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HWM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
229.870
1 Day change
3.08%
52 Week Range
267.310
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. Despite solid financial performance and positive analyst sentiment, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and insider selling has significantly increased. Additionally, options data indicates a cautious sentiment in the market. The investor may consider holding off on purchasing until clearer bullish signals emerge.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating a bearish trend. RSI is at 32.425, close to oversold territory but not signaling a clear buy. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision. The stock is trading below the pivot level of 237.066, with key support at 229.926 and resistance at 244.206.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The Open Interest Put-Call Ratio indicates a slight bearish bias, while the Option Volume Put-Call Ratio shows a strong preference for calls, suggesting mixed sentiment. Implied volatility is high (IV Percentile: 84.06), indicating elevated uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 14.65% YoY and net income up 18.47% YoY.

  • Positive analyst sentiment with multiple price target increases, some as high as $315, and consistent Buy/Outperform ratings.

  • The company benefits from durable growth in aerospace and gas turbine markets, supported by pricing power and margin expansion.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 391.50% over the last month, signaling potential lack of confidence from insiders.

  • The stock has a 70% chance of declining further in the short term based on candlestick pattern analysis.

  • The broader market (S&P

  • is down 1.79%, reflecting a negative macro environment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Howmet Aerospace reported revenue of $2.168 billion, up 14.65% YoY. Net income increased to $372 million, up 18.47% YoY. EPS rose to $0.92, up 19.48% YoY. Gross margin improved to 31.5%, up 12.62% YoY, indicating strong operational performance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a positive outlook with several price target increases, including RBC Capital ($300), BofA ($300), and Jefferies ($315). The consensus highlights strong growth potential in aerospace and gas turbine markets, supported by pricing power and operational excellence. However, KeyBanc's Sector Weight rating suggests some caution due to mixed estimates for 2026.

Wall Street analysts forecast HWM stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HWM stock price to rise
12 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 222.990
sliders
Low
209
Averages
236.77
High
258
Current: 222.990
sliders
Low
209
Averages
236.77
High
258
KeyBanc
Sector Weight
initiated
AI Analysis
2026-03-25
Reason
KeyBanc
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-25
initiated
Sector Weight
Reason
KeyBanc assumed coverage of Howmet Aerospace with a Sector Weight rating. The firm is refreshing its 2026 outlook on U.S. carbon steel equities post recent due diligence and its Q1 proprietary Sheet on the Street survey. KeyBanc's estimate changes for Q1 and 2026 are mixed, with an intact view of nicely improved year-over-year profitability for the sector via pricing/spreads.
RBC Capital
Outperform
maintain
$275 -> $300
2026-03-11
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
$275 -> $300
2026-03-11
maintain
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital raised the firm's price target on Howmet Aerospace to $300 from $275 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. At its 2026 Technology and Markets Day, the company did not provide any updated financial guidance, but used the opportunity to highlight its Whitehall casting production facility, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Howmet's market strength, technology leadership, and unique business model will continue to support positive investor sentiment, RBC adds.
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