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BLBD Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Blue Bird Corp(BLBD) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Blue Bird Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q42025-11-24After Hours0.961.32+37.50380.37M409.37M+7.62-5.50-7.89
FY2025Q32025-08-06After Hours0.851.19+40.00377.64M398.01M+5.39+18.51+27.98
FY2025Q22025-05-07After Hours0.950.96+1.05348.23M358.85M+3.05-1.38+7.55
FY2025Q12025-02-05After Hours0.810.92+13.58308.31M313.87M+1.80+4.20-0.11
FY2024Q42024-11-25After Hours0.730.77+5.48343.95M350.21M+1.82-5.00-2.59
FY2024Q32024-08-07After Hours0.430.85+97.67326.68M333.37M+2.05+0.27-2.93
FY2024Q22024-05-08-0.310.83+167.74298.41M345.92M+15.92+1.16+35.44
FY2024Q12024-02-07-0.340.86+152.94275.13M317.66M+15.46+0.26-2.31
FY2023Q42023-12-11-0.460.62+34.78290.11M302.96M+4.43+1.07+15.34
FY2023Q32023-08-09-0.240.42+75.00285.00M294.28M+3.26-1.09-3.27
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BLBD Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Blue Bird Corp reported performance for FY2025Q4, announced on 2025-11-24. The company achieved an EPS of 1.32, compared to analyst estimates of 0.96 by 37.50% . Revenue for the quarter reached 409.37M compared to expectations of 380.37M by 7.62% .
The stock price reacted with a -5.50% one-day change and a -7.89% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Blue Bird Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

BLBD Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Blue Bird Corp(BLBD) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q1 project quarter revenue of 325.74M and an EPS of 0.80.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Upward by 0.36%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 1.16%. For the upcoming Q1 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -2.5% . These revisions correlate with a -13.46% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Blue Bird Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between BLBD's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.36%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.16%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q1 2026
Revise Downward
down Image
-2.5%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-13.46%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2026
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2026:1.52B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2026:4.28
—
Stock Price50.91
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Financial AI Agent

BLBD Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Blue Bird Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q4 (2025-11-24,After Hours):
EPS: 1.32 (Actual) vs.0.96 (Estimate) (37.50%)
Revenue: 409.37M (Actual) vs. 380.37M (Estimate) (7.62%)
Price Reaction: -5.50%(1-Day), -7.89%(5-Day)
FY2025Q3 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 1.19 (Actual) vs.0.85 (Estimate) (40.00%)
Revenue: 398.01M (Actual) vs. 377.64M (Estimate) (5.39%)
Price Reaction: 18.51%(1-Day), 27.98%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-05-07,After Hours):
EPS: 0.96 (Actual) vs.0.95 (Estimate) (1.05%)
Revenue: 358.85M (Actual) vs. 348.23M (Estimate) (3.05%)
Price Reaction: -1.38%(1-Day), 7.55%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how BLBD performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, BLBD sees a -3.00% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +9.01% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.57%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -5.50% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -7.20% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-24
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with raised revenue and EBITDA guidance, an increased share repurchase program, and a strong EV sales forecast. The Q&A section reveals confidence in state subsidies over federal programs and stable demand despite earlier tariff issues. While management was unclear on some metrics, overall sentiment is positive, supported by a strong backlog and strategic investments. Considering the market cap of $1.76 billion, the stock is likely to see a positive movement of 2% to 8%.
Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-06
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record revenue, increased sales volumes, and improved margins. Despite some concerns about backlog and tariffs, management's optimism about order recovery and sustainable margins is reassuring. The Q&A session revealed confidence in EV momentum and addressed pricing concerns, suggesting stability. The positive outlook on financial metrics and strategic initiatives, including automation and state incentives, supports a positive sentiment. Given the company's mid-cap status, the stock is likely to react positively in the short term, with a predicted price movement between 2% and 8%.
Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-07
The earnings call highlights positive financial metrics such as increased revenue, strong EV sales, and a healthy cash position. However, concerns about supply chain challenges, regulatory uncertainty, and competitive pressures balance this positivity. The Q&A session reveals management's vague responses on key issues like margin improvements and EV pricing. Despite a share repurchase program, the mixed signals from guidance and external challenges suggest a neutral sentiment, with limited immediate stock price movement expected.
Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-06
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with increased EBITDA margin and liquidity, and a robust share buyback program. Despite risks from tariffs and funding pauses, the company maintains optimistic guidance and growth plans, particularly in EV sales. The market strategy and shareholder return plans are well-received, though some uncertainties remain. Given the company's small-cap status, the positive sentiment and strategic initiatives are likely to result in a 2% to 8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-26
The earnings call highlights strong financial metrics, including doubled EBITDA, increased sales revenue, and a substantial share buyback program. Despite concerns over regulatory reliance and competition, the company has raised guidance, indicating confidence. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism, with management addressing risks and uncertainties, but overall sentiment remains positive. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a predicted stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-08
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with increased revenue, net income, and cash position. Despite a slight negative free cash flow, the company shows strong liquidity and minimal net debt. The Q&A session highlights positive sentiment around national fleet business expansion and environmental support for bus funding. However, management's vague responses on long-term margins and potential cost pressures are concerns. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, but overall, the positive financial metrics and optimistic guidance indicate a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8%.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of BLBD’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q4?

BLBD reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2025-11-24, showcasing a revenue of 409.37M against an estimate of 380.37M, resulting in a 7.62% surprise. The EPS was 1.32, surpassing the expected 0.96 by 37.5% . The stock experienced a -5.5% price change on the earnings day and a -7.89% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did BLBD’s stock price react after the FY2025Q4 earnings release?

Following BLBD’s FY2025Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-11-24, the stock price moved by -5.50% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -7.89% change. Historically, BLBD’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -3.00% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +9.01% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for BLBD for 2026/Q1?

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate BLBD’s annual revenue to reach 325.74M, while the EPS is projected at 0.80. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.36% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -2.5% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does BLBD’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between BLBD’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Upward by 0.36%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -2.5% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from BLBD’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, BLBD’s stock price typically moves by -3.00% in the 10 days before its earnings and +9.01% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.80 and revenue of 325.74M.
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What is the sentiment in Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with raised revenue and EBITDA guidance, an increased share repurchase program, and a strong EV sales forecast. The Q&A section reveals confidence in state subsidies over federal programs and stable demand despite earlier tariff issues. While management was unclear on some metrics, overall sentiment is positive, supported by a strong backlog and strategic investments. Considering the market cap of $1.76 billion, the stock is likely to see a positive movement of 2% to 8%.
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