Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of HF Sinclair Corp(DINO) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of HF Sinclair Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-10-30 | Pre-Market | 1.94 | 2.44 | +25.77 | 7.09B | 7.25B | +2.27 | -2.22 | -0.93 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-07-31 | Pre-Market | 1.09 | 1.70 | +55.96 | 6.96B | 6.78B | -2.58 | +1.17 | +0.76 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-05-01 | Pre-Market | -0.41 | -0.27 | +34.15 | 6.79B | 6.37B | -6.20 | +3.99 | +8.45 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-02-20 | Pre-Market | -0.91 | -1.02 | -12.09 | 6.56B | 6.50B | -0.88 | -1.14 | -8.90 |
| FY2024Q3 | 2024-10-31 | Pre-Market | 0.29 | 0.51 | +75.86 | 7.11B | 7.21B | +1.35 | -5.41 | +3.60 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-08-01 | - | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.33 | 7.83B | 7.85B | +0.15 | -2.74 | -11.37 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-05-08 | - | 0.55 | 0.71 | +29.09 | 7.68B | 7.03B | -8.46 | +3.83 | +3.74 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2024-02-21 | - | 0.67 | 0.87 | +29.85 | 7.72B | 7.66B | -0.83 | -1.40 | -0.33 |
| FY2023Q3 | 2023-11-02 | - | 3.65 | 4.06 | +11.23 | 8.43B | 8.91B | +5.63 | +3.55 | -4.52 |
| FY2023Q2 | 2023-08-03 | - | 2.27 | 2.60 | +14.54 | 7.45B | 7.83B | +5.19 | +2.75 | +13.73 |
DINO Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, HF Sinclair Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-30. The company achieved an EPS of 2.44, compared to analyst estimates of 1.94 by 25.77% . Revenue for the quarter reached 7.25B compared to expectations of 7.09B by 2.27% .
The stock price reacted with a -2.22% one-day change and a -0.93% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in HF Sinclair Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
DINO Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, HF Sinclair Corp(DINO) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 6.40B and an EPS of 1.07.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.5%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 57.48%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -3.69% . These revisions correlate with a -1.39% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in HF Sinclair Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between DINO's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.5%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+57.48%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-3.69%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-1.39%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:26.83B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:4.87
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Stock Price50.39
DINO Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
HF Sinclair Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.44 (Actual) vs.1.94 (Estimate) (25.77%)
Revenue: 7.25B (Actual) vs. 7.09B (Estimate) (2.27%)
Price Reaction: -2.22%(1-Day), -0.93%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-31,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.70 (Actual) vs.1.09 (Estimate) (55.96%)
Revenue: 6.78B (Actual) vs. 6.96B (Estimate) (-2.58%)
Price Reaction: 1.17%(1-Day), 0.76%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-01,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.27 (Actual) vs.-0.41 (Estimate) (34.15%)
Revenue: 6.37B (Actual) vs. 6.79B (Estimate) (-6.20%)
Price Reaction: 3.99%(1-Day), 8.45%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how DINO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, DINO sees a -1.65% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.82% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.24%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -2.20% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 2.41% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
HF Sinclair Corp (DINO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-30
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant cash flow and a manageable debt level. The company has optimistic guidance on refining margins and future benefits from small refinery exemptions. There is a clear strategy for capital returns to shareholders and plans for expansion in high-value markets. While some details were withheld, the overall sentiment from management is positive, supported by bullish market conditions and strategic advantages in infrastructure expansion. Despite some uncertainties, the positive outlook on margins and strategic growth initiatives suggest a positive stock movement.
HF Sinclair Corp (DINO) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-31
The earnings call showed strong financial performance with a successful turnaround execution, increased branded supply, and debt refinancing. Despite a drop in EBITDA in the Specialties Segment, the Midstream Segment saw an increase. The Q&A highlighted strong capture rates, commitment to buybacks, and positive growth strategies. Although some concerns exist regarding renewable diesel margins and legislative impacts, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by organic growth plans and a balanced approach to shareholder returns. The company's ability to adapt to changing conditions and focus on high-margin products further supports a positive outlook.
HF Sinclair Corp (DINO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-01
The earnings report shows a significant decline in financial performance, with net losses and decreased EBITDA across several segments. The Q&A reveals flat demand and regulatory uncertainties impacting the renewable diesel business. While there are some positive signs in the midstream and marketing segments, the overall sentiment is negative due to financial losses and unclear guidance on key issues. The absence of tax credits and heavy turnaround spending further contribute to a negative outlook, suggesting a stock price decline.
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-10-31
The earnings report shows a significant decline in key financial metrics, including net income and EBITDA, indicating weak financial performance. The Q&A section reveals management's reluctance to provide specific guidance on cost reductions and refining capture rates, raising concerns. Despite some positive operational updates, the overall sentiment is negative due to declining margins and financial results. The lack of clear guidance and missed earnings expectations suggest a negative stock price reaction in the near term.
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-01
The earnings call revealed mixed results: decreased profitability and margins, but improved renewable segment and operational efficiencies. The Q&A showed optimism in lubes and renewable diesel, but unclear strategy for lubricants. The $1 billion share repurchase is positive, yet financial performance concerns and lack of strong guidance limit stock movement. Overall, the sentiment is neutral.
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FAQ
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How does DINO’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
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