Tesla Q2 Deliveries Exceed Expectations, Price Target Raised to $430
Institutional investors and professional traders rely on The Fly to keep up-to-the-second on breaking news in the electric vehicle and clean energy space, as well as which stocks in these sectors that the best analysts on Wall Street are saying to buy and sell.From the hotly-debated high-flier Tesla, Wall Street's newest darling Rivian, traditional-stalwarts turned EV-upstarts GMand Fordto the numerous SPAC-deal makers that have come public in this red-hot space, The Fly has you covered with "Charged," a weekly recap of the top stories and expert calls in the sector.Clickto check out Tesla's recent Media Buzz Sentiment as measured by TipRanks.TESLA DELIVERIES:In the second quarter, Tesla produced over 450,000 vehicles, delivered over 480,000 vehicles and deployed 13.5 GWh of energy storage products, the company announced.Following last week's delivery and production report, Truist analyst William Stein raised the firm's price target on Hold-rated Tesla to $430 from $400, calling the reported Q2 deliveries "well above expectations." The analyst notes that energy storage deployments were roughly in line with forecasts, though the lack of updates on AI initiatives and new vehicles leaves attention focused on Full Self-Driving and other AI developments as the more important drivers of long-term cash generation and stock performance.William Blair said Tesla's Q2 deliveries beat shows its auto business "is here to stay." Tesla has not surprised to the upside to this degree in a while, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Blair attributes the beat to higher-than-expected Model 3 and Y sales in North America, Europe, and China. Tesla's energy storage deployments of 13.5 gigawatt-hour were in line with the consensus and a recovery from last quarter, but still came in below Blair's estimate of 20.6 GWh, the analyst adds. The firm keeps a Market Perform rating on Tesla shares.CYBERCAB:In aon X, Tesla announced that "engineering tests of the first production Cybercab have begun in Austin." The post included a video showing the vehicle navigating streets with no one in the driver's position, since the Cybercab is built without a steering wheel or pedals, while a "safety monitor" sits in the passenger seat.RIVIAN DELIVERIES:Rivian Automotive announced production and delivery totals for the quarter ending June 30, 2026. The company produced 12,613 vehicles at its manufacturing facility in Normal, Illinois and delivered 12,194 vehicles during the same period. Delivery results topped Rivian's outlook of 9,000 to 11,000 vehicles for the quarter due to robust growth quarter-over-quarter in EDV and R1 coupled with the introduction of R2 deliveries.As a result of the progress Rivian has made, and the production and delivery outlook for the second half of the year, the company is raising its full year 2026 delivery guidance from 62,000 - 67,000 vehicles, to 65,000 - 70,000.LUCID DELIVERIES:Lucid Groupannounced production and delivery totals for the quarter ended June 30. During this period, the company produced 4,774 vehicles and delivered 3,953 vehicles.Lucid Group also appointed Alexander De Bock as incoming CFO. He served as CFO of TI Automotive. Taoufiq Boussaid, CFO, will depart Lucid following a handover to his successor and will support the company through its Q2 results. Lucid also announced organizational and leadership changes under CEO Silvio Napoli which will halve the number of direct reports to the CEO. Raja Ramana Macha will join Lucid as CTO with responsibility for the company's technology strategy and engineering execution. He most recently served as EVP and CTO at Eaton. Billy Hayes will join Lucid as Chief Customer Officer, effective immediately. He brings over 25 years of global automotive experience, including senior leadership roles at Nissan and Stellantis. Hugo Martinho will join Lucid as Chief Transformation Officer, effective August 1. He will oversee the new Lucid Business Process function bringing over 20 years of global industrial experience from the Schindler Group, most recently as global head of HR. Kay Stepper has been named President of Lucid Technologies and Chief Digital Officer, effective immediately. Stepper brings over 25 years of experience across the automotive and technology sectors, including leadership roles at Bosch and Qualcomm. Christian Appel has been promoted to VP, Program Management, effective immediately, with responsibility for platform program delivery and product portfolio management. He joined Lucid in April 2025 after over 15 years of automotive experience.XPENG DELIVERIES:XPengannounced its vehicle delivery results for June and the