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CHDN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
88.270
1 Day change
0.58%
52 Week Range
118.450
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) does not present a strong buy opportunity for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. While the company has positive long-term growth prospects and favorable analyst ratings, the lack of immediate trading signals, neutral technical indicators, and negative hedge fund sentiment suggest that waiting for a clearer entry point may be prudent.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is above 0 and positively contracting, indicating mild bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 49.635, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. Key support is at 86.134, and resistance is at 92.522. The stock is trading near its pivot point of 89.328, suggesting indecision in the market.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high Put-Call ratios indicate bearish sentiment in the options market, with significantly higher put volume compared to call volume. This suggests traders are hedging or expecting downside risk.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • Positive analyst ratings and price target increases from firms like Barclays, JPMorgan, and Citizens, citing long-term growth potential and solid EBITDA performance. The company's collaboration with Maryland on the Preakness Stakes redevelopment could enhance its market position in the long term.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 115.46% increase in selling activity last quarter. The options market shows bearish sentiment. Recent news about the sale of intellectual property rights for the Preakness Stakes could increase regulatory scrutiny and impact market perception.

Financial Performance

No financial data available for the latest quarter, but analysts have highlighted solid discretionary free cash flow and a 3% adjusted EBITDA beat in Q1.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain an overall positive outlook with multiple Overweight and Buy ratings. Price targets have been raised by several firms, with the highest target at $149. Analysts are optimistic about long-term growth, particularly in horse racing and digital gaming.

Wall Street analysts forecast CHDN stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CHDN stock price to rise
7 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 87.760
sliders
Low
125
Averages
137.33
High
146
Current: 87.760
sliders
Low
125
Averages
137.33
High
146
Barclays
Overweight
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-05-04
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-05-04
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Barclays says Churchill Downs' Kentucky Derby wagering results were in-line with guidance, tempered by a decline on the late number of horse scratches. The company's guidance "should be considered another step in the right direction on the road to recovering investors' confidence in long term steady growth for the Derby," the analyst tells investors in a research note. Churchill was able to meet its target range despite a decline in wagering volumes on Derby Day, Barclays points out. It believes confidence in the long-term Derby growth should build and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
JPMorgan
Overweight
maintain
2026-05-04
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
2026-05-04
maintain
Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan says that following the Kentucky Derby on Saturday, Churchill Downs expects Derby week EBITDA to increase by $15M-$18M year-over-year, comparable to its guidance for $15M-$20M. The firm estimates the midpoint of the range equates to 10% year-over-year EBITDA growth, and implies Derby week EBITDA totaled around $180M-$185M. JPMorgan has an Overweight rating on Churchill Downs shares.
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