BLBD Valuation

Blue Bird Corp

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55.310

+0.63(1.152%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

BLBD Relative Valuation

BLBD's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, BLBD is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.00 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 13.15. The fair price of Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) is between +Inf to +Inf according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 55.43 USD , Blue Bird Corp is Undervalued By Fair.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

+Inf-+Inf

Current Price：55.43

Fair

Undervalued

13.34

Trailing

Forward

7.93

EV/EBITDA

Blue Bird Corp. (BLBD) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.93. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 17.28. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -27.36, Undervalued between -27.36 and -5.04, Fairly Valued between 39.61 and -5.04, Overvalued between 39.61 and 61.93, and Strongly Overvalued above 61.93. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.93 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

9.60

EV/EBIT

Blue Bird Corp. (BLBD) has a current EV/EBIT of 9.60. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 10.32. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -38.59, Undervalued between -38.59 and -14.13, Fairly Valued between 34.78 and -14.13, Overvalued between 34.78 and 59.23, and Strongly Overvalued above 59.23. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 9.60 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.18

Blue Bird Corp. (BLBD) has a current PS of 1.18. The 5-year average PS is 0.70. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.22, Undervalued between 0.22 and 0.46, Fairly Valued between 0.94 and 0.46, Overvalued between 0.94 and 1.17, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.17. The current Forward PS of 1.18 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

13.46

P/OCF

Blue Bird Corp. (BLBD) has a current P/OCF of 13.46. The 5-year average P/OCF is 11.56. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -22.87, Undervalued between -22.87 and -5.65, Fairly Valued between 28.78 and -5.65, Overvalued between 28.78 and 46.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 46.00. The current Forward P/OCF of 13.46 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-11672.75

P/FCF

Blue Bird Corp. (BLBD) has a current P/FCF of -11672.75. The 5-year average P/FCF is -227.40. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3393.80, Undervalued between -3393.80 and -1810.60, Fairly Valued between 1355.80 and -1810.60, Overvalued between 1355.80 and 2938.99, and Strongly Overvalued above 2938.99. The current Forward P/FCF of -11672.75 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 7.76. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of -23.72 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -132.72% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -15.36, the current P/B ratio is about -150.52% higher. Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 5.75%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 1.24% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

7.76

P/B

Median3y

-23.72

Median5y

-15.36

8.17

FCF Yield

Median3y

5.75

Median5y

1.24

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for BLBD's competitors is 0.82, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Blue Bird Corp Corp (BLBD) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.18, which is 44.04% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 19.39%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG

Miller Industries Inc

0.58

-42.38%

514.01M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of BLBD increased by 8.07% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 333.37M to 398.01M.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed 6.39%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of BLBD in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

19.39%

333.37M → 398.01M

Revenue Growth

6.39%

8.61 → 9.16

Margin Expansion

-17.71%

19.05 → 15.68

P/E Change

8.07%