second quarter of 2026. XPeng delivered 40,126 vehicles in June, bringing total second-quarter deliveries to 103,295 units. Additionally, deliveries of GX reached 6,739 units in June and the model's 10,000th unit rolled off the production line. The company expects to debut the XPeng MONA L03 in China on July 2 with presale to commence the same day, followed by a global market launch in July. XPeng's electric vehicles delivered from January to June are expected to reduce life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions by more than 2.66M tons compared to internal combustion engine vehicles.NIO DELIVERIES:Nioannounced its June and second quarter delivery results. The company delivered 40,597 vehicles in June, representing an increase of 62.9% year-over-year. The deliveries consisted of 21,908 vehicles from Nio brand, 11,743 vehicles from Onvo brand, and 6,946 vehicles from Firefly brand. The company delivered 107,658 vehicles in the second quarter, representing an increase of 49.4% year-over-year. Cumulative deliveries reached 1,188,715 as of June 30.LI AUTO DELIVERIES:Li Autoannounced that it delivered 30,895 vehicles in June. As of June 30, Li Auto's cumulative deliveries reached 1,733,687. As of June, Li i6 surpassed 150,000 units in cumulative production. On June 23, the company launched the all-new Li L8, a five-seat SUV. The new Li L6 is set to follow in July. As of June 30, the company had 495 retail stores in 160 cities, 536 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized servicing shops operating in 220 cities. The company also had 4,097 super charging stations in operation equipped with 22,593 charging stalls in China.ENERGY INVERTERS:The Trump administration is drafting an FCC rule that would ban imports of foreign-made power inverters used in solar and battery systems due to national security concerns that China could potentially exploit them to disrupt U.S. electricity infrastructure, Reuters' Alexandra Alper and Sarah Mcfarlane, citing sources. Publicly traded companies in the space include Array Technologies, Canadian Solar, Emeren, Enphase Energy, FTC Solar, First Solar, JinkoSolar, Maxeon Solar, Shoals Technologies, SolarEdge, SunPowerand Sunrun.APPROVAL:Okloannounced that the U.S. Department of Energy, or DOE, has approved the Documented Safety Analysis, or DSA, for Oklo Isotopes' Groves Isotope Test Reactor in Texas under DOE's Reactor Pilot Program, or RPP. The DSA is the facility's final safety basis grounded on a detailed technical analysis of potential hazards, safety controls, and operating requirements needed to support safe startup. The DSA approval follows DOE's approval of the Preliminary Documented Safety Analysis, or PDSA, which established the facility's preliminary safety basis during design and construction. With both the PDSA and DSA approved, Groves moves from the documentation phase into DOE's final pre-startup review. Oklo is targeting first criticality for Groves in July. Groves supports the development of Oklo's isotope business and helps establish a stronger domestic supply chain for critical isotopes used in cancer diagnosis and treatment, advanced manufacturing, scientific research, space exploration, and national security applications.
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- Market Expansion: Tesla's Robotaxi service launched in Miami on Friday, marking its first market outside Texas and California, which signifies a strategic move into the autonomous taxi sector, although the service is currently limited to a specific area in Miami-Dade County.
- Delivery Growth: Tesla reported 480,126 vehicle deliveries in Q2, a 25% year-over-year increase, and despite a 7.5% drop in stock price following the announcement, investor optimism about the Robotaxi business led to a nearly 7% rebound in shares on Monday.
- Operational Challenges: While the Miami launch indicates progress, the Robotaxi service is still in its early stages, with the unsupervised fleet in Austin reportedly limited in size, and early riders have reported long wait times and software glitches, suggesting that the service has not yet reached meaningful scale.
- Lack of Financial Transparency: Tesla has not disclosed key metrics such as Robotaxi revenue, ride volumes, or per-mile costs, leaving investors uncertain about the future contribution of this business, although the company plans to provide more information in its earnings report on July 22 to bolster market confidence.
- Robotaxi Launch: Morgan Stanley highlighted that Tesla's robotaxi service launched in Miami includes unsupervised vehicles, potentially signaling a renewed push in autonomous driving, with a fleet expected to reach 1,500 vehicles by year-end.
