Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data, ArrowMark Financial Corp. (BANX) shows mixed signals. The stock's NAV was reported at $22.11 as of January 31, 2025, and recent insider selling activity with a director disposing of 28.7% of their holdings suggests potential caution. Given these factors and limited trading volume, investors should hold their current positions rather than initiating new ones at this time.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for BANF stock in 2025:

BANF stock is expected to trade around $115-120 by end of 2025, representing a modest decline from current levels, primarily due to the bank's flattish earnings outlook and concerning insider selling patterns with 75 sales and zero purchases in recent months. However, some upside potential exists as small and mid-cap banks could benefit from the Fed's eventual rate cuts, with analyst Tom Lee specifically highlighting BANF as an attractive investment option amid current market volatility.

The S1 support level for BANF Stock is $113.23 ,The R1 resistant level for BANF Stock is $120.02.

As of the end of day on 2025-03-06, the price of BANF Stock was $113.09.

The target price for BANF Stock according to analyst rating is 126.00, with the highest price target at 132.00 and the lowest at 120.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on BANF Stock overall.

The market cap of BANF is $3.8B.

Based on the provided data, here's an analysis of whether BANF is overvalued:

Recent Financial Performance BancFirst reported Q4 2024 GAAP EPS of $1.68 with revenue of $162.9M, showing an 8.4% year-over-year growth. However, Seeking Alpha has downgraded BancFirst to a "Sell" rating, indicating expectations for flat earnings going forward.

Concerning Insider Activity Executive Vice President Darryl Schmidt recently sold 5,000 shares (~10.3% of his holdings) for $610,315, and notably, there have been 75 insider sales with zero purchases over the past six months. This consistent selling pattern from insiders suggests potential concerns about valuation.

Institutional Sentiment While 110 institutional investors increased their positions last quarter, 97 decreased theirs, showing mixed but slightly positive institutional sentiment.

Market Position Despite some positive market commentary suggesting regional banks like BancFirst could be well-positioned for recovery, the consistent insider selling and analyst downgrades raise significant valuation concerns.

Conclusion BANF appears overvalued at current levels due to flat earnings expectations, significant insider selling patterns, and mixed institutional sentiment despite decent quarterly results.

BancFirst Corporation is a financial holding company, which operates through its subsidiaries, BancFirst and Pegasus Bank, which are a state-chartered banks. The Company has six business units: metropolitan banks, community banks, Pegasus, Worthington, other financial services and executive, operations, and support. Metropolitan banks, community banks, Pegasus and Worthington offers commercial and retail lending, a full line of deposit accounts and other. Metropolitan banks consist of banking locations in the metropolitan Oklahoma City and Tulsa areas. Community banks consist of banking locations in communities throughout Oklahoma. Pegasus consists of banking locations in the Dallas metropolitan area. Worthington consists of banking locations in the Fort Worth metropolitan area. Other financial services are specialty product business units, including guaranteed small business lending, residential mortgage lending, trust services, securities brokerage, electronic banking and insurance.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for BANF stock by 2030:

BancFirst (BANF) stock is projected to reach $145-155 range by 2030, driven by steady earnings growth and strong regional banking fundamentals. Recent Q4 2024 earnings showed 8.4% revenue growth to $162.9M, though Seeking Alpha downgraded to "Sell" citing expectations for flat earnings. Heavy insider selling activity with 75 sales and 0 purchases in past 6 months suggests limited near-term upside, but solid long-term business model as a leading regional bank supports moderate growth trajectory.

BANF has a total of 2109 employees.