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HCC Earnings

Warrior Met Coal Inc
$
63.830
+3.52(5.837%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Warrior Met Coal Inc(HCC) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Warrior Met Coal Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q22025-08-06After Hours-0.280.11+139.29285.63M297.52M+4.16+8.81+16.37
FY2025Q12025-04-30After Hours-0.05-0.16-220.00284.57M299.94M+5.40-5.04-0.46
FY2024Q42025-02-13After Hours0.530.15-71.70306.74M297.47M-3.02-8.37-14.57
FY2024Q32024-10-30After Hours0.400.80+100.00323.96M327.72M+1.16+2.19+19.80
FY2024Q22024-08-01-1.321.35+2.27389.91M396.52M+1.70-6.14-13.78
FY2024Q12024-05-01-2.022.63+30.20476.59M503.51M+5.65-0.66-3.20
FY2023Q42024-02-14-3.162.49-21.20394.64M363.80M-7.81+2.05-4.59
FY2023Q32023-11-01-1.881.85-1.60366.92M423.49M+15.42+1.97-5.00
FY2023Q22023-08-02-2.021.63-19.31407.45M379.66M-6.82-3.35-10.51
-2023-05-03-2.123.57+68.40---+0.18+17.69

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HCC Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Warrior Met Coal Inc reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-08-06. The company achieved an EPS of 0.11, compared to analyst estimates of -0.28 by 139.29% . Revenue for the quarter reached 297.52M compared to expectations of 285.63M by 4.16% .
The stock price reacted with a 8.81% one-day change and a 16.37% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Warrior Met Coal Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

HCC Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Warrior Met Coal Inc(HCC) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 308.92M and an EPS of -0.12.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -5.03%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -96.59%. For the upcoming Q3 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -6.06% . These revisions correlate with a 31.96% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Warrior Met Coal Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between HCC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-5.03%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-96.59%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q3 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-6.06%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+31.96%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.25B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.04
Stock Price63.83

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HCC Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Warrior Met Coal Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.11 (Actual) vs.-0.28 (Estimate) (139.29%)
Revenue: 297.52M (Actual) vs. 285.63M (Estimate) (4.16%)
Price Reaction: 8.81%(1-Day), 16.37%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,After Hours):
EPS: -0.16 (Actual) vs.-0.05 (Estimate) (-220.00%)
Revenue: 299.94M (Actual) vs. 284.57M (Estimate) (5.40%)
Price Reaction: -5.04%(1-Day), -0.46%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-02-13,After Hours):
EPS: 0.15 (Actual) vs.0.53 (Estimate) (-71.70%)
Revenue: 297.47M (Actual) vs. 306.74M (Estimate) (-3.02%)
Price Reaction: -8.37%(1-Day), -14.57%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how HCC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, HCC sees a +2.35% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.14% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.44%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in JUN/2025, the stock changed 8.81% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 16.37% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-07
The earnings call presents a mix of positive and cautious elements. Strong production and sales volume growth, strategic cost management, and optimistic guidance for Blue Creek support a positive outlook. Despite weak market conditions and cost guidance concerns, management's focus on contracted sales and market expansion in Asia is promising. The Q&A reveals a cautious but optimistic sentiment from analysts, with some uncertainties around cost guidance. Given the company's market cap, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement, estimated between 2% and 8%, over the next two weeks.
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-30
The earnings call reveals significant challenges: a net loss, declining revenues, and reduced margins due to lower selling prices. Despite cost management efforts, the market environment remains weak, with uncertain trade policies and no share repurchase program. The Q&A session reflects cautious optimism but lacks concrete positive developments. The company's guidance is based on a $200 metric ton price, but market conditions are unpredictable. Given the negative financial performance and market outlook, the stock price is likely to decline by 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-30
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: while production and sales volumes increased, revenue and cash margins decreased significantly. The Q&A highlights management's cautious optimism about pricing and volume, but also indicates uncertainties in market conditions. Although Blue Creek investments are progressing well, weak financial results and guidance, coupled with management's unclear responses, balance out the positives. Given the company's mid-sized market cap, the stock price is likely to remain stable, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-02-13
The earnings call revealed a significant drop in net income and adjusted EBITDA due to lower selling prices, despite increased production and sales volumes. The Q&A section highlighted uncertainties in labor contract negotiations and potential pricing pressures. While the Blue Creek project is progressing well, the overall financial performance and market conditions suggest a negative sentiment. The market cap indicates a moderate reaction, leading to a prediction of a 'Negative' stock price movement (-2% to -8%) over the next two weeks.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-31
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals: financial performance is weak with declining net income and EPS, but there is optimistic guidance on market demand and production expectations. The Q&A highlights cautious market outlooks and cost concerns, but no major negative surprises. The absence of a share repurchase program and negative free cash flow are concerning. Given the market cap, these factors balance out to a neutral sentiment, with no strong catalysts for significant stock price movement in the short term.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-08-02
The earnings call summary highlights several negative factors: declining net income and EBITDA, lower selling prices, and increased costs. Despite a revenue increase, the financial health is weakened by lower margins and cash margins. The Q&A section reveals management's evasiveness on cost guidance, adding uncertainty. The Blue Creek project involves high capital expenditures, impacting financial flexibility. Market demand risks and price volatility further contribute to a negative outlook. Special dividends are a positive aspect, but not enough to offset the overall negative sentiment, leading to a prediction of a negative stock price movement (-2% to -8%).

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of HCC’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?

HCC reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-08-06, showcasing a revenue of 297.52M against an estimate of 285.63M, resulting in a 4.16% surprise. The EPS was 0.11, surpassing the expected -0.28 by 139.29% . The stock experienced a 8.81% price change on the earnings day and a 16.37% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did HCC’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for HCC for 2025/Q3?

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How does HCC’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from HCC’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary?