The chart below shows how QTWO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, QTWO sees a +0.48% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +7.17% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.36%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Non-GAAP Revenue Increase: Non-GAAP revenue reached $175 million, reflecting a 13% year-over-year increase, surpassing the high end of guidance.
Subscription Revenue Growth: Subscription revenue grew by 18% year-over-year, accounting for over 80% of total revenue, indicating a successful strategic shift towards higher-margin recurring revenue streams.
Annual Recurring Revenue Growth: Total annualized recurring revenue (ARR) increased to $796 million, up 15% year-over-year, driven by new customer wins and expansion bookings with existing customers.
EBITDA Growth Surge: Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $32.6 million, a 66% increase from the prior year, demonstrating significant improvement in profitability.
Free Cash Flow Increase: Free cash flow for the quarter was $35 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of $70 million, which is a substantial increase from $10 million in the same period last year.
Negative
Subscription Revenue Moderation: Subscription revenue growth is expected to moderate to 12%-14% year-over-year in Q4 2024, down from 16% in Q3 2024, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum.
Revenue Decline Analysis: Services and other revenues declined by 11% year-over-year, primarily due to a reduction in professional service revenues, which are discretionary and expected to persist into the foreseeable future.
Services Segment Decline: The company anticipates continued headwinds in its Services segment, with an average year-over-year decline of roughly 12% in 2024, reflecting a strategic focus on higher-margin growth opportunities.
Backlog Conversion Challenges: Despite a strong backlog of over $2 billion, the company faces challenges in converting this into revenue due to the discretionary nature of some services, which are under 50% of the total services revenue.
Declining Professional Services Revenue: The company has seen a persistent pattern of declining professional services revenue, which has negatively impacted total annualized recurring revenue (ARR) growth, despite overall ARR increasing by 15% year-over-year.
Q2 Holdings, Inc. (QTWO) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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