Based on the provided data, here's a comprehensive analysis of OTIS's valuation:
Current Market Position
OTIS is currently trading at around $99.37 with a market cap of $38.4 billion. The stock has underperformed the broader market, gaining only 8.8% over the past 52 weeks compared to the S&P 500's 23.5% surge.
Valuation Metrics & Growth
- Recent Q4 performance shows mixed results with net sales increasing 1.5% YoY to $3.7 billion
- Adjusted net income grew 5.1% YoY to $374 million
- EPS missed consensus estimates by 2.1% at $0.93
- Forward EPS growth projection of 5.2% for fiscal 2025 to $4.03
Analyst Sentiment
The stock currently has a consensus "Hold" rating from 10 analysts:
- 1 Strong Buy
- 1 Moderate Buy
- 6 Hold
- 2 Strong Sell
The mean price target of $101.40 suggests only a 3.4% upside potential.
Insider/Institutional Activity
Recent insider activity shows concerning signals:
- 6 sales and 0 purchases in past 6 months
- 432 institutions increased positions while 565 decreased
- Recent EVP sale of 4,775 shares (16.1% of holdings)
Based on these factors, OTIS appears to be overvalued at current levels because:
- Limited upside potential per analyst targets
- Significant institutional selling pressure
- Insider selling pattern suggests lack of confidence
- Underperformance relative to broader market despite decent fundamentals
- Current valuation doesn't justify the modest growth projections