AIG Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how AIG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AIG sees a -0.07% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.14% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.16%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
AIG Key Earning Data
AIG Earnings Analysis
Positive
Strong Q1 Performance: AIG reported exceptional overall performance in Q1 2025, achieving adjusted after-tax income of $702 million or $1.17 per diluted share.
Net Premiums Growth: Net premiums written increased by 8% year-over-year to $4.5 billion, driven by a 10% growth in Global Commercial.
North America Insurance Premium Growth: North America Commercial Insurance net premiums written grew 14% year-over-year, with Lexington Casualty growing 27%.
Middle Market Growth: Lexington submission growth continued, increasing 30% year-over-year, indicating strong demand in the middle market casualty and property segments.
International Insurance Premium Growth: International Commercial Insurance net premiums written grew 8% year-over-year on an FX-adjusted basis, with property growth at 35%.
Expense Ratio Improvement: General insurance expense ratio improved to 30.5%, down from 31.8% in the prior year quarter, largely due to the divestiture of the travel business.
Strong Combined Ratio Performance: The accident year combined ratio was 87.8%, the best first quarter result for AIG since the financial crisis, showcasing effective management of underwriting and volatility.
Shareholder Capital Return: AIG returned $2.5 billion of capital to shareholders in Q1 2025, including $2.2 billion in share repurchases and a 12.5% increase in quarterly dividends to $0.45 per share.
Earnings Growth Outlook: The company is on track to achieve a 20%-plus earnings per share compound annual growth rate over the next three years, with strong top-line growth and managed volatility.
Joint Venture Growth Potential: AIG's joint venture with Tata Group in India is positioned for significant growth, with Tata AIG expected to continue a compound annual growth rate of 20% through 2030.
Negative
Catastrophe Loss Impact: Adjusted pre-tax income decreased by $379 million from the prior year quarter due to higher catastrophe losses, primarily related to the California wildfires.
Underwriting Income Decline: Underwriting income was down $353 million from the prior year quarter, reflecting higher catastrophe losses.
Combined Ratio Increase: The General Insurance combined ratio increased to 95.8% compared to 89.8% in the prior year quarter, including 9.1 points of CAT losses versus 1.9 points in the first quarter of 2024.
Loss Ratio Increase: The accident year loss ratio increased by 40 basis points year-over-year due to changes in business mix.
Tangible Book Value Decline: The adjusted tangible book value per share decreased by 8% from March 31, 2024, primarily due to the impact of the Corebridge deconsolidation.
Combined Ratio Challenges: The accident year combined ratio for Global Personal was 107.9%, indicating challenges in that segment despite some improvements in the underlying high-net-worth book.
Pricing Pressures in International Commercial: The overall pricing in International Commercial was slightly below loss cost trend, indicating potential pricing pressures in that segment.
AIG FAQs
How does AIG typically perform around its earnings report dates?
AIG's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -0.07% change leading up to the report and a +1.14% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is American International Group Inc (AIG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
AIG Earning Call Sentiment
American International Group, Inc. (AIG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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