EL Price Prediction Next Week
Technical Analysis: Based on recent price action, EL shows a consolidation pattern with RSI at 46.88, indicating neutral momentum. The stock is trading below all major moving averages (SMA 5, 10, 20, 60, 200, 250), suggesting a bearish trend. The MACD (-1.66) remains negative with a slight positive histogram (0.02), indicating potential weakness.
News Impact: The beauty industry is experiencing significant headwinds:
- Sluggish start to 2025
- Industry growth slowed from 5.5% to 3.5% in H2 2024
- Weak demand in Asia and North America
- Rising costs remain a persistent challenge
Price Prediction for Next Week: Based on Fibonacci levels and current technical setup:
- Support levels: $65.48 (S1), $63.48 (S2)
- Resistance levels: $71.99 (R1), $73.99 (R2)
Expected price range: $65.48 - $71.99
Target Price: $68.74 (Fibonacci pivot)
Recommendation: SELL Rationale:
- Bearish industry outlook
- Below all major moving averages
- Weak technical indicators
- Significant resistance overhead
- Negative industry sentiment and macro challenges
The stock is likely to test lower support levels before finding stability. Current price levels present an opportunity to exit positions before further potential decline.
EL Similar Chart Price Prediction
The price of EL is predicted to go up -6.92%, based on the high correlation periods with CSGS. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 97.09%.
EL
CSGS
Down: -6.92%Similarity: 97.09%
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EL VS S&P500
As a premium beauty pure-play, Estee Lauder is best equipped to capture growth opportunities as middle-class consumers globally upgrade from mass brands.
With a new factory built in Japan and an innovation center in China, Estee Lauder should be able to better serve consumer needs in the important Asia market with more relevant products and shorter lead time.
Heavy investments in the digital and travel retail channels should complement Estee's strong position in traditional brick-and-mortar channels to deliver a seamless shopping experience for consumers.
EL Analyst's Forecast
Mark Astrachan
Stifel
Hold
2025-02-05
Price Target
$81 → $77
Upside
+16.77%
Stifel lowered the firm's price target on Estee Lauder to $77 from $81 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares after its Q2 results and guidance. The firm's assumed lower multiple reflects its updated belief that efforts to improve meaningful share loss in recent years will require more time and investment than previously anticipated, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Stifel adds it is "underwhelmed" by the company's updated leadership team structure, thinking it could add complexity at a time when faster decision-making is needed.
Susan Anderson
Canaccord Genuity
Hold
2025-02-05
Price Target
$76 → $70
Upside
+6.16%
Christopher Carey
Wells Fargo
Hold
2025-01-30
Price Target
$74 → $80
Downside
-6.41%
