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AFL Earnings

Aflac Inc
$
101.830
+0.41(0.404%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Aflac Inc(AFL) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Aflac Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q22025-08-05After Hours1.72--4.40B----
FY2025Q12025-04-30After Hours1.681.66-1.194.27B3.40B-20.39-4.75-2.56
FY2024Q42025-02-05After Hours1.621.56-3.704.16B5.40B+29.78-3.92-4.05
FY2024Q32024-10-30After Hours1.702.16+27.064.46B2.95B-33.89-4.81-1.39
FY2024Q22024-07-31-1.591.83+15.094.31B5.14B+19.10+0.02+3.40
FY2024Q12024-05-01-1.581.66+5.064.30B5.44B+26.53+1.10+1.23
FY2023Q42024-01-31-1.471.25-14.974.39B3.78B-14.01-1.62-10.28
FY2023Q32023-11-01-1.441.84+27.784.45B4.95B+11.21+1.20+3.67
FY2023Q22023-08-01-1.421.58+11.274.47B5.17B+15.71-0.32+7.76
-2023-04-26-1.381.55+12.32----0.58+4.36

AFL Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Aflac Inc reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-08-05. The company achieved an EPS of , compared to analyst estimates of 1.72 by % . Revenue for the quarter reached 0.00 compared to expectations of 4.40B by % .
The stock price reacted with a % one-day change and a % five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Aflac Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

AFL Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Aflac Inc(AFL) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q2 project quarter revenue of 4.30B and an EPS of 1.71.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.31%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.78%. For the upcoming Q2 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.97% . These revisions correlate with a -2.99% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Aflac Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between AFL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.31%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.78%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q2 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.97%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-2.99%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:17.36B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:6.74
Stock Price101.83

AFL Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Aflac Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-05,After Hours):
EPS: (Actual) vs.1.72 (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 0.00 (Actual) vs. 4.40B (Estimate) (%)
Price Reaction: %(1-Day), %(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,After Hours):
EPS: 1.66 (Actual) vs.1.68 (Estimate) (-1.19%)
Revenue: 3.40B (Actual) vs. 4.27B (Estimate) (-20.39%)
Price Reaction: -4.75%(1-Day), -2.56%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-02-05,After Hours):
EPS: 1.56 (Actual) vs.1.62 (Estimate) (-3.70%)
Revenue: 5.40B (Actual) vs. 4.16B (Estimate) (29.78%)
Price Reaction: -3.92%(1-Day), -4.05%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AFL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AFL sees a -0.76% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.75% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in MAR/2025, the stock changed -4.75% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -4.40% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

Aflac Inc (AFL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-01
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong capital ratios and strategic product launches are positive, but financial metrics like net investment income and pretax margins show declines. The Q&A reveals concerns about competition and unclear management responses. Guidance is stable, but with weak financial performance and mixed outlooks, the short-term impact is likely neutral.
Aflac Inc (AFL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-06
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate a generally positive outlook. Aflac showed strong financial performance with significant EPS growth and a record pretax profit margin in Japan. The company maintained strong dividend growth and share repurchases, which are positive for shareholder returns. Despite some concerns about the competitive environment and expense ratios, management's optimism about sales recovery and new product launches in Japan supports a positive sentiment. The guidance adjustments are not overly negative, and the company's financial health remains robust, suggesting a positive stock price movement.
Aflac Incorporated (AFL) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-31
The earnings call summary indicates positive financial performance with growth in U.S. sales and strong pre-tax margins. The Q&A highlights strategic initiatives like leveraging the 50th anniversary for cancer insurance sales and capital allocation focus. Despite some concerns about competition and vague responses, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by share repurchases and dividend payments. The optimistic guidance and strategic focus on growth and profitability suggest a likely positive stock price movement in the short term.
Aflac Incorporated (AFL) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-01
Financial performance is strong with a 15.8% increase in adjusted earnings per share, favorable expense management, and strong pre-tax margins in Japan. Persistency rates in the US show improvement, and a record share repurchase and dividend increase highlight strong shareholder returns. Despite some concerns about expense sustainability and management's reluctance to provide specific guidance, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of AFL’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?

AFL reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-08-05, showcasing a revenue of 0.00 against an estimate of 4.40B, resulting in a 0% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 1.72 by 0% . The stock experienced a 0% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did AFL’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AFL for 2025/Q2?

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How does AFL’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from AFL’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in Aflac Inc (AFL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary?