HCC

Warrior Met Coal Inc

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Advanced Chart

60.730

+1.05(1.759%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

63.170

Open

61.170

VWAP

61.40

Vol

1.25M

Mkt Cap

3.19B

Low

60.680

Amount

76.96M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

15.96

Total Shares

52.30M

2.94B

EV/OCF(TTM)

17.84

P/S(TTM)

2.59

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is a producer and exporter of steelmaking coal, also known as hard coking coal (HCC), operating longwall operations in its underground mines based in Alabama. The Company’s two operating mines, Mine No. 4 and Mine No. 7, and Blue Creek are located approximately 300 miles from its export terminal at the Port of Mobile in Alabama. The Company sells its coal to a diversified customer base of blast furnace steel producers, primarily located in Europe, South America and Asia. The Company’s HCC, mined from the Southern Appalachian region of the United States, is characterized by low-to-high volatile matter (VM) and high coke strength after reaction (CSR). Mine No.7 operates two longwalls, while Mine No.4 runs a single longwall. Mine No. 4 and Mine No. 7 are located approximately 20 miles east of Tuscaloosa, Alabama and 30 miles southwest of Birmingham, Alabama.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q1

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

418.97M

+39.68%

1.165

-828.13%

346.78M

+16.58%

0.820

+446.67%

308.92M

-5.74%

-0.120

-115%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -5.03% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 33.97%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-5.03%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-54.09%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+33.97%

In Past 3 Month

6 Analyst Rating

-0.87% Downside

Wall Street analysts forecast HCC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HCC is 60.20 USD with a low forecast of 50.00 USD and a high forecast of 76.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

4 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

-0.87% Downside

Current: 60.730

Low

50.00

Averages

60.20

High

76.00

-0.87% Downside

Current: 60.730

Low

50.00

Averages

60.20

High

76.00

BMO Capital

Market Perform

maintain

$50 -> $55

2025-08-07

New

Reason

BMO Capital

Price Target

$50 -> $55

2025-08-07

New

maintain

Market Perform

Reason

BMO Capital raised the firm's price target on Warrior Met Coal to $55 from $50 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. The firm cites the company's better than expected Q2 results, with adjusted EBITDA outperformance driven by lower costs, the analyst tells investors in a research note. BMO adds that the 2025 sales and production targets were also increased.

B. Riley

Nick Giles

Buy

downgrade

$76 -> $74

2025-07-22

Reason

B. Riley

Nick Giles

Price Target

$76 -> $74

2025-07-22

downgrade

Buy

Reason

B. Riley analyst Nick Giles lowered the firm's price target on Warrior Met Coal to $74 from $76 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated estimates for the met coal companies to reflect Q2 actuals and a lowered price deck.

B. Riley Securities

Nick Giles

Strong Buy

Maintains

$86 → $76

2025-04-11

Reason

B. Riley Securities

Nick Giles

Price Target

$86 → $76

2025-04-11

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

B. Riley lowered the firm's price target on Warrior Met Coal to $76 from $86 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm cut estimates for the met coal names ahead of the Q1 results. On average, its Q1estimates moved lower by 29%. In the upcoming prints, investors will remain focused on margins in the current environment and the implications for potential production cuts later in the year should market conditions remain stagnant or worsen, the analyst tells investors in a research note. While U.S. met exports to China have already begun the re-routing process, the threat of any broad tariff regime raises concerns about global growth and met coal demand, adds B. Riley.

B. Riley Securities

Nick Giles

Strong Buy

Maintains

$90 → $86

2025-02-18

Reason

B. Riley Securities

Nick Giles

Price Target

$90 → $86

2025-02-18

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

Benchmark

Nathan Martin

Hold

Reiterates

n/a

2025-02-14

Reason

Benchmark

Nathan Martin

Price Target

n/a

2025-02-14

Reiterates

Hold

Reason

Jefferies

Chris LaFemina

Strong Buy

Maintains

$75 → $65

2025-01-06

Reason

Jefferies

Chris LaFemina

Price Target

$75 → $65

2025-01-06

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

Jefferies lowered the firm's price target on Warrior Met Coal to $65 from $75 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is more cautious on the near-term outlook for the metals and mining sector due to cyclical factors, and believes the risk to consensus estimates is to the downside. However, it is too late to make downgrades to ratings, says Jefferies, which has a bias to buy "preferred" miners and steel producers following the recent significant weakness. The firm expects a stronger demand environment to materialize in 2026 and 2027, and says this should lead to "substantially higher" prices for some key commodities and for share prices of most of the companies.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC.N) is 19.81, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 8.52. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Warrior Met Coal Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Overvalued

5Y Average PE

8.52

Current PE

19.81

Overvalued PE

14.64

Undervalued PE

2.39

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

4.13

Current EV/EBITDA

9.15

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

6.10

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

2.16

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Overvalued

5Y Average PS

1.44

Current PS

2.09

Overvalued PS

1.94

Undervalued PS

0.94