Tesla's Electric Vehicle Sales Continue Decline
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy TSLA?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Sales Performance Decline: Tesla delivered 1.79 million EVs in 2024, a 1% drop, and further decreased by 9% to 1.63 million in 2025, with the EV business accounting for over 70% of total revenue, indicating significant financial drag due to sluggish sales.
- Profitability Impact: The company's automotive revenue fell by 10% in 2025, leading to a 3% decline in total revenue, while earnings per share crashed by 47% due to price cuts aimed at attracting customers, highlighting the pressure on profitability amid fierce competition.
- First Quarter Delivery Data: In Q1 2026, Tesla delivered 358,023 EVs, below Wall Street's estimate of 370,000, yet representing a 6% year-over-year increase, which could bolster investor confidence if the subsequent earnings report reflects overall revenue growth.
- Future Product Strategy: Musk plans to launch the Cybercab robotaxi and Optimus humanoid robot by the end of 2026, which may generate revenue in the long term, but could negatively impact short-term financial results, necessitating close monitoring of future developments.
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 391.950
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 391.950
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Tesla's Electric Vehicle Sales Continue Decline
- Sales Performance Decline: Tesla delivered 1.79 million EVs in 2024, a 1% drop, and further decreased by 9% to 1.63 million in 2025, with the EV business accounting for over 70% of total revenue, indicating significant financial drag due to sluggish sales.
- Profitability Impact: The company's automotive revenue fell by 10% in 2025, leading to a 3% decline in total revenue, while earnings per share crashed by 47% due to price cuts aimed at attracting customers, highlighting the pressure on profitability amid fierce competition.
- First Quarter Delivery Data: In Q1 2026, Tesla delivered 358,023 EVs, below Wall Street's estimate of 370,000, yet representing a 6% year-over-year increase, which could bolster investor confidence if the subsequent earnings report reflects overall revenue growth.
- Future Product Strategy: Musk plans to launch the Cybercab robotaxi and Optimus humanoid robot by the end of 2026, which may generate revenue in the long term, but could negatively impact short-term financial results, necessitating close monitoring of future developments.
See More
Tesla Seeks Semiconductor Engineers for Terafab AI Chip Complex in Taiwan
- Hiring Initiative: Tesla has posted job openings on its website, seeking to hire multiple senior process engineers and other roles for its Terafab AI chip factory in Taiwan, indicating a significant expansion in semiconductor production.
- Factory Scale: The company describes Terafab as an unprecedented vertically integrated semiconductor factory that will house logic, memory, packaging, testing, and lithography mask production, optimized for rapid iteration and maximum compute density per square foot.
- Technical Focus: The roles will involve building processes across three distinct chip families, including edge-inference processors, space-hardened chips for orbital satellites, and high-bandwidth memory, showcasing Tesla's ambition in the high-end semiconductor sector.
- Manufacturing Processes: The job descriptions reference 2nm-class chip dimensions and multiple core front-end fabrication steps such as lithography, etching, thin films, and chemical mechanical planarization, indicating Tesla's forward-looking approach to chip manufacturing technology.
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SpaceX Plans 2026 IPO, Potentially Largest in History
- Massive IPO Potential: SpaceX is planning an IPO in 2026 with a target valuation of $1.75 trillion and a capital raise of $75 billion, which, if successful, would make it the largest IPO in history, surpassing Tesla and becoming the eighth-largest publicly traded company in the U.S.
- Strong Financial Performance: Last year, SpaceX generated up to $16 billion in revenue and $8 billion in profit, indicating its profitability has surpassed that of Tesla, thereby attracting investor interest in its future growth potential.
- Vast Market Opportunities: McKinsey estimates that the global space economy could reach $1.8 trillion by 2035, while PwC analysts predict that AI will create over $15 trillion in global economic value by 2030, highlighting SpaceX's strategic significance in these sectors.
- Historical Lessons Caution: Despite SpaceX's bright prospects, historical data shows that large IPOs typically lose an average of 10% of their value six months post-IPO; if SpaceX follows this trend, it could face a market value loss of up to $175 billion, necessitating careful risk assessment by investors.
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Ranking Analysis of the Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks
- Tesla's Investment Outlook: Although Tesla ranks lowest among the Magnificent Seven, it still boasts a market cap of $1.5 trillion and a current stock price of $389.23, facing valuation challenges that require significant cash flows from projects like robotaxis and humanoid robots over the next decade to justify its price.
