ARES Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how ARES performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ARES sees a -1.32% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.75% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
ARES Key Earning Data
ARES Earnings Analysis
Positive
Quarterly Dividend Increase: Ares Management declared a quarterly dividend of $1.12 per share, a 20% increase year-over-year.
Management Fee and Income Growth: The company reported year-over-year growth in management fees of 18%, FRE growth of 22%, and after-tax realized income per share growth of 36%.
Record Fundraising Achievement: Ares raised over $20 billion in gross new capital commitments, the highest level for first quarter fundraising on record.
AUM Milestone Achievement: Total AUM reached $546 billion, marking a significant milestone for the company, with a year-over-year growth of 27%.
Available Capital for Growth: The company has $142 billion of available capital, providing significant capacity for management fee growth.
Record Fundraising Activity: Ares experienced the highest first quarter of fundraising activity in its history, with over 45% coming from outside the credit group.
Equity Commitments Increase: The firm raised $3.7 billion in quarterly equity commitments and $5 billion in total commitments across its eight perpetual semi-liquid products.
Fundraising Momentum Progress: The integration with GCP International is progressing well, with early fundraising momentum being encouraging.
Strong Credit Portfolio Performance: Ares' corporate credit portfolios are performing well, with strong credit quality and low leverage ratios.
Economic Resilience Strategy: The company is well-positioned to navigate economic uncertainty, with a stable asset-light business model and a high ratio of dry powder to AUM.
Negative
Market Volatility Impact: Increased market volatility and uncertainty impacted overall market activity, particularly in liquid credit and equity markets, leading to a risk-off position among banks and investors.
Market Volatility Impact: Despite strong fundraising and deployment activities, the market's anxiety over tariffs and geopolitical events created a new phase of volatility, affecting transaction activity levels.
GCP Margin Integration Challenges: The integration of GCP International is currently a drag on margins, with GCP's FRE margins below the company's average, although expected to improve over time.
M&A Transaction Outlook: While the company has a strong investment pipeline, new M&A transactions are likely to be slower until there is more certainty regarding tariffs and economic conditions.
Credit Market Impact on Earnings: The potential for a prolonged pause in credit markets could extend the duration of assets and delay the timing of performance income payments, impacting future earnings.
Quarterly Revenue Volatility: The company anticipates that the majority of its Credit Group's performance-related revenues will be realized in the fourth quarter, indicating potential volatility in income recognition throughout the year.
ARES FAQs
How does ARES typically perform around its earnings report dates?
ARES's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -1.32% change leading up to the report and a +0.75% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Ares Management Corp (ARES) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
ARES Earning Call Sentiment
Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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