Walmart and Others Reporting Earnings Tomorrow
Notable companies reporting before tomorrow's open, with earnings consensus, include Walmart (WMT), consensus 73c... Deere (DE), consensus $2.06... Quanta Services (PWR), consensus $3.02... Wayfair (W), consensus 69c... Etsy (ETSY), consensus $1.36... Yeti (YETI), consensus 88c... Six Flags (FUN), consensus (19c).
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- Strong Revenue Expectations: Walmart is projected to achieve fourth-quarter revenue of $188.43 billion, reflecting a 10.2% year-over-year increase, indicating the company's resilience in maintaining growth amid a slowdown in consumer spending, particularly as most sales derive from groceries and essentials.
- New CEO Appointment: John Furner succeeded Doug McMillon as CEO on February 1, and the market has high expectations for his leadership, especially in driving digital and AI-powered growth initiatives.
- Impressive Market Performance: Shortly after the new CEO took office, Walmart's market capitalization surpassed $1 trillion for the first time, demonstrating investor confidence in the company's future, particularly in its digital transformation and e-commerce expansion efforts.
- Analysts Optimistic About Future: Rothschild & Co Redburn raised Walmart's price target from $110 to $150, forecasting a 14% annual earnings growth through 2028, reflecting strong confidence in the company's digital opportunities and growth levers.
- Market Situation: As of February 13, 2026, software and AI stocks are facing sell-offs, while value stocks are trading at a high price-to-earnings ratio of 50, indicating a divergence in market sentiment towards different stock types.
- Investor Sentiment: The decline in software and AI stocks reflects investor concerns over high-valuation tech stocks, potentially leading to a shift in capital towards more value-oriented investments, thereby impacting overall market dynamics.
- Value Stock Performance: Despite economic uncertainties, value stocks continue to perform strongly with a P/E ratio of 50, indicating sustained market confidence and demand for these equities.
- Future Outlook: As the market adopts a cautious stance towards tech stocks, investors may reassess their portfolios, shifting towards more stable value stocks to mitigate potential market volatility.
- Research Paper Controversy: Hassett criticized the New York Federal Reserve's research paper, which concluded that 90% of Trump's tariff costs are borne by U.S. consumers and companies rather than foreign exporters, claiming the analysis is misleading and not suitable for a first-semester economics class.
- Economic Data Rebuttal: Citing January's CPI at 2.4% and an average real wage increase of $1,400 last year, Hassett argued that consumers have actually benefited from the tariff policy, questioning the researchers' narrow focus on prices while ignoring wage growth and onshoring advantages.
- Tariff Impact Assessment: The Tax Foundation estimated that tariffs will cost the average U.S. household $1,000 by 2025, with mainstream economic consensus supporting the view that tariff costs are predominantly borne by domestic buyers, intensifying the controversy surrounding Trump's economic policies.
- Market Reaction and Predictions: Prediction markets indicate only a 26% chance that the Supreme Court will uphold Trump's tariffs; a ruling against them could trigger refunds exceeding $130 billion and reshape U.S. trade policy, with traders closely watching Walmart's earnings for any tariff-related commentary.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts anticipate Walmart's Q4 revenue to reach $189.18 billion, up from $180.55 billion last year, indicating the company's strong performance in maintaining market share and reinforcing its leadership in the retail sector.
- Earnings Per Share Increase: Expected Q4 earnings per share of 73 cents, up from 66 cents last year, reflect Walmart's consistent ability to exceed analyst expectations in seven of the last eight quarters, bolstering investor confidence.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Market experts suggest that Walmart's earnings report could significantly impact the market, especially with CEO John Furner's debut, as expectations remain high for continued market share gains and margin expansion in core business areas.
- Stock Price Volatility Expectations: Despite a 14.1% increase in Walmart's stock price in 2026, analysts caution that failure to exceed market expectations in the upcoming report could lead to a price pullback, prompting investors to closely monitor the report's potential effects on the broader market.
Walmart's Influence on Retail Sector: Walmart Inc. serves as a key indicator for the retail sector, with its earnings reports significantly impacting market sentiment and shaping consumer spending trends amidst inflation and shifting priorities.
Dollar Tree's Growth: Dollar Tree has shown impressive performance, with a 77% increase in stock value over the past year, focusing on budget-conscious consumers while also expanding into higher-income markets.
Ross Stores' Positive Performance: Ross Stores has experienced a nearly 23% increase in stock value recently, driven by strong earnings reports and solid same-store sales growth, indicating a bullish outlook for the company.
Valuation Concerns in Retail Stocks: There are growing concerns about the overvaluation of retail stocks, including Ross Stores and TJX Companies, as analysts raise their price targets, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining revenue growth in the upcoming quarters.
- Earnings Expectations: Walmart anticipates Q4 EPS of $0.73, reflecting a 10.6% increase, with revenue projected to rise over 4% to $188.46 billion, showcasing the company's resilience in a challenging retail environment.
- New CEO Introduction: This earnings report marks the first appearance of new CEO John Furner, who replaces Doug McMillon, indicating a significant leadership transition that could influence future strategies.
- Market Performance: Walmart has become the first retailer to surpass a $1 trillion market valuation this month, with its stock rising nearly 16% this year, significantly outperforming the slight decline in the S&P 500 Index, reflecting investor confidence in its growth prospects.
- Analyst Perspectives: While Wall Street analysts are bullish and rate Walmart as a Buy, Seeking Alpha analysts express concerns about execution risks and potential brand dilution, highlighting a divergence in market sentiment regarding the company's future performance.











