DINO Valuation

HF Sinclair Corp

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53.110

+0.48(0.912%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

DINO Relative Valuation

DINO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, DINO is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

HF Sinclair Corp (DINO) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.37 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 9.59. The fair price of HF Sinclair Corp (DINO) is between 39.92 to 53.04 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

39.92-53.04

Current Price：52.65

Fair

13.26

Trailing

Forward

6.34

EV/EBITDA

HF Sinclair Corp. (DINO) has a current EV/EBITDA of 6.34. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 5.90. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.67, Undervalued between 1.67 and 3.79, Fairly Valued between 8.02 and 3.79, Overvalued between 8.02 and 10.13, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.13. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 6.34 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

10.43

EV/EBIT

HF Sinclair Corp. (DINO) has a current EV/EBIT of 10.43. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 12.03. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -14.99, Undervalued between -14.99 and -1.48, Fairly Valued between 25.54 and -1.48, Overvalued between 25.54 and 39.05, and Strongly Overvalued above 39.05. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 10.43 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.37

HF Sinclair Corp. (DINO) has a current PS of 0.37. The 5-year average PS is 0.31. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.20, Undervalued between 0.20 and 0.26, Fairly Valued between 0.37 and 0.26, Overvalued between 0.37 and 0.43, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.43. The current Forward PS of 0.37 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

7.01

P/OCF

HF Sinclair Corp. (DINO) has a current P/OCF of 7.01. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.69. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.66, Undervalued between 0.66 and 3.68, Fairly Valued between 9.71 and 3.68, Overvalued between 9.71 and 12.73, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.73. The current Forward P/OCF of 7.01 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

11.59

P/FCF

HF Sinclair Corp. (DINO) has a current P/FCF of 11.59. The 5-year average P/FCF is 31.45. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -208.27, Undervalued between -208.27 and -88.41, Fairly Valued between 151.31 and -88.41, Overvalued between 151.31 and 271.16, and Strongly Overvalued above 271.16. The current Forward P/FCF of 11.59 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

HF Sinclair Corp (DINO) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.06. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.97 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 8.83% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.99, the current P/B ratio is about 7.68% higher. HF Sinclair Corp (DINO) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 5.81%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 18.94%, the current FCF yield is approximately -69.33% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 12.14% , the current FCF yield is about -52.12% lower.

1.06

P/B

Median3y

0.97

Median5y

0.99

5.81

FCF Yield

Median3y

18.94

Median5y

12.14

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for DINO's competitors is 0.32, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. HF Sinclair Corp Corp (DINO) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.37, which is 13.98% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -13.53%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Delek US Holdings Inc

Par Pacific Holdings Inc

0.28

-6.15%

1.81B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of DINO increased by 21.45% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 1.96 to 3.10.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -13.53%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of DINO in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-13.53%

7.85B → 6.78B

Revenue Growth

58.16%

1.96 → 3.10

Margin Expansion

-23.18%

-146.72 → -112.71

P/E Change

21.45%