%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

XPER.N

98.33%

-1.36%

BRT.N

97.87%

-4.10%

ENOV.N

97.86%

-1.42%

RNST.N

97.82%

+1.54%

SNFCA.O

97.81%

+3.88%

INDB.O

97.76%

+3.04%

UPLD.O

97.74%

-34.43%

ONEW.O

97.73%

-8.04%

RICK.O

97.73%

+0.27%

AAME.O

97.71%

-12.07%

MAX Seasonality Analysis

Based on MAX's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is40.00%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in MAX. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Mediaalpha Inc (MAX.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while March has the lowest probability (20.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Mediaalpha Inc. (MAX)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.