HOV Earnings

HOV reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2025-12-04, showcasing a revenue of 818.00M against an estimate of 815.00M, resulting in a 0.42% surprise. The EPS was -0.51, surpassing the expected 0.63 by -180.95% . The stock experienced a -22.51% price change on the earnings day and a -25.65% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following HOV's FY2025Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-12-04, the stock price moved by -22.51% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -25.65% change. Historically, HOV's stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.97% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -2.51% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate HOV’s annual revenue to reach 629.00M, while the EPS is projected at -1.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue No Change by 0% and EPS estimates No Change by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between HOV's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates moved No Change by 0% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, HOV's stock price typically moves by -0.97% in the 10 days before its earnings and -2.51% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -1.00 and revenue of 629.00M.

The earnings call reveals a decline in revenue and deliveries, increased incentives leading to margin pressure, high debt levels, and a challenging market environment. While there are some improvements, such as cost controls and a focus on newer land acquisitions, the overall sentiment remains negative due to the reliance on incentives, volatile sales environment, and high debt-to-capital ratio. The Q&A session did not significantly alter this sentiment, as improvements in gross margins are expected only in the future. The company's financial health concerns and market uncertainties suggest a negative stock price reaction.