What’s Happening with Palantir Technologies Stock Today?
Strong Quarterly Results: Palantir Technologies reported third-quarter revenue of $1.18 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, with a year-over-year growth of 63% driven by a 77% increase in the U.S. market. Adjusted earnings were also above forecasts, leading to an optimistic full-year revenue forecast of up to $4.4 billion.
Analyst Ratings Update: Following the positive earnings report, several analysts raised their price forecasts for Palantir's stock, with Bank of America maintaining a Buy rating and increasing the target from $215 to $255, while Mizuho and Piper Sandler also adjusted their ratings and price targets upward.
AI Expansion in Dubai: Palantir launched a new AI venture named Aither in collaboration with Dubai Holding, aimed at enhancing AI-driven transformation in Dubai's public and private sectors, supporting the Dubai Economic Agenda (D33) with a target of AED100 billion in annual digital revenue.
Stock Performance: Despite the strong quarterly results and positive analyst outlooks, Palantir's shares fell by 7.20% to $192.26, approaching its 52-week high of $207.52, while the stock has seen a significant increase of over 361% in the past year.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir's total revenue for Q4 2025 increased by 70% year-over-year to $1.41 billion, with U.S. revenue rising 93% to $1.08 billion, indicating strong market performance and heightened client demand.
- Government Contract Expansion: The U.S. military's contract with Palantir could be worth up to $10 billion over the next decade, further solidifying Palantir's leadership in the defense sector while providing substantial revenue streams for the company.
- Commercial Product Success: Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) achieved a 137% increase in U.S. commercial revenue in 2025, demonstrating rapid acceptance and demand for its products in the commercial market, thereby enhancing the company's competitive edge.
- Strong Financial Health: By the end of 2025, Palantir held $7.2 billion in cash and short-term U.S. Treasury securities, with total debt at just $229.3 million, showcasing the company's ability to maintain financial health while pursuing growth and expansion opportunities.
- Authorization Expansion: Palantir's PFCS Forward has extended its existing provisional authorizations to include on-premises and edge deployments, utilizing a hardware-agnostic approach that streamlines the authorization process, significantly reducing the time for customers to achieve Authorization to Operate (ATO) and enhancing deployment flexibility.
- National Security Significance: This authorization underscores Palantir's strategic importance in providing cutting-edge technology solutions for national security missions, enabling its platforms to be deployed efficiently in diverse settings, from large-scale data centers to mobile environments, thereby enhancing operational resilience and survivability.
- Stock Technical Analysis: Currently, Palantir's stock is trading 12.3% below its 20-day simple moving average and 22.3% below its 100-day simple moving average, indicating a bearish trend in the short to medium term; however, shares have increased by 15.58% over the past 12 months, positioning closer to their 52-week highs than lows.
- Analyst Expectations: The stock carries a Hold rating with an average price forecast of $193.33, with recent analyst moves showing divergence as DA Davidson and UBS lowered their targets to $180.00 while Citigroup raised its target to $260.00, reflecting mixed outlooks among analysts.
- Stock Volatility: Palantir Technologies closed at $129.13, down 4.93%, primarily influenced by investor Michael Burry's bearish outlook on the company and the broader AI cycle, reflecting market concerns over its premium valuation.
- Surge in Trading Volume: The trading volume reached 73.4 million shares, which is 61% above the three-month average of 45.6 million shares, indicating a significant increase in market interest in Palantir's stock despite the price decline.
- Strong Performance: Despite facing pressure, Palantir's fourth-quarter revenue increased by 70% year-over-year, with U.S. commercial revenue soaring by 137%, demonstrating robust demand for its AI platforms among enterprise and government clients, while management's guidance exceeded Wall Street expectations.
- Future Outlook: Recent upgrades from HSBC and Northland Securities highlight the potential for sustained growth, but the market's cautious stance on future returns suggests that Palantir's outlook will depend on whether its commercial momentum and margin expansion can justify its current high valuation.
- Stock Decline: Palantir Technologies saw its stock drop as much as 6.7% on Thursday, with a 5% decline still noted by 2:00 p.m. ET, reflecting market concerns about its future performance.
- Investor Prediction: Notable investor Michael Burry released a 10,000-word thesis predicting a potential 66% drop in Palantir's stock price to around $46, although he presented various scenarios, his overall outlook remained bearish.
- Analyst Perspective: Analysts at D.A. Davidson reaffirmed their neutral rating and $180 price target for Palantir, asserting that Burry's article lacked new evidence to alter their view, emphasizing the company's growth and strong cash flow.
- Valuation Debate: Despite Palantir's high price-to-earnings ratio of 202, analysts questioned Burry's stance, arguing that the company's ability to grow rapidly while maintaining high cash flow margins indicates the sustainability of its business model.
- Market Concerns Intensify: Amazon's announcement of a $200 billion investment in AI-related capital expenditures by 2026 has led to a 9% decline in its stock year-to-date, reflecting investor worries about excessive AI spending potentially impacting future profitability.
- Microsoft's Earnings Reaction: Despite reporting a 17% year-over-year revenue increase and a 21% rise in operating income, Microsoft's stock fell 17% due to concerns over its plan to spend over $100 billion on capex this year, indicating market skepticism about its AI investments.
- SaaS Sector Struggles: Software companies like Salesforce and Adobe have seen significant stock price declines as investors fear that advancements in AI will severely disrupt the enterprise software industry, leading to a phenomenon dubbed the
- Investor Concerns: Major AI and software stocks have declined year-to-date due to worries about AI spending and industry disruption, with Amazon and Microsoft seeing stock drops of approximately 9% and 17%, respectively, reflecting market skepticism about their planned capital expenditures of $200 billion and $100 billion.
- SaaS Industry Crisis: As AI technology advances, investors are increasingly anxious about the future of software-as-a-service (SaaS) companies, with some labeling the situation as the 'SaaSpocalypse,' leading to significant declines in stocks like Salesforce and Adobe, indicating concerns over traditional software profitability.
- ETF Investment Opportunity: Investors can consider buying the iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF to capitalize on a potential rebound in software company share prices, which includes 114 North American software firms and has delivered an average annual return of 10.4%, despite a P/E ratio of 35.2, slightly above the Nasdaq-100's 32.4.
- Uncertain Industry Outlook: Despite industry insiders like Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang opposing the 'SaaSpocalypse' narrative, asserting that AI will not fully replace software, the ongoing sell-off in software stocks continues, prompting investors to carefully evaluate future investment opportunities.








