Should You Buy Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor with $50k–$100k. HCC is sitting near support and looks short-term oversold, but the broader technical trend is still weakening (bearish MACD), recent quarter profitability/margins declined, and insider selling has sharply increased. With no proprietary buy signals today and earnings coming 2026-02-12, the risk/reward is not attractive enough to buy immediately.
Technical Analysis
Price/levels: Closed at 90.28, essentially right on S1 support (90.698) and above S2 (86.761). The pivot resistance is much higher at 97.072, implying the stock is currently below a key inflection level.
Momentum: MACD histogram is -1.523 and negatively expanding, which indicates bearish momentum is still building (downtrend pressure not yet resolved).
RSI: RSI(6) at ~30.3 suggests the stock is near oversold/washed-out conditions, which can support a bounce, but it is not a confirmed trend reversal by itself.
Trend structure: Converging moving averages suggests consolidation/transition, but with MACD worsening and price below pivot, the near-term trend bias remains down-to-sideways.
Pattern/stat model: Similar-pattern study suggests ~60% chance of -2.15% next day, flat next week (-0.08%), and +6.91% next month—i.e., near-term weakness risk before potential rebound.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals:
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.