Should I Buy Li Auto Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. LI has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
LI stock price ended at $26.42 on Wednesday, after losing -1.93%
The Li Auto Inc stock price decreased by -1.93% on the last trading day (18 Jun 2025), dropping from 26.515 to 26.42. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.34% , ranging from a day low of $26.18 to a day high of 26.53. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -10.32% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -1.34M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.94M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 77.73M.
LI Technical Signals
LI(Li Auto Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-04. The total price change during this trend is -10.32%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of LI over the last 5 trading days is 84.09M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
LI Moving Average Analysis
Li Auto Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, June 20, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $31.130731533333336, and $32.80003333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $25.729535133333332, and $24.060233333333333. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
LI Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Li Auto Inc(LI) as of 17 Jun 2025 is 24.06%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 28.20 to 26.94. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
9.533
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-210.694
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.143
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
5.13
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-94.508
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.228
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-3.04
Bearish
Closing price
close < fibonacci_S1
26.42
Bearish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
LI Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Li Auto Inc(LI), our algorithm predicts LI's 1-month price at $28.76, with an 3.6%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.70%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Li Auto Inc (LI.O) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a 3.6% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with MTH.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.7%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
LI
No Data
MTH
Up: 3.6%Similarity: 95.7%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
MTH.N
95.70%
+3.60%
NBR.N
95.20%
+15.94%
SLF.N
95.08%
+4.47%
NTES.O
95.05%
-4.44%
SPH.N
94.81%
+8.57%
AAMI.N
94.80%
+13.60%
GCO.N
94.77%
-6.13%
UFPI.O
94.75%
-3.54%
BLK.N
94.66%
+7.91%
ACM.N
94.65%
-5.17%
LI Seasonality Analysis
Based on LI's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is60.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in LI. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Li Auto Inc (LI.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while April has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Li Auto Inc. (LI)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
People Also Watch
FAQ
Should I buy Li Auto Inc (LI.O) stock?
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Li Auto Inc (LI.O) stock in a year?
How has Li Auto Inc. (LI)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
Which bull technical signals does LI have?
Which bearish technical signals does LI have?
Is LI a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of Li Auto Inc (LI)'s moving average?
What is price prediction for LI stock next month?
What is price prediction 2025 for LI Stock?