- Market Expansion Outlook: The firm anticipates Tesla will roll out robotaxis in Miami, Phoenix, Orlando, Tampa, and Las Vegas by year-end, demonstrating the company's proactive market expansion strategy, although the short-term impact on earnings is expected to be minimal.
- Strong Delivery Data: Tesla reported a robust Q2 with 480,126 global vehicle deliveries, a 25% increase year-over-year, alongside a 41% rise in energy deployments, indicating growth momentum across multiple business segments that may boost investor confidence.
- Investor Sentiment Recovery: Despite a 1% decline in after-hours trading, the positive market reaction to the robotaxi update could alleviate investor concerns regarding Tesla's autonomous technology, with Morgan Stanley analysts suggesting this news may be well-received by the market.
- Market Expansion: Tesla's launch of Robotaxi service in Miami marks its first expansion outside Texas and California, although the service is currently limited to specific areas in Miami-Dade County, which could attract more tourists and local users, thereby enhancing the company's visibility in new markets.
- Delivery Growth: Tesla reported second-quarter deliveries of 480,126 vehicles, a 25% year-over-year increase, and despite a 7.5% drop in stock price, the market remains hopeful about the potential of the Robotaxi business, indicating investor expectations for future growth.
- Operational Challenges: While the Miami launch shows progress, Tesla's Robotaxi service has not yet reached meaningful scale, with the number of unsupervised vehicles reportedly limited and user feedback indicating long wait times and software glitches, suggesting that the service is still in a controlled rollout phase.
- Lack of Financial Transparency: Tesla has not disclosed key metrics such as Robotaxi revenue, ride volumes, or per-mile costs, leaving investors confused about the potential value of this business, with expectations for more information during the earnings report on July 22 to assess its impact on overall financials.
- Record IPO: SpaceX's initial public offering (IPO) set a historic record with an initial valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion, and as of July 2, its market cap has surged to over $2.1 trillion, reflecting strong market confidence in its future potential.
- Diversified Business Transformation: Beyond rocket launches, SpaceX is rapidly expanding its Starlink internet service and xAI artificial intelligence infrastructure, showcasing its potential as a conglomerate and attracting significant investor interest.
- Future Plans Attract Investment: SpaceX's ambitious future plans, including establishing data centers in space and enabling everyday human space travel, spark investor interest, mirroring Tesla's successful trajectory and potentially leading to long-term investment returns.
- High Valuation and Risks: Despite projected revenues of $18.7 billion in 2025, SpaceX's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio stands at 112, indicating high investment risk at current valuations, prompting investors to carefully assess its long-term investment value.
- IPO Performance: SpaceX's initial public offering (IPO) set a record as the largest in history with an initial valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion, and as of July 2, its market valuation has surpassed $2.1 trillion, reflecting strong market confidence in its future prospects.
- Stock Price Volatility: Despite SpaceX's stock remaining relatively flat during its first 15 trading days, experiencing ups and downs, the underlying business potential, particularly with the rapid growth of Starlink and xAI, continues to attract investor interest.
- Business Diversification: SpaceX is transforming from a single rocket launch company into a conglomerate with successful subsidiaries, where Starlink provides internet services to remote areas and xAI boasts significant advantages in artificial intelligence infrastructure, enhancing the company's competitive position in the market.
- Investor Caution: While SpaceX's ambitious future plans are appealing, its current valuation at 112 times the projected $18.7 billion revenue for 2025 raises concerns, prompting investors to be cautious, especially before the company releases its first quarterly earnings report as a public entity.
- Spending Cap: Elon Musk has decided to cap AI spending to control costs, a move that could potentially hinder Tesla's R&D progress in AI, placing it at a competitive disadvantage.
- Market Signal: In 2009, a 'Double Down' signal flashed for Nvidia, and now a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia is showing a similar 'Total Conviction' signal, indicating a potential new investment opportunity in the market.
- Investment Recommendations: Analysts are issuing 'Double Down' stock recommendations for three companies believed to be on the verge of significant growth, urging investors to act quickly before the opportunity slips away, highlighting strong market optimism.
- Tesla Options: Analyst Parkev Tatevosian holds long December 2026 $320 puts on Tesla, suggesting a cautious outlook on Tesla's future stock price, reflecting varying market expectations regarding the company.











