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KSPI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Kaspi.kz AO (KSPI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
87.150
1 Day change
1.46%
52 Week Range
99.200
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Kaspi.kz AO (KSPI) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company shows positive revenue growth and strategic investments from Tencent, the declining net income and EPS, neutral insider and hedge fund activity, and lack of strong trading signals suggest waiting for a clearer entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and contracting, RSI is neutral at 56.566, and moving averages are converging. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 85.034, with resistance at 93.93 and support at 76.137. No strong bullish or bearish signals are present.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
1
Buy
11

Positive Catalysts

  • Tencent's strategic investment in Kaspi.kz and the company's focus on enhancing its shareholder structure signal long-term growth potential. Revenue increased by 20.89% YoY in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Net income and EPS have declined by -8.82% and -6.85% YoY, respectively. Insider and hedge fund activity is neutral, and there are no significant trading trends. Analyst ratings are mixed, with a recent downgrade and only a modest price target increase.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue grew by 20.89% YoY to 618.89 billion, but net income dropped by -8.82% YoY to 284.38 billion, and EPS declined by -6.85% YoY to 1469.36.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Susquehanna recently raised the price target to $95 from $87, citing Tencent's investment as validation of Kaspi.kz's strategy. However, the same firm downgraded the stock to Neutral in February 2026, reflecting mixed sentiment.

Wall Street analysts forecast KSPI stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KSPI stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 85.900
sliders
Low
107
Averages
107
High
107
Current: 85.900
sliders
Low
107
Averages
107
High
107
Susquehanna
Neutral
maintain
$87 -> $95
AI Analysis
2026-04-23
Reason
Susquehanna
Price Target
$87 -> $95
AI Analysis
2026-04-23
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Susquehanna raised the firm's price target on Kaspi.kz (KSPI) to $95 from $87 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm noted the company announced that Tencent (TCEHY), Kaspi's CEO and other senior members of the management team, and long-term institutional investors purchased 6 million ADSs from Baring Fintech Venture Funds. The firm believes Tencent may have a strategic rationale behind this purchase, as it provides validation of Kaspi's integrated consumer platform approach and long-term growth strategy.
Susquehanna
Positive -> Neutral
downgrade
$130 -> $87
2026-02-02
Reason
Susquehanna
Price Target
$130 -> $87
2026-02-02
downgrade
Positive -> Neutral
Reason
Susquehanna downgraded Kaspi.kz to Neutral from Positive with a price target of $87, down from $130.
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