Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's my analysis for VRSK:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $296.81 in pre-market with a +0.60% change. Looking at the Fibonacci levels:

• Resistance levels: R1 at 296.38, R2 at 298.23, R3 at 301.24
• Support levels: S1 at 290.36, S2 at 288.51, S3 at 285.50
• Pivot point: 293.37

Fundamental Analysis

Key financial metrics from recent performance:

• Market Cap: $41.4 billion
• Q3 2024 Results:
  • Revenue: $725.3 million (+7% YoY)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.67 (+9% YoY)
  • Subscription revenue growth: 9.1%
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin: 55.2% (+120 bps)

Growth Drivers & Risks

• Positive catalysts:

  • Strong subscription revenue growth (82% of total revenue)
  • Robust industry net written premium growth
  • AI-powered solutions rollout (Discovery Navigator, Ask Max)
  • Recent hurricane events (Helene and Milton) likely to drive claims activity

• Potential concerns:

  • Transaction revenue (~18% of total) showing decline
  • Premium valuation compared to peers
  • Possible insurance industry spending moderation in 2025

Market Sentiment

• Analyst consensus: "Moderate Buy"
• Mean price target: $297.44 (+1.4% upside)
• Street-high target: $325 (+10.8% upside)

Recommendation Given the current pre-market price of $296.81, which is near the R1 resistance level and trading close to analyst consensus targets, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. While fundamentals remain strong with consistent growth in subscription revenue and margin expansion, the current valuation appears to fairly reflect these positives.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for VRSK stock in 2025:

Verisk Analytics (VRSK) is expected to reach $325-335 by end of 2025, representing approximately 10-13% upside from current price of $296.81. The projection is supported by:

1. Strong technical momentum with price trading above all major moving averages (SMA 5,10,20,60,200,250) indicating bullish trend continuation. RSI at 61.03 suggests room for further upside while not being overbought.

2. The company will report Q4 2024 earnings on February 26, 2025, which could act as a near-term catalyst given its track record of consistent growth in data analytics and insurance technology segments.

3. The broader market sentiment remains positive for 2025 with median S&P 500 target of 6,600 implying 9% upside, which should provide favorable backdrop for quality growth stocks like VRSK.

The price target factors in both technical support levels and fundamental growth drivers while accounting for potential market volatility. The stock shows strong institutional support with key fibonacci levels at $296.38 (R1) and $290.36 (S1) providing clear technical boundaries.

The S1 support level for VRSK Stock is $270.87 ,The R1 resistant level for VRSK Stock is $300.28.

As of the end of day on 2025-03-03, the price of VRSK Stock was $299.68.

The target price for VRSK Stock according to analyst rating is 306.40, with the highest price target at 340.00 and the lowest at 270.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on VRSK Stock overall.

The market cap of VRSK is $41.6B.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, VRSK appears to be trading at elevated valuation levels with a current P/E ratio of 45.76x (FY2023), significantly higher than its historical average and peer group. The stock's technical indicators show it's trading near the upper Bollinger Band with a BBP of 0.65, suggesting it's approaching overbought territory. Recent analyst consensus price target of $298 indicates limited upside potential of only 4.6% from current levels. The company's upcoming Q4 2024 earnings release on February 26, 2025 could be a crucial catalyst, but current valuation metrics, including EV/EBITDA of 26.28x and P/S of 13.12x, suggest the stock is richly valued relative to its expected growth rate.

Verisk Analytics, Inc. is a data, analytics, and technology provider serving clients in the insurance ecosystem. The Company offers predictive analytics and decision support solutions to clients in rating, underwriting, claims, catastrophe, weather risk, and many other fields. Its Insurance segment primarily serves its property and casualty insurance customers across personal and commercial lines of business, focusing on insurance programs, the prediction of loss, the selection and pricing of risk, and compliance with their reporting requirements in each United States state in which they operate. It also develops and utilize machine learned and artificially intelligent models to forecast scenarios and produce both standard and customized analytics that help its customers better manage their businesses, including detecting fraud before and after a loss event and quantifying losses. It also helps businesses and governments anticipate and manage climate and weather-related risks.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for Verisk Analytics (VRSK) stock by 2030:

VRSK stock is projected to reach $450-475 by 2030, representing a 52-60% increase from current levels around $296. This forecast is supported by the company's consistent growth in data analytics services for insurance industry, strong financial performance with 7% revenue growth and 9% EPS growth, and expanding global operations across 20+ countries.

The growth trajectory is backed by Verisk's dominant market position in insurance analytics, increasing demand for risk assessment solutions, and strategic focus on operational efficiency improvements.

VRSK has a total of 7500 employees.