HCC Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how HCC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, HCC sees a +0.39% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -2.92% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.60%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
HCC Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
297.46M
-18.23%
-9.23%
Gross Margin
4.55%
-88.72%
-70.55%
Operating Margin
-0.76%
-102.07%
-106.35%
Net Margin
0.38%
-98.93%
-97.02%
EPS
0.02
-99.19%
-97.50%
No Data Available
HCC Earnings Analysis
Warrior Met Coal Inc Corporation (HCC.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Sales Volume Increase: Sales volumes increased by 23% in Q4 2024, reaching 1,900,000 short tons compared to 1,500,000 short tons in Q4 2023.
Production Volume Increase: Production volumes rose by 7% in Q4 2024, totaling 2,100,000 short tons compared to 2,000,000 short tons in the same quarter last year.
Operational Cash Utilization: Cash generated from operations exceeded $367 million, which was utilized for the development of the Blue Creek project and returning over $43 million to shareholders via dividends.
Blue Creek Project Investment: The Blue Creek growth project has seen a total investment of $717 million, funded entirely from internally generated cash flows, with expectations of producing approximately 1,000,000 short tons of high vol A steelmaking coal in 2025.
Strong Liquidity Position: The company maintained a strong liquidity position with $655 million available at the end of Q4 2024, consisting of cash, investments, and available credit facilities.
Negative
Net Income Decline: Net income for Q4 2024 was $1.1 million, a significant drop from $129 million in Q4 2023, reflecting a decline of over 99%.
EBITDA Decline and Margin Drop: Adjusted EBITDA fell to $53 million in Q4 2024 from $164 million in the same quarter last year, resulting in a margin decrease from 45% to 18%.
Revenue Decline Analysis: Average net selling prices decreased by 34% year-over-year, leading to a revenue drop of $67 million from $364 million in Q4 2023 to $297 million in Q4 2024.
Rising Operational Costs: Cash cost of sales increased to $226 million in Q4 2024, representing 77% of mining revenues, compared to 51% in the same quarter last year, indicating rising operational costs.
Negative Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow was negative $88 million in Q4 2024, driven by capital expenditures of $142 million, highlighting cash flow challenges amidst weak market conditions.
HCC FAQs
How does HCC typically perform around its earnings report dates?
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HCC Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Warrior Met Coal Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast, stock dips
HCC.N
-0.58%Positive
The earnings call revealed a significant drop in net income and adjusted EBITDA due to lower selling prices, despite increased production and sales volumes. The Q&A section highlighted uncertainties in labor contract negotiations and potential pricing pressures. While the Blue Creek project is progressing well, the overall financial performance and market conditions suggest a negative sentiment. The market cap indicates a moderate reaction, leading to a prediction of a 'Negative' stock price movement (-2% to -8%) over the next two weeks.
