HOV Stock Price Prediction

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc

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109.400

-2.110(-1.890%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Hovnanian Enterprises Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. HOV has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

HOV stock price ended at $109.4 on Monday, after losing -1.89%

The Hovnanian Enterprises Inc stock price decreased by -1.89% on the last trading day (19 May 2025), dropping from 108.31 to 111.51. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.17% , ranging from a day low of $107.07 to a day high of 111.54. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 8.56% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 17.82K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 50.28K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 5.56M.

HOV Technical Signals

HOV(Hovnanian Enterprises Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-05-02. The total price change during this trend is +8.56%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of HOV over the last 5 trading days is 5.43M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

HOV Moving Average Analysis

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, May 19, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $116.56660000000001, and $123.13700000000001. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $95.30740000000002, and $88.73700000000001. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

HOV Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Hovnanian Enterprises Inc(HOV) as of 12 May 2025 is 24.22%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 101.53 to 108.01. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

9.971

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

8.79

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

2.385

Bullish

2 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

139.667

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-15.518

Bearish

HOV Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Hovnanian Enterprises Inc(HOV), our algorithm predicts HOV's 1-month price at $114.70, with an 2.86%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 93.21%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 2.86% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SUZ.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 93.21%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

HOV

Future prediction

Up: 2.86%

SUZ

Up: 2.86%Similarity: 93.21%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

SUZ.N

93.21%

+2.86%

AQN.N

92.96%

+3.02%

AIZ.N

92.80%

+2.23%

HOV Seasonality Analysis

Based on HOV's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in HOV. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV.N) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while June has the lowest probability (30.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (HOV)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.