- Apple's Growth Slowdown: With the third-highest P/E ratio, Apple recently reported its best quarter in years, yet its slowing innovation and lack of engagement in the AI race have disappointed investors regarding its future prospects.
- Amazon's Cloud Business Potential: Amazon's P/E ratio stands at 32, which is high, but the market is underestimating the growth potential of its AWS business, particularly in the custom AI chip sector, which is expected to drive significant growth in the coming years.
- Microsoft's Investment Opportunity: Microsoft leads the Magnificent Seven with a P/E ratio of 24.6, and while it isn't the cheapest option, its current stock price is at a decade low, presenting a rare opportunity for investors to capitalize on this valuation.
See More
SpaceX Plans to Launch Historic Largest IPO
- Massive IPO Potential: SpaceX is preparing for an IPO with a projected valuation of $1.75 trillion and a capital raise of $75 billion, which, if successful, would make it the largest IPO in history, surpassing Tesla and becoming the eighth-largest publicly traded company in the U.S.
- Profitability Surge: SpaceX is expected to achieve profitability by 2025, with reported revenues of $16 billion and profits of $8 billion last year, indicating strong growth potential in the space infrastructure market.
- Vast Market Opportunities: The global space economy is projected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2035, while artificial intelligence is expected to create over $15 trillion in economic value by 2030, positioning SpaceX at the heart of these rapidly growing markets.
- Historical Caution: Despite the bright prospects for SpaceX, history shows that large IPOs typically lose an average of 10% of their value six months post-IPO, urging investors to carefully assess potential risks to avoid repeating past mistakes.
See More
Investment Analysis of the Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks
- Tesla's Investment Outlook: Although Tesla ranks at the bottom of the investment list, its stock price being down about 20% does not indicate a sell; rather, it may be a good time to wait for the next significant drop to capitalize on potential cash flow growth from its robotaxi and humanoid robot projects over the next decade.
- Apple's Valuation Concerns: Apple's valuation is troubling, as it is the slowest-growing stock among the seven, and despite its best quarterly performance in years, it seems passive in the AI race, leading to investor disappointment regarding its future prospects.
- Amazon's Cloud Business Potential: Amazon's valuation stands at 32 times forward earnings, which is high, but the massive upside of its AWS business is not fully priced in, with strong growth expected in the coming years, particularly in its custom AI chip division.
- Microsoft's Undervalued Opportunity: Microsoft trades at a forward P/E of 24.6, not the lowest, but its current stock price is among the lowest in the past decade, presenting a rare opportunity for investors to take advantage of before prices rise again.
See More
Tesla's Electric Vehicle Sales Continue Decline
- Sales Performance Decline: Tesla delivered 1.79 million EVs in 2024, a 1% drop, and further decreased by 9% to 1.63 million in 2025, with the EV business accounting for over 70% of total revenue, indicating significant financial drag due to sluggish sales.
- Profitability Impact: The company's automotive revenue fell by 10% in 2025, leading to a 3% decline in total revenue, while earnings per share crashed by 47% due to price cuts aimed at attracting customers, highlighting the pressure on profitability amid fierce competition.
- First Quarter Delivery Data: In Q1 2026, Tesla delivered 358,023 EVs, below Wall Street's estimate of 370,000, yet representing a 6% year-over-year increase, which could bolster investor confidence if the subsequent earnings report reflects overall revenue growth.
- Future Product Strategy: Musk plans to launch the Cybercab robotaxi and Optimus humanoid robot by the end of 2026, which may generate revenue in the long term, but could negatively impact short-term financial results, necessitating close monitoring of future developments.
See More
Tesla Seeks Semiconductor Engineers for Terafab AI Chip Complex in Taiwan
- Hiring Initiative: Tesla has posted job openings on its website, seeking to hire multiple senior process engineers and other roles for its Terafab AI chip factory in Taiwan, indicating a significant expansion in semiconductor production.
- Factory Scale: The company describes Terafab as an unprecedented vertically integrated semiconductor factory that will house logic, memory, packaging, testing, and lithography mask production, optimized for rapid iteration and maximum compute density per square foot.
