CHDN Stock Price Prediction

Churchill Downs Inc

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90.710

-2.520(-2.700%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Churchill Downs Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. CHDN has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

CHDN stock price ended at $90.71 on Monday, after losing -2.7%

The Churchill Downs Inc stock price decreased by -2.7% on the last trading day (05 May 2025), dropping from 92.74 to 90.71. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.66% , ranging from a day low of $89.84 to a day high of 93.13. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -9.29% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 399.49K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.20M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 109.21M.

CHDN Technical Signals

CHDN(Churchill Downs Inc Corp) has 0 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-25. The total price change during this trend is +2.67%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of CHDN over the last 5 trading days is 99.48M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

CHDN Moving Average Analysis

Churchill Downs Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, May 6, 2025, with 4 negative signals and 0 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $110.09236666666666, and $118.93566666666666. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $81.47896666666665, and $72.63566666666665. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

CHDN Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Churchill Downs Inc(CHDN) as of 02 May 2025 is 24.45%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 90.95 to 93.23. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Strong sell

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

0 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

No Data

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-12.231

Bearish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-9.29

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-4.879

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 5-day SMA

Bearish

CHDN Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Churchill Downs Inc(CHDN), our algorithm predicts CHDN's 1-month price at $102.26, with an 9.69%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.75%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a 9.69% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with MOG.B.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.75%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

CHDN

Future prediction

Up: 9.69%

MOG.B

Up: 9.69%Similarity: 97.75%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

MOG.B.N

97.75%

+9.69%

RDIB.O

97.70%

+5.43%

KGEI.O

97.53%

-25.00%

RMD.N

97.47%

+0.42%

QGEN.N

97.31%

+6.09%

EU.A

97.23%

0.00%

VOXR.O

97.12%

+0.88%

WINT.O

97.04%

-9.39%

PLL.O

96.93%

-4.53%

CHDN Seasonality Analysis

Based on CHDN's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in CHDN. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while September has the lowest probability (40.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Churchill Downs Inc. (CHDN)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.