HGV Valuation

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc

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41.450

+0.23(0.558%)1D

HGV Relative Valuation

HGV's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, HGV is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 41.45 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 48.25. The fair price of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) is between to according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

Current Price：41.45

Fair

12.70

Trailing

Forward

9.11

EV/EBITDA

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) has a current EV/EBITDA of 9.11. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.26. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.53, Undervalued between 3.53 and 6.40, Fairly Valued between 12.13 and 6.40, Overvalued between 12.13 and 15.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.00. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 9.11 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

14.77

EV/EBIT

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) has a current EV/EBIT of 14.77. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 13.62. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.36, Undervalued between 7.36 and 10.49, Fairly Valued between 16.75 and 10.49, Overvalued between 16.75 and 19.88, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.88. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 14.77 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

41.45

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) has a current PS of 41.45. The 5-year average PS is 1.34. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.50, Undervalued between -3.50 and -1.08, Fairly Valued between 3.76 and -1.08, Overvalued between 3.76 and 6.18, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.18. The current Forward PS of 41.45 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

4.57

P/OCF

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) has a current P/OCF of 4.57. The 5-year average P/OCF is 15.12. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -20.93, Undervalued between -20.93 and -2.91, Fairly Valued between 33.15 and -2.91, Overvalued between 33.15 and 51.17, and Strongly Overvalued above 51.17. The current Forward P/OCF of 4.57 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.39

P/FCF

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) has a current P/FCF of 5.39. The 5-year average P/FCF is 2.15. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -30.61, Undervalued between -30.61 and -14.23, Fairly Valued between 18.54 and -14.23, Overvalued between 18.54 and 34.92, and Strongly Overvalued above 34.92. The current Forward P/FCF of 5.39 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.59. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.25 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 15.04% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 3.46, the current P/B ratio is about -25.16% higher. Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.88%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 7.47%, the current FCF yield is approximately -34.71% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.33% , the current FCF yield is about -22.89% lower.

2.59

P/B

Median3y

2.25

Median5y

3.46

4.88

FCF Yield

Median3y

7.47

Median5y

6.33

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for HGV's competitors is 40.54, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Hilton Grand Vacations Inc Corp (HGV) exhibits a P/S ratio of 41.45, which is 2.24% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -0.68%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

HGV.N

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc

Cushman & Wakefield PLC

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc

Millrose Properties Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of HGV decreased by 2.22% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 71.50 to 74.34.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -0.68%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of HGV in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-0.68%

1.18B → 1.17B

Revenue Growth

-5.51%

2.72 → 2.57

Margin Expansion

3.97%

71.50 → 74.34

P/E Change

-2.22%