
HLMN
Hillman Solutions Corp
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
- Earnings

Line
|

Candle
1D
5D
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
High
8.200
Open
8.110
VWAP
--
Vol
882.09K
Mkt Cap
1.60B
Low
8.010
Amount
--
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
9.92
Total Shares
196.04M
EV
2.28B
EV/OCF(TTM)
13.36
P/S(TTM)
1.08
Hillman Solutions Corp. is a provider of hardware-related products and related merchandising services to retail markets in North America. It operates in three segments. The Hardware and Protective Solutions segment includes a variety of product categories, including fasteners; builders’ hardware; wall hanging, threaded rod and metal shapes; rope and chain; letters, numbers, and signs (LNS); and personal protective equipment, such as gloves and eye-wear. The Robotics and Digital Solutions segment consists primarily of software-enabled robotic key duplication and engraving solutions that are tailored to the needs of the consumer. The Canada segment distributes fasteners and related hardware items, threaded rods, keys, key duplicating systems, accessories, and identification items, such as tags and letters, numbers, and signs, to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, industrial distributors, automotive aftermarket distributors, and other retail outlets in Canada.
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Market Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q2
FY2025Q3
FY2025Q4
389.88M
+2.75%
0.143
-10.31%
422.23M
+7.36%
0.237
+48.44%
374.07M
+7.01%
0.072
-27.75%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 1.19% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 15.55%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward

+1.19%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward

+38.28%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up

+15.55%
In Past 3 Month
7 Analyst Rating

30.62% Upside
Wall Street analysts forecast HLMN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HLMN is 10.58 USD with a low forecast of 8.00 USD and a high forecast of 15.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy

30.62% Upside
Current: 8.100

Low
8.00
Averages
10.58
High
15.00

30.62% Upside
Current: 8.100

Low
8.00
Averages
10.58
High
15.00
Stifel
Michael Hoffman
resume
$9.50
2025-07-14
Reason
Stifel
Michael Hoffman
Price Target
$9.50
2025-07-14
resume
Reason
Stifel analyst Michael Hoffman resumed coverage of Hillman Solutions with a Buy rating and $9.50 price target. Hillman is a share gainer in the advantaged home improvement category supportive of mid-single digit organic revenue and double digit organic EBITDA growth, and is primed to execute highly synergistic M&A, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes concerns around post-"Liberation Day" underperformance are misplaced, resetting expectations to a level that provides room for error.
Stifel
W. Andrew Carter
initiated
$9.50
2025-07-14
Reason
Stifel
W. Andrew Carter
Price Target
$9.50
2025-07-14
initiated
Reason
Stifel analyst W. Andrew Carter initiated coverage of Hillman Solutions with a Buy rating and $9.50 price target. Hillman is a share gainer in the advantaged home improvement category supportive of mid-single digit organic revenue and double digit organic EBITDA growth, and is primed to execute highly synergistic M&A, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes concerns around post-"Liberation Day" underperformance are misplaced, resetting expectations to a level that provides room for error.
Baird
David Manthey
Buy
to
Hold
Downgrades
$12 → $9
2025-04-16
Reason
Baird
David Manthey
Price Target
$12 → $9
2025-04-16
Downgrades
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Baird downgraded Hillman Solutions to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $9, down from $12. The firm has concerns over the company's tariff exposure and inherent price pass-through inefficiencies. While Hillman will eventually get back on top of tariff-driven pricing, it will take time, as it did to recover from spiking supply chain costs during 2021 to 2023, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Baird believes an uncertain economy is also likely not favorable to home improvement retail foot traffic.
Barclays
Matthew Bouley
Hold
Maintains
$11 → $8
2025-04-08
Reason
Barclays
Matthew Bouley
Price Target
$11 → $8
2025-04-08
Maintains
Hold
Reason
Baird
David Manthey
Buy
Maintains
$14 → $12
2025-02-19
Reason
Baird
David Manthey
Price Target
$14 → $12
2025-02-19
Maintains
Buy
Reason
Baird lowered the firm's price target on Hillman Solutions to $12 from $14 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following inline Q4 results and said they like the RDS pivot.
Benchmark
Reuben Garner
Strong Buy
Reiterates
$16
2025-02-19
Reason
Benchmark
Reuben Garner
Price Target
$16
2025-02-19
Reiterates
Strong Buy
Reason
See All Ratings
Valuation Metrics
The current forward P/E ratio for Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN.O) is 14.83, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 67.31. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Hillman Solutions Corp 's fair value, click here.
Forward PE
The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A
5Y Average PE
67.31
Current PE
14.83
Overvalued PE
185.54
Undervalued PE
-50.92
Forward EV/EBITDA
The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
11.59
Current EV/EBITDA
9.08
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
14.67
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
8.50
Forward PS
The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Fair
5Y Average PS
1.10
Current PS
1.01
Overvalued PS
1.41
Undervalued PS
0.78
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
FY2025Q1
YoY :
+2.58%
359.34M
Total Revenue
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-5.24%
16.65M
Operating Profit
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-78.75%
-317.00K
Net Income after Tax
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-100.00%
0.00
EPS - Diluted
FY2025Q1
YoY :
+250.37%
-21.31M
Free Cash Flow
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-3.60%
37.23
Gross Profit Margin - %
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-45.94%
5.59
FCF Margin - %
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-79.07%
-0.09
Net Margin - %
FY2025Q1
N/A
ROIC
Trading Trends
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
994.6K
USD
2
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
1
992.6K
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds areBuying! The buying amount has increased 144.03% over the last quarter.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
Volume
0
3-6
Months
0.0
Volume
0
6-9
Months
0.0
Volume
0
0-12
Months
0.0
Volume
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
Volume
Months
3-6
1
1.1M
Volume
Months
6-9
3
430.3K
Volume
Months
0-12
0
0.0
Volume
Months
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
8.0K
USD
1
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
1
8.0K
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
994.6K
USD
2
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
1
992.6K
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
HLMN News & Events
Events Timeline
2025-04-29 (ET)
2025-04-29
07:33:47
Hillman Solutions reaffirms FY25 sales guidance $1.495B-$1.575B

2025-04-29
07:33:04
Hillman Solutions reports Q1 adjusted EPS 10c, consensus 10c

2025-02-18 (ET)
2025-02-18
07:38:11
Hillman Solutions sees FY25 revenue $1.495B-$1.575B, consensus $1.54B

Sign Up For More Events
Sign Up For More Events
News
9.5
07-16NewsfilterHillman Sets Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Results Presentation Date
9.5
04-29NewsfilterHillman Reports First Quarter 2025 Results
2.0
04-28BenzingaEagle Financial Services, Nvidia And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Monday's Pre-Market Session
Sign Up For More News
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FAQ

What is Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) stock price today?
The current price of HLMN is 8.1 USD — it has increased 0.37 % in the last trading day.

What is Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)'s business?

What is the price predicton of HLMN Stock?

What is Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)'s revenue for the last quarter?

What is Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)'s fundamentals?

How many employees does Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN). have?
