Trump Tariffs Roil Semiconductor, Mineral Stocks: Billionaire Dan Loeb's Portfolio Faces Grueling Test
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 16 2025
0mins
Should l Buy CRS?
Source: Benzinga
New Body Established: President Trump created a new entity within the Commerce Department to oversee the CHIPS and Science Act of 2022, which supports companies like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Amidst rising tariffs on Chinese imports, the administration has excluded certain technology products from these tariffs.
Hedge Fund Performance: Hedge fund manager Dan Loeb's semiconductor and mineral stocks have seen significant declines year-to-date, with notable drops in shares of NET Power Inc. and Taiwan Semiconductor, while his holdings in Carpenter Technology Corporation increased despite overall market downturns.
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Analyst Views on CRS
Wall Street analysts forecast CRS stock price to fall
4 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 458.160
Low
375.00
Averages
380.75
High
388.00
Current: 458.160
Low
375.00
Averages
380.75
High
388.00
About CRS
Carpenter Technology Corporation is engaged in the manufacturing, fabrication and distribution of specialty metals. The Company operates in two segments: Specialty Alloys Operations (SAO) and Performance Engineered Products (PEP). The SAO segment comprises its premium alloy and stainless-steel manufacturing operations. This includes operations performed at mills primarily in Reading and Latrobe, Pennsylvania and surrounding areas, as well as South Carolina and Alabama. The PEP segment comprises its differentiated operations. This segment includes the Dynamet titanium business, the Carpenter Additive business and the Latrobe and Mexico distribution businesses. It provides specialty alloy-based materials and process solutions for critical applications in the aerospace, defense, medical, transportation, energy, industrial and consumer markets. The Company operates its own network of service and distribution centers, located in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Europe and Asia.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

- Stock Sale Announcement: Carpenter Technology officer Marshall Dakins plans to sell 11,815 shares of the company's common stock on May 5.
- Market Value: The total market value of the shares to be sold is approximately $5.21 million.
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- Earnings Beat: Carpenter Technology reported a Q3 non-GAAP EPS of $2.77, exceeding expectations by $0.13, indicating strong performance and improved profitability in a competitive market.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $811.5 million in Q3, an 11.6% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $13.98 million, reflecting robust demand for its specialized solutions.
- Optimistic Outlook: For Q4 FY2026, Carpenter anticipates operating income between $205 million and $210 million, while raising its FY2026 operating income guidance to $700 million to $705 million, representing at least a 33% increase over FY2025.
- Cash Flow Forecast Upgrade: The adjusted free cash flow outlook has been increased to approximately $350 million, indicating strong financial health and the capacity for continued investment and expansion in the coming years.
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- Earnings Announcement Date: Carpenter Technology is set to announce its Q3 earnings on April 29 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $2.64, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 40.4%, indicating strong profitability improvements.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q3 is $797.52 million, representing a 9.7% year-over-year growth, which suggests robust growth amid recovering market demand, potentially boosting investor confidence.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Carpenter Technology has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time, while only achieving a 13% beat rate on revenue estimates, indicating a higher reliability in earnings forecasts compared to revenue.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen three upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced two upward revisions and one downward, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance.
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- Dividend Yield Analysis: CRS's current estimated annualized dividend yield stands at 0.19%, and while dividends are generally unpredictable, historical data can assist in assessing the likelihood of continued dividends, thereby influencing investor return expectations.
- Price Fluctuation Range: The 52-week low for CRS shares is $188.12, with a high of $459.18, and the latest trade at $422.75 indicates that the stock is fluctuating near its high, which may affect investor buying decisions.
- ETF Holding Proportion: According to ETF Finder, CRS constitutes 22.76% of the AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund ETF (BTAL), which is trading down approximately 0.8% on the day, reflecting overall market sentiment towards CRS.
- Market Performance Overview: In Friday trading, Carpenter Technology Corp. shares are down about 0.8%, indicating a cautious market sentiment regarding the company's short-term performance, which could impact investor confidence.
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- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Carpenter Technology has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stability and commitment to shareholder returns in the current market environment.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 0.19% reflects the company's pricing power in a tight market, potentially attracting investors seeking stable income amidst competitive pressures.
- Shareholder Record Dates: The dividend will be payable on June 4, with a record date of April 28 and an ex-dividend date also on April 28, ensuring shareholders receive their dividends promptly.
- Financial Performance Overview: While Carpenter Technology's Q2 2026 non-GAAP EPS of $2.33 exceeded expectations by $0.11, its revenue of $728 million fell short by $6.31 million, highlighting the challenges posed by market competition.
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- Quarterly Cash Dividend: Carpenter Technology's Board of Directors has declared a cash dividend of $0.20 per share of common stock, payable on June 4, 2026, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders.
- Record Date for Shareholders: The record date for this dividend is April 28, 2026, ensuring that investors holding shares before this date will receive the dividend, thereby enhancing investor confidence in holding the stock.
- Industry Leadership: Carpenter Technology is recognized as a leader in high-performance specialty alloy materials and process solutions for critical applications in aerospace, defense, and medical sectors, further solidifying its competitive position in the market.
- Company History: Founded in 1889, Carpenter Technology continues to innovate in premium specialty alloys such as nickel, cobalt, and titanium, addressing current and future material challenges for its customers, showcasing strong adaptability in the industry.
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