U.S. Futures Rise as Oil Prices Pull Back
Futures are pointing higher this morning as oil pulls back from recent spikes. Crude had surged above $110-$120 on escalating U.S.-Iran conflict headlines, but is now easing and the 10-year yield is stabilizing around the mid-4% range.Earnings remain strong and AI capital expenditures continue to act as a structural tailwind. There is persistent capital flow into semis and hyperscalers, with expectations for massive multi-year spend cycles anchoring estimates higher. Under the surface, dispersion remains high. Strong prints are still being rewarded while weaker forward visibility is getting punished.In pre-market trading, S&P 500 futures rose 0.44%, Nasdaq futures rose 0.73% and Dow futures rose 0.36%.Check out this morning's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER -Intelup 4% after BloombergApplehas held discussions on using Intel and Samsungto produce the main processors for its U.S. devicesUP AFTER EARNINGS -Pinterestup 18%Integra LifeSciencesup 10%Watersup 10%Rockwell Automationup 9%AB InBevup 6%DuPontup 2%Cumminsup 2%KKRup 1%GlobalFoundriesup 1%Archer Danielsup 1%Leidosup 1%DOWN AFTER EARNINGS -Fabrinetdown 12%Fiservdown 9%PayPaldown 8%Shopifydown 6%On Semidown 6%Eatondown 4%Duolingodown 4%Palantirdown 1%
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- AI Infrastructure Demand: Cramer suggests that future AI systems may require four CPUs for every GPU, significantly increasing demand for Intel's core products, which could drive a recovery in the company's performance.
- Market Focus Shift: While the market primarily focuses on Nvidia's GPUs, Cramer points out that investors are overlooking the critical role of CPUs in the AI ecosystem, potentially giving Intel an unexpected competitive edge.
- Management Transformation: Since Lip-Bu Tan became CEO in March 2025, Intel's stock has surged, reflecting growing market confidence in the company's ability to regain competitiveness in chip design and manufacturing, indicating positive signs of its turnaround.
- Foundry Business Expansion: Intel is ramping up investments in its foundry business to meet the rising demand for non-offshore semiconductor manufacturing, particularly amid geopolitical tensions, which will strengthen its market position and drive long-term growth.
- Intel's Stock Surge: Intel's stock has surged approximately 520% over the past year, driven by its foundry turnaround and soaring demand for server processors, indicating a significant recovery potential in market competition.
- AMD's Data Center Revenue Growth: AMD's data center revenue jumped 57% year-over-year to $5.8 billion in the first quarter, fueled by strong performance from EPYC processors and Instinct AI chips, highlighting its strengthening market position in AI.
- Profitability Comparison: Despite Intel's rapid stock increase, its forward price-to-earnings ratio exceeds 120, while AMD's is around 73, indicating AMD's advantages in profitability and growth rate, potentially making it a more attractive investment choice.
- Market Outlook Analysis: As AI demand continues to grow, both Intel and AMD are vying for market share; while Intel shows strong turnaround momentum, AMD's higher profits and cash flow may position it more favorably in future competition.
- Intel's Recovery Momentum: Under CEO Lip-Bu Tan, Intel has exceeded revenue expectations for six consecutive quarters, with Q1 revenue rising 7% year-over-year to $13.6 billion, and its data center and AI segment growing 22% to $5.1 billion, indicating a strengthening competitive position in the AI era.
- Foundry Business Challenges: Despite Intel's foundry business generating $5.4 billion in revenue this quarter, it still faced a $2.4 billion operating loss, with external customers contributing only $174 million, highlighting the need for improved customer acquisition to achieve profitability in a competitive market.
- AMD's Strong Growth Trajectory: AMD's data center segment achieved a record $5.8 billion in revenue in Q1, up 57% year-over-year, while total revenue increased 38% to $10.3 billion, with adjusted earnings per share rising 43% to $1.37, showcasing its robust performance in the AI accelerator market and solidifying its market position.
- Investment Value Comparison: Although Intel's stock has surged over 500% in the past year, its forward P/E ratio exceeds 120, while AMD's is around 73, suggesting that investors may prefer AMD for its faster growth and higher profits, despite both companies facing risks from market volatility.
- Fed Policy Impact: Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh indicated a potential interest rate hike to combat stubborn inflation, leading to a 1.2% drop in the S&P 500 on the first 'Fed day', reflecting investor anxiety over monetary policy.
- Market Recovery: Despite the sell-off, the S&P 500 rose 0.9% over a shortened four-session trading week, marking its 11th weekly gain in the past 12 weeks, demonstrating market resilience and a recovery in investor confidence.
- Chip Stocks Surge: Intel's stock jumped 10.6% on Thursday after Trump announced a partnership with Apple, bringing its weekly gain to 7.6%, while Nvidia and Broadcom also saw increases of 2.9% and 4.7%, highlighting the strength of the semiconductor sector.
- Oil Price Decline Impact: The signing of a ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran led to a nearly 10% drop in crude oil prices this week, benefiting consumer banks like Capital One, which saw its stock rise, reflecting positive market sentiment towards lower oil prices.
- Overbought Stocks: This week, Applied Materials and Western Digital saw gains of nearly 9% and 33%, respectively, with relative strength indices (RSI) of 77 and 78 indicating overbought conditions, suggesting potential pullback risks that investors should consider.
- Rating Upgrade Impact: Citi reiterated its buy rating on Applied Materials and raised its price target to $710, implying a 15% upside from Thursday's closing price, reflecting market optimism about the stock's future performance.
- Earnings Miss Dragging Down: Accenture's stock fell nearly 25% this week, with an RSI of 23, after reporting third-quarter revenue of $18.72 billion, which was below market expectations, alongside a decline in new bookings, leading to diminished confidence in its growth prospects.
- Acquisition Financing Challenges: Fox Corporation announced its acquisition of Roku for $160 per share, totaling approximately $22 billion, and while securing a $12 billion loan, concerns over its financing strategy may impact stock performance moving forward.
- Rise of AI Assistants: Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon stated that future AI assistants will integrate multiple applications to enhance user experience, potentially replacing traditional apps and driving a comprehensive transformation of smart devices.
- Potential of Smart Glasses: Amon is optimistic about the prospects of smart glasses, believing their market size could rival that of smartphones, which saw over 1.2 billion units shipped last year, indicating a significant market opportunity.
- Diverse AI Device Designs: Qualcomm is developing over 40 different AI devices, including jewelry, earbuds, and watches, all designed to revolve around AI assistants, aiming to provide a richer user interaction experience.
- Balancing Privacy and Functionality: As AI assistants become more prevalent, Amon emphasized that privacy concerns will be a critical challenge, with success hinging on finding the right balance between functionality and user privacy.










