Should You Buy Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/29
Buy for a beginner long-term investor right now. Howmet is pulling back toward a key support zone (~$210–$211) while fundamentals and Wall Street price targets remain strongly upward. With $50k–$100k to deploy and no desire to wait for a perfect entry, the current dip offers an attractive long-term entry point versus recent highs, with the next major catalyst being earnings on 2026-02-12 (pre-market).
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: The stock closed at $211.45, down -2.18% on the day, and is trading just above S1 support at 210.933 (next support S2 ~206.551). The pivot resistance is 218.027, meaning the stock is currently below its pivot and needs to reclaim ~218 to reassert short-term upside momentum.
Momentum: MACD histogram is -1.383 and negatively expanding, indicating bearish momentum is still building in the short term.
RSI: RSI_6 is 31.223 (near oversold). This often suggests selling pressure may be getting exhausted, which is constructive for a long-term buyer entering on weakness.
Moving Averages: Converging moving averages typically imply a transition phase; combined with bearish MACD, the near-term bias is still soft, but the location near support improves risk/reward for a long-term entry.
Pattern-based forward odds: Similar-pattern stats suggest a modestly negative bias over the next month (about -0.69%), so expect some near-term chop even if the long-term view is positive.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Clear bullish momentum in ratings and targets. Multiple firms either initiated with Buy/Outperform or raised price targets (e.g., Truist to $258, BofA to $250, Citi initiated Buy $246, JPMorgan to $227, RBC to $235, BTIG to $240, Goldman to $226). The direction of revisions is consistently upward.
Wall Street pros: Strong aftermarket demand, rising aircraft production, capacity expansion, and IGT/data-center tailwinds supporting multi-year growth and margin expansion.
Wall Street cons: Elevated sector valuations and fewer near-term defense catalysts; expectations are high, raising the bar for earnings/guidance.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are reported as neutral with no significant recent trends.
Wall Street analysts forecast HWM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HWM is 236.77 USD with a low forecast of 209 USD and a high forecast of 258 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast HWM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HWM is 236.77 USD with a low forecast of 209 USD and a high forecast of 258 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 210.840
Current: 210.840
