LI

Li Auto Inc

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Advanced Chart

25.240

-0.86(-3.295%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

25.490

Open

25.245

VWAP

25.25

Vol

4.68M

Mkt Cap

54.04B

Low

25.020

Amount

118.29M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

12.72

Total Shares

1.06B

13.95B

EV/OCF(TTM)

5.68

P/S(TTM)

1.41

Li Auto Inc is a company mainly engaged in the design, development, manufacture and sale of smart electric vehicles. The main products include Li MEGA, high-voltage battery electric vehicle; Li L9, a six-seat flagship family sport utility vehicle (SUV); Li L8, a six-seat family SUV; Li L7, a five-seat flagship family SUV. The Company is also engaged in the provision of value-added services such as paid regular servicing of the vehicle, free vehicle pick-ups and deliveries, unlimited high-speed data plan, discounts on service and products offerings, installation of charging stalls, and vehicle internet connection services.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q2

56.20B

+26.94%

3.445

-9.1%

46.49B

+8.44%

2.853

-21.4%

32.21B

+1.69%

1.728

+21.71%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Li Auto Inc. (LI) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -3.37% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 2.81%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-3.37%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+66.76%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+2.81%

In Past 3 Month

9 Analyst Rating

31.93% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast LI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LI is 33.30 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 36.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

31.93% Upside

Current: 25.240

Low

30.00

Averages

33.30

High

36.00

31.93% Upside

Current: 25.240

Low

30.00

Averages

33.30

High

36.00

Macquarie

Eugene Hsiao

Buy

Hold

Downgrades

$27

2025-03-17

Reason

Macquarie

Eugene Hsiao

Price Target

$27

2025-03-17

Downgrades

Buy

Hold

Reason

Macquarie downgraded Li Auto to Neutral from Outperform with a HK$105 price target.

JP Morgan

Nick Lai

Hold

Buy

Upgrades

$22 → $40

2025-02-28

Reason

JP Morgan

Nick Lai

Price Target

$22 → $40

2025-02-28

Upgrades

Hold

Buy

Reason

Macquarie

Eugene Hsiao

Hold

Buy

Upgrades

n/a

2025-02-06

Reason

Macquarie

Eugene Hsiao

Price Target

n/a

2025-02-06

Upgrades

Hold

Buy

Reason

Macquarie analyst Eugene Hsiao upgraded Li Auto to Outperform from Neutral with a $29 price target. The company's Q4 volumes came in below the low end of guidance and there is risk of a sales miss in Q2 due to the higher mix of the lower selling price L6 and L7 models, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes that while premium electric vehicle volumes could be seasonally weak, electric SUV fears may already be factored into Li's current price. As such, Macquarie sees lower risk at current levels and upgrades the shares.

Barclays

Jiong Shao

Hold

Maintains

$22 → $31

2024-11-04

Reason

Barclays

Jiong Shao

Price Target

$22 → $31

2024-11-04

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Barclays raised the firm's price target on Li Auto to $31 from $22 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares post the Q3 report. The firm says the company's better than expected Q3 vehicle gross margins of 19.5% reflect its pricing power and product competitiveness.

Macquarie

Eugene Hsiao

Buy

Hold

Downgrades

$25 → $33

2024-10-04

Reason

Macquarie

Eugene Hsiao

Price Target

$25 → $33

2024-10-04

Downgrades

Buy

Hold

Reason

Macquarie analyst Eugene Hsiao downgraded Li Auto to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $33, up from $25. The firm sees limited near-term catalysts. Following the strong recent share performance, Li's valuation is now full and the stock lacks a clear catalyst with no new models in the second half of 2024, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Macquarie awaits further details of the new SUV launches in 2025.

Citigroup

Jeff Chung

Hold

Maintains

$26 → $30

2024-09-30

Reason

Citigroup

Jeff Chung

Price Target

$26 → $30

2024-09-30

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Citi analyst Jeff Chung raised the firm's price target on Li Auto to $29.60 from $25.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm expects the upcoming Tesla Robotaxi event and car sales high season to potentially boost investor sentiment and valuations of the Chinese electric vehicle names. Considering the L7/8/9 aging issue and peer competition as well as low battery electric vehicle sales visibility, the firm sees the valuation of Li Auto as already at a fair level and risk/reward balanced.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Li Auto Inc (LI.O) is 19.54, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 51.68. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Li Auto Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

51.68

Current PE

19.54

Overvalued PE

810.86

Undervalued PE

-707.49

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

130.86

Current EV/EBITDA

7.24

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

792.63

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

-530.92

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PS

3.15

Current PS

1.14

Overvalued PS

5.67

Undervalued PS

0.64