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DLTH Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Duluth Holdings Inc (DLTH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Sell
Latest Price
3.260
1 Day change
-3.55%
52 Week Range
4.660
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/08
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DLTH is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000. The stock lacks a strong bullish catalyst, shows weak recent fundamentals, and the technical setup is neutral-to-bearish. For an impatient buyer who does not want to wait for a better entry, this is still not an attractive purchase today.

Technical Analysis

Current price is 3.34, slightly below the previous close of 3.38. The MACD histogram is negative at -0.0477 and still below zero, indicating weak momentum even though it is contracting. RSI_6 at 50.877 is neutral, so there is no strong oversold or overbought signal. Moving averages are converging, which suggests indecision rather than a confirmed uptrend. Price is also trading below the pivot level of 3.45, with support at 3.233 and resistance at 3.667. The stock trend model suggests downside pressure over the next day, week, and month.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment looks mildly bullish on paper because the open interest put-call ratio is very low at 0.11, meaning calls dominate puts. However, actual option volume is zero, so there is no active confirmation from traders today. Implied volatility is elevated at 88.85 versus the recent 5-day and 10-day averages, which suggests the market expects larger price movement, but not necessarily a sustained upside move.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • Gross margin improved to 52.99%, up 20.08% YoY, which is the main positive fundamental point. The low put-call ratio also suggests some longer-dated options positioning is leaning constructive. There are no recent negative news headlines, and the market closed only slightly down overall.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No news was reported in the last week, so there is no fresh catalyst driving the stock higher. Revenue fell 10.52% YoY in the latest quarter, net income dropped sharply, and EPS also declined sharply. Hedge funds are neutral, insiders are neutral, and there is no recent congress trading data. The AI Stock Picker gave no signal, and SwingMax also gave no recent signal, removing any proprietary bullish trigger. The stock trend model points to further downside in the near term.

Financial Performance

In 2026/Q4, DLTH reported revenue of 215.893 million, down 10.52% YoY, showing a shrinking top line. Net income fell to 7.745 million, down 320.34% YoY, and EPS declined to 0.22, down 320.00% YoY, which is weak earnings performance. The one bright spot is gross margin, which increased to 52.99%, up 20.08% YoY, indicating better product profitability despite weaker sales. Overall, the latest quarter season was mixed to weak, with margin improvement not enough to offset revenue and earnings declines.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No specific analyst rating or target changes were provided in the data, so there is no evidence of a positive trend in Wall Street estimates. Based on the available information, the pro view is limited because margins improved and options positioning is somewhat bullish. The con view is stronger: sales and earnings fell sharply, there is no recent news catalyst, and no insider, hedge fund, or proprietary trading signal supports a buy.

Wall Street analysts forecast DLTH stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DLTH stock price to rise
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.380
sliders
Low
5
Averages
5
High
5
Current: 3.380
sliders
Low
5
Averages
5
High
5
Baird
Jonathan Komp
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$7 -> $5
AI Analysis
2025-12-17
Reason
Baird
Jonathan Komp
Price Target
$7 -> $5
AI Analysis
2025-12-17
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Baird analyst Jonathan Komp lowered the firm's price target on Duluth Holdings to $5 from $7 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q3 results.
Baird
Jonathan Komp
Neutral -> Outperform
upgrade
$2 -> $7
2025-09-05
Reason
Baird
Jonathan Komp
Price Target
$2 -> $7
2025-09-05
upgrade
Neutral -> Outperform
Reason
Baird analyst Jonathan Komp last night upgraded Duluth Holdings to Outperform from Neutral with a price target of $7, up from $2. The company's Q2 results were much stronger than expected due to actions to reduce promotions, raise average unit retails, and improved profitability, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says the quarter "materially increases" its confidence in Duluth's transformation. The stock can revert to more normalized valuation metrics which would bring "further substantial" appreciation, contends Baird.
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