AXP Valuation

American Express Co

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331.280

+4.29(1.312%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AXP Relative Valuation

AXP's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AXP is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

American Express Co (AXP) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 20.63 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 17.10. The fair price of American Express Co (AXP) is between 280.61 to 351.22 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

280.61-351.22

Current Price：331.28

Fair

20.63

Trailing

Forward

0.00

EV/EBITDA

American Express Co. (AXP) has a current EV/EBITDA of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

NaN

EV/EBIT

American Express Co. (AXP) has a current EV/EBIT of NaN. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is NaN. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below NaN, Undervalued between NaN and NaN, Fairly Valued between NaN and NaN, Overvalued between NaN and NaN, and Strongly Overvalued above NaN. The current Forward EV/EBIT of NaN falls within the range.

3.10

American Express Co. (AXP) has a current PS of 3.10. The 5-year average PS is 2.44. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.58, Undervalued between 1.58 and 2.01, Fairly Valued between 2.87 and 2.01, Overvalued between 2.87 and 3.30, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.30. The current Forward PS of 3.10 falls within the Overvalued range.

0.00

P/OCF

American Express Co. (AXP) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 4.81. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -8.33, Undervalued between -8.33 and -1.76, Fairly Valued between 11.38 and -1.76, Overvalued between 11.38 and 17.95, and Strongly Overvalued above 17.95. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

American Express Co. (AXP) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 3.29. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -9.03, Undervalued between -9.03 and -2.87, Fairly Valued between 9.45 and -2.87, Overvalued between 9.45 and 15.61, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.61. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

American Express Co (AXP) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 7.14. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 5.51 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 29.44% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 5.35, the current P/B ratio is about 33.46% higher. American Express Co (AXP) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.81%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 11.22%, the current FCF yield is approximately -57.12% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 9.81% , the current FCF yield is about -50.97% lower.

7.14

P/B

Median3y

5.51

Median5y

5.35

4.81

FCF Yield

Median3y

11.22

Median5y

9.81

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AXP's competitors is 4.81, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. American Express Co Corp (AXP) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.10, which is -35.65% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 7.48%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

SoFi Technologies Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AXP increased by 22.47% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 18.48 to 23.29.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 7.48%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AXP in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

7.48%

13.04B → 14.02B

Revenue Growth

-10.99%

23.12 → 20.58

Margin Expansion

25.98%

18.48 → 23.29

P/E Change

22.47%