- Technical Focus: The roles will involve building processes across three distinct chip families, including edge-inference processors, space-hardened chips for orbital satellites, and high-bandwidth memory, showcasing Tesla's ambition in the high-end semiconductor sector.
- Manufacturing Processes: The job descriptions reference 2nm-class chip dimensions and multiple core front-end fabrication steps such as lithography, etching, thin films, and chemical mechanical planarization, indicating Tesla's forward-looking approach to chip manufacturing technology.
See More
SpaceX Plans 2026 IPO, Potentially Largest in History
- Massive IPO Potential: SpaceX is planning an IPO in 2026 with a target valuation of $1.75 trillion and a capital raise of $75 billion, which, if successful, would make it the largest IPO in history, surpassing Tesla and becoming the eighth-largest publicly traded company in the U.S.
- Strong Financial Performance: Last year, SpaceX generated up to $16 billion in revenue and $8 billion in profit, indicating its profitability has surpassed that of Tesla, thereby attracting investor interest in its future growth potential.
- Vast Market Opportunities: McKinsey estimates that the global space economy could reach $1.8 trillion by 2035, while PwC analysts predict that AI will create over $15 trillion in global economic value by 2030, highlighting SpaceX's strategic significance in these sectors.
- Historical Lessons Caution: Despite SpaceX's bright prospects, historical data shows that large IPOs typically lose an average of 10% of their value six months post-IPO; if SpaceX follows this trend, it could face a market value loss of up to $175 billion, necessitating careful risk assessment by investors.
See More
Ranking Analysis of the Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks
- Tesla's Investment Outlook: Although Tesla ranks lowest among the Magnificent Seven, it still boasts a market cap of $1.5 trillion and a current stock price of $389.23, facing valuation challenges that require significant cash flows from projects like robotaxis and humanoid robots over the next decade to justify its price.
- Apple's Growth Slowdown: With the third-highest P/E ratio, Apple recently reported its best quarter in years, yet its slowing innovation and lack of engagement in the AI race have disappointed investors regarding its future prospects.
- Amazon's Cloud Business Potential: Amazon's P/E ratio stands at 32, which is high, but the market is underestimating the growth potential of its AWS business, particularly in the custom AI chip sector, which is expected to drive significant growth in the coming years.
- Microsoft's Investment Opportunity: Microsoft leads the Magnificent Seven with a P/E ratio of 24.6, and while it isn't the cheapest option, its current stock price is at a decade low, presenting a rare opportunity for investors to capitalize on this valuation.
See More
SpaceX Plans to Launch Historic Largest IPO
- Massive IPO Potential: SpaceX is preparing for an IPO with a projected valuation of $1.75 trillion and a capital raise of $75 billion, which, if successful, would make it the largest IPO in history, surpassing Tesla and becoming the eighth-largest publicly traded company in the U.S.
- Profitability Surge: SpaceX is expected to achieve profitability by 2025, with reported revenues of $16 billion and profits of $8 billion last year, indicating strong growth potential in the space infrastructure market.
- Vast Market Opportunities: The global space economy is projected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2035, while artificial intelligence is expected to create over $15 trillion in economic value by 2030, positioning SpaceX at the heart of these rapidly growing markets.
- Historical Caution: Despite the bright prospects for SpaceX, history shows that large IPOs typically lose an average of 10% of their value six months post-IPO, urging investors to carefully assess potential risks to avoid repeating past mistakes.
See More
Investment Analysis of the Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks
- Tesla's Investment Outlook: Although Tesla ranks at the bottom of the investment list, its stock price being down about 20% does not indicate a sell; rather, it may be a good time to wait for the next significant drop to capitalize on potential cash flow growth from its robotaxi and humanoid robot projects over the next decade.
- Apple's Valuation Concerns: Apple's valuation is troubling, as it is the slowest-growing stock among the seven, and despite its best quarterly performance in years, it seems passive in the AI race, leading to investor disappointment regarding its future prospects.
- Amazon's Cloud Business Potential: Amazon's valuation stands at 32 times forward earnings, which is high, but the massive upside of its AWS business is not fully priced in, with strong growth expected in the coming years, particularly in its custom AI chip division.
- Microsoft's Undervalued Opportunity: Microsoft trades at a forward P/E of 24.6, not the lowest, but its current stock price is among the lowest in the past decade, presenting a rare opportunity for investors to take advantage of before prices rise again.
See More
