HCC PE Ratio & Valuation,Is HCC Overvalued

HCC Relative Valuation

HCC's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, HCC is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 2.46 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 10.04. The fair price of Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) is between 44.69 to 72.22 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 83.41 USD , Warrior Met Coal Inc is Overvalued By 15.5%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

44.69-72.22

Current Price：83.41

15.5%

Overvalued

11.84

8.77

EV/EBITDA

Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC) has a current EV/EBITDA of 8.77. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 4.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.38, Undervalued between -0.38 and 2.01, Fairly Valued between 6.77 and 2.01, Overvalued between 6.77 and 9.16, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.16. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 8.77 falls within the Overvalued range.

17.50

EV/EBIT

Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC) has a current EV/EBIT of 17.50. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 9.87. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -7.96, Undervalued between -7.96 and 0.96, Fairly Valued between 18.79 and 0.96, Overvalued between 18.79 and 27.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 27.71. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 17.50 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.46

Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC) has a current PS of 2.46. The 5-year average PS is 1.52. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.51, Undervalued between 0.51 and 1.02, Fairly Valued between 2.03 and 1.02, Overvalued between 2.03 and 2.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.54. The current Forward PS of 2.46 falls within the Overvalued range.

9.67

P/OCF

Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC) has a current P/OCF of 9.67. The 5-year average P/OCF is 4.97. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.52, Undervalued between 0.52 and 2.75, Fairly Valued between 7.20 and 2.75, Overvalued between 7.20 and 9.42, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.42. The current Forward P/OCF of 9.67 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

25.88

P/FCF

Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC) has a current P/FCF of 25.88. The 5-year average P/FCF is 25.68. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -277.93, Undervalued between -277.93 and -126.13, Fairly Valued between 177.48 and -126.13, Overvalued between 177.48 and 329.29, and Strongly Overvalued above 329.29. The current Forward P/FCF of 25.88 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.07. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.47 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 40.79% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.49, the current P/B ratio is about 39.03% higher. Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -3.41%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 8.74%, the current FCF yield is approximately -138.97% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 12.01% , the current FCF yield is about -128.36% lower.

2.07

P/B

Median3y

1.47

Median5y

1.49

-3.41

FCF Yield

Median3y

8.74

Median5y

12.01

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for HCC's competitors is 2.19, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Warrior Met Coal Inc Corp (HCC) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.46, which is 12.13% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 0.27%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of HCC increased by 53.78% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 75.11 to 124.74.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 0.27%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of HCC in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

0.27%

327.72M → 328.59M

Revenue Growth

-12.56%

12.74 → 11.14

Margin Expansion

66.07%

75.11 → 124.74

P/E Change

53.78%

54.24 → 83.41

Mkt Cap Growth

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) currently overvalued or undervalued?

What is Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) fair value?

HCC's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average , adjusted by weights. The fair price of Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) is between 44.69 to 72.22 according to relative valuation methord.

How does HCC's valuation metrics compare to the industry average?

What is the current P/B ratio for Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) as of Dec 15 2025?

As of Dec 15 2025, Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) has a P/B ratio of 2.07. This indicates that the market values HCC at 2.07 times its book value.

What is the current FCF Yield for Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) as of Dec 15 2025?

As of Dec 15 2025, Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) has a FCF Yield of -3.41%. This means that for every dollar of Warrior Met Coal Inc’s market capitalization, the company generates -3.41 cents in free cash flow.

What is the current Forward P/E ratio for Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) as of Dec 15 2025?

As of Dec 15 2025, Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) has a Forward P/E ratio of 11.84. This means the market is willing to pay $11.84 for every dollar of Warrior Met Coal Inc’s expected earnings over the next 12 months.

What is the current Forward P/S ratio for Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) as of Dec 15 2025?

As of Dec 15 2025, Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) has a Forward P/S ratio of 2.46. This means the market is valuing HCC at $2.46 for every dollar of expected revenue over the next 12 months.

HCC Valuation