Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market analysis, here's a concise assessment of Li Auto (LI):

Technical Analysis

The stock shows strong momentum with a bullish trend, having risen from $27.44 to $34.80 over recent sessions. Key technical indicators are positive:

• RSI (14) at 63.67 indicates strong momentum without being overbought
• MACD is positive with a bullish crossover (MACD: 0.87, Signal: 0.64)
• Stock trading above all major moving averages (5,10,20-day SMAs)

Market Position & Sentiment Recent market sentiment has turned increasingly positive for Li Auto. The company has seen renewed investor confidence driven by:

• Strong delivery numbers with 51% YoY growth in January 2025
• Successful launch of new models including the Gravity SUV
• Positive regulatory environment and government support for EV sector

Fundamental Outlook Li Auto maintains strong fundamentals compared to peers:

• One of few profitable Chinese EV makers
• Solid delivery growth trajectory
• Strong backing from Saudi PIF providing financial stability
• Expanding charging infrastructure network

Recommendation Based on technical strength and positive fundamentals, Li Auto stock presents a buying opportunity at current levels with a short-term target of $38-40.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here's the price prediction for LI stock in 2025:

LI stock is expected to reach $35-38 by end of 2025, driven by 32% revenue growth and 55% net income growth projections. The strong forecast is supported by the company's successful expansion of its product lineup including four plug-in hybrid SUV models and the new Mega minivan, along with its growing charging infrastructure network of 894 supercharging stations.

The price target is justified by improving fundamentals as Li Auto has achieved GAAP profitability in 2023, setting it apart from competitors like Nio and Xpeng. While current vehicle margins have faced some pressure due to China's EV price competition, the company's strategic focus on the domestic market helps shield it from international trade tensions.

The technical analysis shows the stock is currently in an uptrend after finding support around $20 level, with RSI at 63.67 indicating moderate bullish momentum without being overbought. The stock is trading above all major moving averages (5-day: $26.35, 10-day: $26.07, 20-day: $24.84), suggesting strong underlying strength.

The S1 support level for LI Stock is $25.14 ,The R1 resistant level for LI Stock is $29.25.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of LI Stock was $32.83.

The target price for LI Stock according to analyst rating is 29.90, with the highest price target at 31.00 and the lowest at 29.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on LI Stock overall.

The market cap of LI is $63.3B.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here's a concise evaluation of LI's valuation:

Technical Analysis

The stock shows strong technical signals with:

• RSI-14 at 63.67 indicating moderate bullish momentum
• MACD (0.87) and Signal (0.64) both positive, suggesting upward trend
• Trading above all major moving averages (5-day: 26.35, 20-day: 24.84, 200-day: 22.59)
• Bollinger Band position at 0.82 indicates room for further upside

Fundamental Valuation

The stock appears reasonably valued considering:

• P/S ratio of 6.03x
• Enterprise value of 80.5 billion yuan ($11.1B) is less than forecast 2025 sales
• Vehicle margins have declined from 21.5% in 2023 to around 19-20% in recent quarters

Growth & Market Position

Key growth metrics:

• Delivery growth remains strong at 40% YoY for first 9 months of 2024
• Revenue expected to grow 32% in 2025
• Net income projected to increase 55% in 2025 after a 35% decline in 2024

Conclusion LI appears slightly overvalued at current levels due to:

1. Margin pressure from EV price competition
2. Delayed international expansion plans
3. China's economic headwinds
4. Trading above key moving averages

Li Auto Inc is a company mainly engaged in the design, development, manufacture and sale of smart electric vehicles. The main products include Li MEGA, high-voltage battery electric vehicle; Li L9, a six-seat flagship family sport utility vehicle (SUV); Li L8, a six-seat family SUV; Li L7, a five-seat flagship family SUV. The Company is also engaged in the provision of value-added services such as paid regular servicing of the vehicle, free vehicle pick-ups and deliveries, unlimited high-speed data plan, discounts on service and products offerings, installation of charging stalls, and vehicle internet connection services.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is a projection for Li Auto (LI) stock price in 2030:

Price Target 2030: $65-70

The projection is based on three key factors:

1. Li Auto's strong market position in China's premium EV/PHEV segment with proven profitability, unlike many competitors who are still struggling with losses.

2. The expected EV market growth, with Goldman Sachs forecasting EVs to represent 50% of global car sales by 2035, positioning Li Auto for sustained growth through 2030.

3. Li Auto's strategic advantages including its proprietary charging network (894 supercharging stations), focus on the domestic Chinese market reducing international trade risks, and strong government support.

LI has a total of 31591 employees.