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MAX Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Mediaalpha Inc(MAX) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Mediaalpha Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-29After Hours0.210.26+23.81283.71M306.51M+8.04+9.98+20.05
FY2025Q22025-08-06After Hours0.16-0.33-306.25248.80M251.62M+1.13+10.05-5.02
FY2025Q12025-04-30After Hours0.17-0.04-123.53235.99M264.31M+12.00+14.17+18.21
FY2024Q42025-02-24After Hours0.240.08-66.67289.38M300.65M+3.89-18.49-21.21
FY2024Q32024-10-30After Hours0.130.17+30.77247.46M259.13M+4.72-17.37-43.95
FY2024Q22024-07-31-0.020.07+250.00151.82M178.27M+17.43+1.66+14.35
FY2024Q12024-05-01--0.11-0.02+81.82110.86M126.65M+14.24+4.00+9.53
FY2023Q42024-02-20--0.21-0.05+76.19113.57M117.17M+3.18-1.99+33.68
FY2023Q32023-11-01--0.34-0.29+14.7172.55M74.57M+2.79+0.68-7.98
FY2023Q22023-08-02--0.35-0.32+8.5778.82M84.77M+7.55-8.25-7.22
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MAX Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Mediaalpha Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-29. The company achieved an EPS of 0.26, compared to analyst estimates of 0.21 by 23.81% . Revenue for the quarter reached 306.51M compared to expectations of 283.71M by 8.04% .
The stock price reacted with a 9.98% one-day change and a 20.05% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Mediaalpha Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

MAX Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Mediaalpha Inc(MAX) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 296.92M and an EPS of 0.24.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 2.26%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 227.18%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.49% . These revisions correlate with a 8.79% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Mediaalpha Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between MAX's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+2.26%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+227.18%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.49%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+8.79%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.12B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.14
—
Stock Price13.49
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Financial AI Agent

MAX Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Mediaalpha Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-29,After Hours):
EPS: 0.26 (Actual) vs.0.21 (Estimate) (23.81%)
Revenue: 306.51M (Actual) vs. 283.71M (Estimate) (8.04%)
Price Reaction: 9.98%(1-Day), 20.05%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: -0.33 (Actual) vs.0.16 (Estimate) (-306.25%)
Revenue: 251.62M (Actual) vs. 248.80M (Estimate) (1.13%)
Price Reaction: 10.05%(1-Day), -5.02%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,After Hours):
EPS: -0.04 (Actual) vs.0.17 (Estimate) (-123.53%)
Revenue: 264.31M (Actual) vs. 235.99M (Estimate) (12.00%)
Price Reaction: 14.17%(1-Day), 18.21%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MAX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MAX sees a -4.38% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.03% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.14%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 9.98% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 19.06% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Mediaalpha Inc (MAX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-29
The earnings call presents mixed signals. While there is growth in P&C and a positive long-term outlook for Medicare Advantage, the decline in Health vertical and flat adjusted EBITDA growth are concerning. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism but also highlights uncertainties, particularly in carrier investments and market transitions. The overall sentiment remains balanced, with no strong positive or negative catalysts evident.
Mediaalpha Inc (MAX) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-08-07
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there is strong growth in the P&C vertical and positive cash flow, the company faces significant challenges in the health insurance segment, including a large FTC settlement and declining transaction values. The market strategy shows optimism, but increased overhead costs and lower take rates may pressure margins. The Q&A reveals some optimism but lacks clarity on certain strategic impacts. Overall, the positive and negative factors balance out, leading to a neutral sentiment.
Mediaalpha Inc (MAX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-30
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant growth in transaction value and adjusted EBITDA. However, concerns arise from regulatory issues with the FTC, potential tariff impacts, and a decline in the health insurance vertical. The Q&A section shows management's optimism, but also highlights uncertainties, particularly regarding the FTC matter and tariffs. The exit from the travel vertical and overhead increase add to the mixed outlook. Overall, the positive financials are counterbalanced by these risks, resulting in a neutral stock price prediction.
Mediaalpha Inc (MAX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-30
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook. While there are strong financial metrics, such as 116% transaction value growth and doubled adjusted EBITDA, there are concerns about increased competition, regulatory issues, and a significant write-off of intangible assets. The lack of a shareholder return plan and potential headwinds from tariffs and FTC matters also weigh on sentiment. Positive guidance and market potential in Medicare Advantage are offset by uncertainties, resulting in a neutral sentiment, suggesting a stock price movement within -2% to 2% over the next two weeks.
Mediaalpha Inc (MAX) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-25
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While financial performance shows strong growth in transaction value and adjusted EBITDA, regulatory risks with the FTC and competitive pressures in the insurance market pose significant uncertainties. The absence of a share repurchase program and lack of clear guidance on the FTC situation further contribute to the neutral sentiment. Despite optimistic guidance and bullishness in the P&C market, the market's response may be tempered by these risks and uncertainties.
MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-31
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with record transaction value growth and significant increases in revenue and EBITDA guidance. Despite regulatory challenges and competitive pressures, the company maintains a competitive advantage and solid financial health. The Q&A highlights ongoing recovery in the market and resilience to external factors like hurricanes. However, the lack of a share repurchase program and vague responses in the Q&A slightly temper the overall positive sentiment. Given the robust guidance and financial performance, the stock is likely to see a positive movement of 2% to 8%.
MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-31
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with significant year-over-year growth in transaction value, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA. The company has also shown effective cost management, increased cash generation, and debt repayment. While there are risks such as the FTC inquiry and a short seller report, management remains optimistic about market recovery and future growth. The Q&A section reinforces this optimism, with positive outlooks for both the P&C and health businesses. Despite some uncertainties, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a potential stock price increase of 2% to 8%.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of MAX’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

MAX reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 306.51M against an estimate of 283.71M, resulting in a 8.04% surprise. The EPS was 0.26, surpassing the expected 0.21 by 23.81% . The stock experienced a 9.98% price change on the earnings day and a 20.05% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did MAX’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following MAX’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by 9.98% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 20.05% change. Historically, MAX’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -4.38% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.03% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for MAX for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate MAX’s annual revenue to reach 296.92M, while the EPS is projected at 0.24. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 2.26% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.49% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does MAX’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between MAX’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 2.26%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.49% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from MAX’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, MAX’s stock price typically moves by -4.38% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.03% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.24 and revenue of 296.92M.
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What is the sentiment in Mediaalpha Inc (MAX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call presents mixed signals. While there is growth in P&C and a positive long-term outlook for Medicare Advantage, the decline in Health vertical and flat adjusted EBITDA growth are concerning. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism but also highlights uncertainties, particularly in carrier investments and market transitions. The overall sentiment remains balanced, with no strong positive or negative catalysts evident.
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