Reasons BlackRock Might Avoid a Significant Premium in a $38 Billion Energy Transaction
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 01 2025
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Should l Buy GOOG?
Source: MarketWatch
AES Corp. Share Surge: Shares of AES Corp. increased over 15% in premarket trading following reports of a $38 billion bid from BlackRock-owned GIP.
Financial Overview: Despite a market capitalization of $9.5 billion, AES Corp. faces a significant debt burden of $29 billion, leading to an enterprise value of nearly $41 billion.
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Analyst Views on GOOG
Wall Street analysts forecast GOOG stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
14 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 307.150
Low
255.00
Averages
336.08
High
400.00
Current: 307.150
Low
255.00
Averages
336.08
High
400.00
About GOOG
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company. The Company's segments include Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services segment includes products and services such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. The Google Cloud segment includes infrastructure and platform services, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. Its Other Bets segment is engaged in the sale of healthcare-related services and Internet services. Its Google Cloud provides enterprise-ready cloud services, including Google Cloud Platform and Google Workspace. Google Cloud Platform provides access to solutions such as artificial intelligence (AI) offerings, including its AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini for Google Cloud; cybersecurity, and data and analytics. Google Workspace includes cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Rising Storage Costs: As companies like Snap and Google Photos phase out unlimited free storage, users are facing significant increases in storage fees, with Google Cloud's 200GB plan rising from $2.99 to $4.99 per month, heightening sensitivity to storage costs and impacting consumer spending decisions.
- Surge in User Complaints: Data from PissedConsumer.com indicates a continuous rise in consumer complaints regarding cloud storage issues in 2023, with many users feeling compelled to pay to retain access to personal files, highlighting a pressing demand for transparency and service quality in the market.
- Emotional Impact Intensifies: Experts note that users' emotional attachment to personal data makes the shift to paid cloud storage feel more painful, as many worry about losing their digital history, which affects their satisfaction and loyalty towards these services.
- Shifting Market Dynamics: The monetization of cloud storage services is altering consumer habits, with traditional photo storage methods being replaced by digital solutions, leading to a decline in related industries while simultaneously creating growth opportunities for emerging services.
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- Stock Performance: Nvidia's stock has surged over 700% in the past three years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's approximately 70% gain, yet Brookfield Renewable may outperform Nvidia in the coming years due to rising power demand.
- Historic Agreement: Brookfield signed the largest corporate PPA with Microsoft for over 10.5 gigawatts of renewable power capacity, set to be delivered between 2026 and 2030, highlighting its pivotal role as a power supplier for leading AI companies.
- Diversified Growth: The company further solidified its market position with a 3-gigawatt hydropower agreement with Google, projected to generate over $3 billion in revenue, showcasing its strong competitive edge in the renewable energy sector.
- Future Outlook: Brookfield anticipates growing its funds from operations (FFO) per share at over 10% annually through 2031, with Wall Street analysts forecasting nearly 20% annual growth over the next three years, indicating robust growth potential in the renewable energy market.
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- Capex Surge: Meta announced a 73% increase in its capital expenditure guidance for 2026, reflecting a strong commitment to AI investment, despite its market share declining from 16% to 8%, which may impact its long-term competitiveness.
- Alphabet's Competitive Edge: Alphabet plans to allocate $175 billion to $185 billion for capital expenditures in 2026, supported by $402.8 billion in revenue and a 32.8% net profit margin, ensuring its capacity for sustained investment in AI.
- Market Share Dynamics: Google Gemini's market share has surged from 7% to 21%, while OpenAI's share has plummeted from 50% to 27%, indicating Alphabet's robust growth potential in the enterprise large language model market.
- Diverse Revenue Streams: Alphabet's Google search business grew by 17% in 2025, and YouTube generated $60 billion in revenue, combined with rapid growth in its cloud services, providing strong financial backing for its AI capital expenditures.
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- Surging Power Demand: Brookfield Renewable anticipates its funds from operations (FFO) per share to grow at over 10% annually through at least 2031, driven by the rapidly increasing demand for electricity, thereby enhancing its competitive edge in the renewable energy market.
- Major Partnership Agreements: In 2024, Brookfield signed the largest corporate power purchase agreement (PPA) with Microsoft for over 10.5 gigawatts of renewable power capacity, which is expected to significantly boost the company's revenue and market presence.
- Diversified Energy Supply: Brookfield also inked a deal with Google to provide up to 3 gigawatts of hydropower, marking the largest corporate hydroelectric agreement, projected to generate over $3 billion in revenue, further solidifying its leadership in the renewable energy sector.
- Attractive Valuation: Despite trading at about 16 times FFO, significantly below its peak of over 30 times in 2021, Brookfield offers a 3.7% dividend yield with a target of over 5% annual growth, positioning it for strong total returns in the coming years.
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- Capital Expenditure Surge: Meta's announcement of a 73% increase in its 2026 capital expenditure guidance reflects a strong commitment to AI data centers, which is expected to significantly enhance its competitive position in the market.
- Microsoft's Massive Investment: Microsoft has spent over $200 billion on AI technology since the start of fiscal 2024, and despite facing challenges with stagnating Azure revenue, its ongoing investments are likely to bolster its standing in the AI sector.
- Google's Market Advantage: Alphabet's projected capital expenditure for 2026 ranges from $175 billion to $185 billion, supported by $402.8 billion in revenue and a 32.8% net profit margin, providing it with robust financial strength to fuel its AI initiatives.
- Diverse Revenue Streams: Google's search and YouTube businesses grew by 17% and generated $60 billion, respectively, ensuring Alphabet's capacity for sustained investment in AI, further solidifying its market leadership.
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- Market Share Growth: Alphabet is a leader across multiple industries, leveraging artificial intelligence to expand its market share, particularly in cloud computing where Google Cloud holds approximately 14% of the entire industry, showcasing a strong competitive edge.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In Q4 2025, Alphabet's overall revenue increased by 18% year-over-year, with Google Cloud's sales soaring by 48%, indicating substantial progress in the rapidly growing cloud market.
- Profit Margin Improvement: Alphabet achieved a 30% year-over-year net income growth, with improved profit margins reflecting the company's success in effectively managing costs and enhancing revenue, further boosting investor confidence.
- Huge Future Potential: With Waymo's expansion of autonomous vehicles into multiple U.S. cities, Alphabet is not only achieving revenue growth in existing businesses but also opening up new market opportunities, demonstrating its strategic potential for long-term growth.
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