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HGV Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc(HGV) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-30Pre-Market1.010.60-40.591.37B1.30B-4.99-6.66-8.08
FY2025Q22025-07-31Pre-Market0.780.54-30.771.38B1.27B-8.10-11.74-13.17
FY2025Q12025-05-01Pre-Market0.490.09-81.631.25B1.15B-8.24+9.34+12.43
FY2024Q42025-02-27Pre-Market0.760.49-35.531.28B1.28B+0.19+4.91+3.09
FY2024Q22024-08-08Pre-Market0.890.62-30.341.34B1.24B-7.69-7.79-8.44
FY2024Q12024-05-09-0.870.95+9.201.12B1.16B+2.81-0.55-0.69
FY2023Q42024-02-29-0.971.01+4.121.02B1.02B-0.34-7.73-5.35
FY2023Q32023-11-06-0.910.98+7.691.05B1.02B-2.73-8.05-9.72
FY2023Q22023-08-03-0.790.85+7.59998.58M1.01B+0.84-3.41+2.67
-2023-04-27-0.560.79+41.07----2.34-3.23
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HGV Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-30. The company achieved an EPS of 0.60, compared to analyst estimates of 1.01 by -40.59% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.30B compared to expectations of 1.37B by -4.99% .
The stock price reacted with a -6.66% one-day change and a -8.08% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Hilton Grand Vacations Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

HGV Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc(HGV) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.38B and an EPS of 0.94.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -1.61%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -16.5%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.92% . These revisions correlate with a -10.14% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Hilton Grand Vacations Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between HGV's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-1.61%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-16.5%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.92%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-10.14%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:5.17B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.33
—
Stock Price42.34
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HGV Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.60 (Actual) vs.1.01 (Estimate) (-40.59%)
Revenue: 1.30B (Actual) vs. 1.37B (Estimate) (-4.99%)
Price Reaction: -6.66%(1-Day), -8.08%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-31,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.54 (Actual) vs.0.78 (Estimate) (-30.77%)
Revenue: 1.27B (Actual) vs. 1.38B (Estimate) (-8.10%)
Price Reaction: -11.74%(1-Day), -13.17%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-01,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.09 (Actual) vs.0.49 (Estimate) (-81.63%)
Revenue: 1.15B (Actual) vs. 1.25B (Estimate) (-8.24%)
Price Reaction: 9.34%(1-Day), 12.43%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how HGV performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, HGV sees a +3.41% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.31% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -3.40%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.56% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -3.78% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-31
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with record-high revenue and positive metrics like VPG growth. Despite some headwinds in financing profitability and rental market softness, the company projects strong demand and operational improvements. Share repurchases indicate shareholder confidence, and successful market expansion in Japan is promising. The Q&A reveals positive analyst sentiment towards membership growth and operational strategies, even though some guidance details for 2026 are unclear. Given the company's solid market cap, these factors suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-31
The earnings call highlights strong sales growth, improved margins, and stable demand. The Q&A section supports this with positive sentiment on fee-for-service mix, strong VPG growth, and a stable consumer environment. Despite some softness in Las Vegas, strategic room allocation mitigates risks. The loan book is performing well, and cost efficiencies from acquisitions boost long-term prospects. Overall, the financial health and strategic initiatives suggest a positive outlook, likely resulting in a 2% to 8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings call shows strong financial performance with increased contract sales and revenue, positive EBITDA margins, and a robust share repurchase plan. Despite economic volatility, the company maintains strong VPG and owner occupancy. The Q&A revealed confidence in their market position and resilience against economic downturns. Although there are some concerns about integration challenges and market volatility, the overall outlook is positive due to strong financial metrics and shareholder returns. The market cap suggests moderate reaction, so a positive sentiment is justified.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The company demonstrated strong financial performance with significant revenue and contract sales growth, a successful launch of HGV Max, and robust share repurchase activity. Despite acknowledging market volatility, management expressed confidence in demand visibility and maintained optimistic guidance. The Q&A session revealed a proactive approach to financing and demand generation, although some uncertainty remained around specific financial details. The overall sentiment remains positive, supported by strong financial metrics, strategic initiatives, and shareholder returns, suggesting a potential stock price increase in the coming weeks.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-27
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a 9% YoY increase in contract sales, robust adjusted free cash flow, and a solid share repurchase plan. Despite some concerns like increased interest expenses and a 10.8% default rate, the optimistic guidance for 2025, including $800 million cash flow generation and expansion into new markets, suggests positive sentiment. The market cap of $4 billion indicates moderate sensitivity to news, leading to a prediction of a 2% to 8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. (HGV) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-08
The earnings call summary shows strong financial metrics with a 9% increase in VPG and improved occupancy rates. The company is committed to capital returns, with significant share repurchases. Despite some unresolved issues from the BVH integration and local market challenges, management remains optimistic about future growth. The Q&A session revealed positive sentiment from analysts, despite some management evasiveness on certain topics. Overall, the positive financial performance and commitment to shareholder returns suggest a positive stock price movement, especially given the market cap size.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of HGV’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

HGV reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-30, showcasing a revenue of 1.30B against an estimate of 1.37B, resulting in a -4.99% surprise. The EPS was 0.6, surpassing the expected 1.01 by -40.59% . The stock experienced a -6.66% price change on the earnings day and a -8.08% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did HGV’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following HGV’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-30, the stock price moved by -6.66% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -8.08% change. Historically, HGV’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +3.41% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.31% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for HGV for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate HGV’s annual revenue to reach 1.38B, while the EPS is projected at 0.94. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -1.61% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.92% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does HGV’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between HGV’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -1.61%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.92% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from HGV’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, HGV’s stock price typically moves by +3.41% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.31% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.94 and revenue of 1.38B.
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What is the sentiment in Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with record-high revenue and positive metrics like VPG growth. Despite some headwinds in financing profitability and rental market softness, the company projects strong demand and operational improvements. Share repurchases indicate shareholder confidence, and successful market expansion in Japan is promising. The Q&A reveals positive analyst sentiment towards membership growth and operational strategies, even though some guidance details for 2026 are unclear. Given the company's solid market cap, these factors suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
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