Based on the provided data and technical analysis, here's the price prediction for HWM for the next trading week:
Technical Analysis
- Current price: $127.03 (as of Jan 24, 2025 close)
- RSI(14) at 71.01 indicates overbought conditions
- MACD at 3.88 shows strong bullish momentum
- Trading above both 20-day SMA ($117.18) and 200-day SMA ($94.66)
- Fibonacci resistance levels: R1 at $127.80, R2 at $132.12, R3 at $139.12
- Fibonacci support levels: S1 at $113.81, S2 at $109.49, S3 at $102.50
Price Target Analysis
- Short-term resistance: $127.97 (trend line)
- Key support level: $121.86 (volume-based)
- Expected trading range: $125.92 - $143.51 with 90% probability
- Average analyst target price: $124.59 with range from $81.00 to $144.00
Catalysts
- Upcoming Q4 earnings release on Feb 13, 2025
- Expected Q4 EPS of $0.71, representing 34% YoY growth
- Strong commercial aerospace market momentum expected through 2025
- Softness in commercial transportation market until Q2 2025
Price Prediction for Next Week
Based on technical indicators and fundamental factors:
- Base case (60% probability): $127-130 range
- Bullish case (25% probability): Break above $132
- Bearish case (15% probability): Pull back to $122-125
Trading recommendation: SELL
Rationale:
- Overbought RSI conditions
- Price near upper trend line resistance
- Current price above mean analyst target
- High valuation with P/E of 48.86
Based on the provided data and technical analysis, here's the price prediction for HWM for the next trading week:
Technical Analysis
- Current price: $127.03 (as of Jan 24, 2025 close)
- RSI(14) at 71.01 indicates overbought conditions
- MACD at 3.88 shows strong bullish momentum
- Trading above both 20-day SMA ($117.18) and 200-day SMA ($94.66)
- Fibonacci resistance levels: R1 at $127.80, R2 at $132.12, R3 at $139.12
- Fibonacci support levels: S1 at $113.81, S2 at $109.49, S3 at $102.50
Price Target Analysis
- Short-term resistance: $127.97 (trend line)
- Key support level: $121.86 (volume-based)
- Expected trading range: $125.92 - $143.51 with 90% probability
- Average analyst target price: $124.59 with range from $81.00 to $144.00
Catalysts
- Upcoming Q4 earnings release on Feb 13, 2025
- Expected Q4 EPS of $0.71, representing 34% YoY growth
- Strong commercial aerospace market momentum expected through 2025
- Softness in commercial transportation market until Q2 2025
Price Prediction for Next Week
Based on technical indicators and fundamental factors:
- Base case (60% probability): $127-130 range
- Bullish case (25% probability): Break above $132
- Bearish case (15% probability): Pull back to $122-125
Trading recommendation: SELL
Rationale:
- Overbought RSI conditions
- Price near upper trend line resistance
- Current price above mean analyst target
- High valuation with P/E of 48.86