The chart below shows how REYN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, REYN sees a +0.02% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.36% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.34%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Retail Volume Increase: Consolidated retail volume increased by 1% in Q4 2024, reflecting a strong performance across all business units, including Reynolds Cooking & Baking and Hefty Waste & Storage, which each delivered 3 points of volume growth.
2024 Revenue Performance: Net revenues for 2024 reached $3.695 billion, exceeding initial guidance and demonstrating sequentially improving retail volume performance.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA for 2024 was $678 million, a 7% increase from 2023, with margin expansion of 140 basis points driven by lower operational costs and product portfolio optimization.
Strong Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow for 2024 was robust at $369 million, enabling the company to pay down $150 million of debt, enhancing financial flexibility and positioning for future investments.
Earnings Per Share Increase: Adjusted earnings per share increased by 18% to $1.67 in 2024, up from $1.42 in 2023, reflecting strong operational performance and effective cost management.
Negative
Adjusted EBITDA Decline: Adjusted EBITDA of $213 million in Q4 2024 was $25 million below the same period in 2023, driven by anticipated higher operational costs and lower pricing.
Earnings Per Share Decline: Adjusted earnings per share decreased to $0.58 in Q4 2024, down from $0.65 per share in Q4 2023, reflecting a decline in profitability year-over-year.
Q4 Revenue Performance Challenges: Net revenues for Q4 2024 were $1,021 million, which, while above Q4 2023, faced a headwind of 1 point from product portfolio optimization, indicating potential challenges in revenue stability.
Revenue Decline Forecast: The company expects 2025 net revenues to decline by low-single digits, primarily due to a projected double-digit decline in foam dishes, which represent less than 10% of revenue but contribute to earnings pressure.
2025 EBITDA Guidance Decline: The guidance for 2025 adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $670 million to $690 million, which reflects a decrease compared to the previous year, indicating potential challenges in maintaining earnings growth.
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (NASDAQ:REYN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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