Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a direct analysis of LI stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $22.59, showing a positive momentum with +2.31% gain in the last regular trading session. The RSI-14 at 45.78 indicates a neutral position, neither overbought nor oversold. The stock is currently trading below its 20-day moving average of $23.49, suggesting short-term weakness.

Recent Developments

• Li Auto has surpassed 200,000 deliveries of its L6 SUV in less than nine months since launch
• The company delivered over 500,500 vehicles in 2024, marking a 33% YoY growth
• The company recently opened its first overseas R&D center in Munich, Germany, signaling global expansion plans
• China's GDP meeting its 5% target for 2024 has provided positive sentiment for Chinese stocks

Valuation & Growth

Technical Support/Resistance Levels

• Fibonacci Resistance 1: $24.32
• Fibonacci Resistance 2: $25.10
• Fibonacci Resistance 3: $26.35
• Fibonacci Support 1: $21.83
• Fibonacci Support 2: $21.05
• Fibonacci Support 3: $19.81
• Fibonacci Pivot: $23.08

Recommendation SELL. Despite positive company developments and strong delivery numbers, the stock is showing technical weakness trading below key moving averages. The current price level of $22.59 is closer to support levels than resistance, suggesting limited upside potential in the near term. The stock has lost over 22% in the past year, indicating broader market skepticism despite operational achievements.

Based on the provided data and references, here is the price prediction analysis for Li Auto (LI) stock in 2025:

Li Auto's stock is expected to reach $36-39 by end of 2025, driven by its robust delivery growth and expansion into BEV market. The company's successful L6 model with over 200,000 deliveries in less than 9 months and 33% YoY growth in vehicle deliveries demonstrate strong market acceptance. Goldman Sachs maintains a $36 price target, citing Li Auto's potent new model pipeline and advances in autonomous driving capabilities.

The technical indicators show RSI at 45.78 and MACD at -0.34, suggesting the stock is currently in a neutral territory with slight bearish momentum in the near term. However, the stock's current price around $22.66 offers an attractive entry point given the significant upside potential to analyst targets [1,3].

The key catalysts supporting this bullish outlook include Li Auto's planned entry into BEV market in 2025, continued expansion of sales network, and improving autonomous driving capabilities targeting L3 with 1 takeover per 500km. Additionally, China's GDP meeting its 5.4% growth target in Q4 2024 provides a supportive macro backdrop.

The S1 support level for LI Stock is $21.76 ,The R1 resistant level for LI Stock is $23.62.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of LI Stock was $23.22.

The target price for LI Stock according to analyst rating is 29.54, with the highest price target at 35.20 and the lowest at 22.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on LI Stock overall.

The market cap of LI is $24.6B.

Based on the provided data and context, let me analyze whether LI is overvalued:

Valuation Analysis LI's current valuation metrics show concerning signs:

• P/E ratio of 37.45x in Q3 2024, significantly higher than industry average
• EV/EBITDA of 13.35x indicates premium valuation
• P/S ratio of 2.7x and P/B of 5.39x suggest rich valuation multiples

Growth & Profitability However, the company shows strong operational performance:

• Revenue grew from 25.6B CNY in Q1 to 42.8B CNY in Q3 2024
• Net income increased substantially from 592M CNY to 2.8B CNY
• Gross margin improved to 21.52% in Q3 from 20.61% in Q1
• Net margin expanded significantly to 6.58% in Q3 from 2.31% in Q1

Technical Analysis The stock shows bearish technical signals:

• RSI at 45.78 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD at -0.34 suggests downward pressure
• Currently trading below 20-day moving average of 23.49

Recent Analyst Views Latest analyst actions indicate mixed sentiment:

• Barclays maintained Hold with $31 PT (Nov 2024)
• Macquarie downgraded to Hold from Buy (Oct 2024)
• Citigroup maintained Hold with $30 PT (Sep 2024)

Based on the comprehensive analysis, LI appears overvalued at current levels. While the company demonstrates strong operational growth, the elevated valuation multiples, bearish technical indicators, and cautious analyst sentiment suggest the stock is trading above fair value. The recent analyst downgrades and price targets around $30-31 further support this conclusion.

Li Auto Inc is a company mainly engaged in the design, development, manufacture and sale of smart electric vehicles. The main products include Li MEGA, high-voltage battery electric vehicle; Li L9, a six-seat flagship family sport utility vehicle (SUV); Li L8, a six-seat family SUV; Li L7, a five-seat flagship family SUV. The Company is also engaged in the provision of value-added services such as paid regular servicing of the vehicle, free vehicle pick-ups and deliveries, unlimited high-speed data plan, discounts on service and products offerings, installation of charging stalls, and vehicle internet connection services.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for Li Auto (LI) stock by 2030:

Li Auto's stock price is projected to reach $45-50 by 2030, driven by its expanding market share in China's premium EV segment and successful international expansion plans. The company's robust delivery growth (+38.1% YoY in 2024), improving profit margins (8% operating margin in Q3'24), and strong cash position of $13.92B will support this long-term growth trajectory. The planned launch of multiple BEV models in 2025 and target of capturing 25% market share in China's RMB 200K+ segment further strengthens this outlook.

LI has a total of 31591 employees.