Quarterly Results
CMC Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, CMC remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q2 project quarter revenue of 2.02B and an EPS of 1.23.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Upward by 2.99%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 20.72%. For the upcoming Q1 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -3.2% . These revisions correlate with a 19.05% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in CMC long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CMC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CMC sees a -0.11% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.98% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.67%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in NOV/2025, the stock changed % on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 0% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of CMC's latest earnings report for FY2026Q1?
CMC reported its FY2026Q1 earnings on 2026-01-08, showcasing a revenue of 2.12B against an estimate of 2.00B, resulting in a 6% surprise. The EPS was 1.84, surpassing the expected 1.55 by 18.71% . The stock experienced a 0% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did CMC's stock price react after the FY2026Q1 earnings release?
Following CMC's FY2026Q1 earnings announcement on 2026-01-08, the stock price moved by % on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a % change. Historically, CMC's stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.11% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -0.98% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for CMC for 2026/Q2?
For 2026/Q2, analysts estimate CMC’s annual revenue to reach 2.02B, while the EPS is projected at 1.23. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 2.99% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -3.2% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does CMC's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between CMC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Upward by 2.99%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -3.2% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from CMC's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, CMC's stock price typically moves by -0.11% in the 10 days before its earnings and -0.98% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q2 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.23 and revenue of 2.02B.
What is the sentiment in Commercial Metals Co (CMC) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with positive surprises from recent acquisitions and no unexpected negatives. The market can absorb new supply, and initiatives like TAG and scrap sorting are expected to improve margins. Despite typical seasonal declines, the outlook remains optimistic with substantial demand and strategic investments. While guidance on D&A was unclear, overall sentiment is positive with expected EBITDA growth and improved margins, suggesting a potential stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.

