Stock Price & Analysis

Buy HGV stock as analysts maintain a Moderate Buy consensus with a significant upside potential.

Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) stock is predicted to reach $51 to $63 in 2025. Analysts cite strong earnings performance and synergies from recent acquisitions as key drivers.

The S1 support level for HGV Stock is $34.28 ,The R1 resistant level for HGV Stock is $39.12.

As of the end of day on 2025-03-26, the price of HGV Stock was $39.09.

The target price for HGV Stock according to analyst rating is 47.80, with the highest price target at 55.00 and the lowest at 42.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on HGV Stock overall.

The market cap of HGV is $3.7B.

Analysis and Insights

Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) appears to be overvalued based on several key metrics and analyst sentiment.

Valuation Metrics:

HGV's current price of $38.84 is supported by a P/E ratio of 40.93 (Q3 2024) and 85.44 (Q4 2024), indicating a premium valuation compared to industry peers. The EV/EBITDA ratio of 10.62 (Q3 2024) and 13.62 (Q4 2024) further suggests that the stock is trading at a higher multiple than its earnings justify. Additionally, the price-to-sales ratio of 1.97 (Q3 2024) and 2.15 (Q4 2024) highlights a rich valuation.

Analyst Sentiment:

While Truist Securities maintains a Strong Buy rating with a $63 price target, Goldman Sachs has a Strong Sell rating with a $42 target. This divergence in analyst opinions indicates uncertainty about HGV's future performance. The average price target of $50.33 suggests a potential upside, but the mixed sentiment raises caution.

Insider Activity and Market Sentiment:

Recent insider activity shows significant selling, with 37 insiders selling shares, including a $2 million sale by EVP Charles R. Corbin. This negative sentiment, combined with high implied volatility in options, suggests market uncertainty about HGV's near-term prospects.

Conclusion:

HGV's high valuation metrics, mixed analyst sentiment, and insider selling activity suggest the stock may be overvalued. Investors should exercise caution and consider waiting for a price correction or clearer growth signals before entering a position.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a timeshare company. The Company is engaged in developing, marketing, selling, managing and operating timeshare resorts, timeshare plans and ancillary reservation services, primarily under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. The Company operates through two segments: Real estate sales and financing and Resort operations and club management. Real estate sales and financing market and sell vacation ownership interests (VOIs). It also sources VOIs through fee-for-service agreements with third-party developers. It provides consumer financing, which includes interest income generated from the origination of consumer loans to customers to finance their purchase of VOIs and servicing the loans. Resort operations and club management segment manage the clubs and earn activation fees, annual dues and transaction fees from member exchanges for other vacation products. Hilton Grand Vacations offers vacation experiences for guests and more than 700,000 club members.

The price prediction for Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) stock by 2030 is approximately $70 per share. This forecast is based on the company's expansion efforts, cost management initiatives, and positive analyst sentiment, with current analyst price targets averaging around $50.33.

HGV has a total of 15000 employees.