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KSPI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Kaspi.kz AO (KSPI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
91.810
1 Day change
8.13%
52 Week Range
99.200
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Kaspi.kz AO is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this moment. The stock has mixed signals, including a recent downgrade by analysts, declining financial performance in key metrics like net income and EPS, and no significant trading signals from Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals. While the company has a strong presence in its markets and high user engagement, the lack of immediate positive catalysts and the neutral trading sentiment make this a hold for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.94, indicating a bullish trend, but it is contracting. RSI is at 70.251, suggesting the stock is nearing overbought territory. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. Key resistance levels are at 81.721 and 84.246, with support at 73.546 and 71.021. The stock is trading near its resistance level, which could limit upside potential in the short term.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Kaspi.kz's Super App serves over 25 million consumers and 900,000 merchants, showing strong market penetration. The company averages 77 monthly transactions per active user, indicating high engagement. Its 86% stake in Hepsiburada expands its influence in the e-commerce sector.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a decline in net income (-8.82% YoY) and EPS (-6.85% YoY). Gross margin remained stagnant. No significant trading trends or insider activity to indicate strong interest.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 20.89% YoY, but net income dropped by 8.82% YoY, and EPS fell by 6.85% YoY. Gross margin showed no improvement. While revenue growth is positive, declining profitability metrics are a concern.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Susquehanna downgraded Kaspi.kz to Neutral from Positive with a price target of $87, down from $130, indicating reduced confidence in the stock's near-term performance.

Wall Street analysts forecast KSPI stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KSPI stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 84.910
sliders
Low
107
Averages
107
High
107
Current: 84.910
sliders
Low
107
Averages
107
High
107
Susquehanna
Positive -> Neutral
downgrade
$130 -> $87
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
Reason
Susquehanna
Price Target
$130 -> $87
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
downgrade
Positive -> Neutral
Reason
Susquehanna downgraded Kaspi.kz to Neutral from Positive with a price target of $87, down from $130.
JPMorgan
Reginald Smith
Neutral
downgrade
$96 -> $88
2025-12-04
Reason
JPMorgan
Reginald Smith
Price Target
$96 -> $88
2025-12-04
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Reginald Smith lowered the firm's price target on Kaspi.kz to $88 from $96 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares as part of a 2026 outlook on the financial technology group. The firm sees a "soft-landing grind" in 2026 with slowing real growth for the sector, driven by a weakening labor market and the lagged tariff effects, partially offset by tax cuts.
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