Tesla Q1 EPS Beats Expectations, Price Target Maintained at $510
Institutional investors and professional traders rely on The Fly to keep up-to-the-second on breaking news in the electric vehicle and clean energy space, as well as which stocks in these sectors that the best analysts on Wall Street are saying to buy and sell.From the hotly-debated high-flier Tesla, Wall Street's newest darling Rivian, traditional-stalwarts turned EV-upstarts GMand Fordto the numerous SPAC-deal makers that have come public in this red-hot space, The Fly has you covered with "Charged," a weekly recap of the top stories and expert calls in the sector.Clickto check out Tesla's recent Media Buzz Sentiment as measured by TipRanks.RESULTS:Tesla reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 41c and revenue of $22.39B, both better than the expected 36c and $22.35B. "We are excited about Tesla's positioning in 2026 with tailwinds persisting for the autos business, our continued progress on FSD (Supervised), the ramp of Robotaxi, progress on Optimus ahead of mass production and the growth of our energy production capacity. There remains significant effort and hard work to realize our mission of Amazing Abundance. As always, we are focused on maintaining a rapid pace of innovation in new and exciting technologies - such as electrification, cutting-edge software and artificial intelligence - expanding our lead in advanced manufacturing and increasing supply chain resilience to ensure we manage future risk to our scale. The future is incredibly bright," the company said.On its outlook, Tesla stated, "We are focused on maximum capacity utilization at our factories. Deliveries and deployments will be impacted by aggregate demand for our products, supply chain readiness and allocation decisions between sale to customers or use for our owned and operated fleet. We will manage the businesses such that we ensure a strong balance sheet, maintaining sufficient liquidity to fund our product roadmap, long-term capacity expansion plans - including further vertical integration - and other expenses. While we continue to execute on innovations to reduce the cost of manufacturing and operations, over time, we expect our hardware-related profits to be accompanied by an acceleration of AI, software and fleet-based profits. We continue to evolve and augment our product lineup with a focus on cost, scale and future monetization opportunities via services powered by our AI software. We remain focused on growing our sales volumes through a differentiated and efficiently managed product portfolio, which includes leveraging and optimizing our existing production capacity before building new factories and production lines. Cybercab, Tesla Semi and Megapack 3 are on schedule for volume production starting in 2026. First-generation production lines for Optimus are being installed in anticipation of volume production. Capacity build out and ramp related to our multi-year infrastructure initiatives, including AI compute, solar, battery material and semiconductor manufacturing are underway."Wall Street analysts were somewhat divided on their reactions to the news, with some more bullish than others. Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated an Overweight rating and $510 price target on Tesla shares following the quarterly earnings report. The firm highlighted that Tesla delivered a Q1 beat on revenue, margins, and earnings, including strong free cash flow of $1.44B versus expectations for a significant outflow, though a higher FY26 capex outlook of over $25B implies negative free cash flow for the rest of the year, even as key products like Cybercab, Semi, and Megapack 3 remain on track and the company continues its transition toward autonomy, AI, and robotics amid a year-to-date stock decline.On the flip side, Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan noted that despite the decent Q1, the firm sees a lot of bad news. Capex is now projected to rise to $25B, weighing on free cash flow, and operating expenses increased by $1B year-over-year. However, both are likely to yield limited near-term returns. Musk does not expect the AI5 chip to provide near-term monetization, Optimus and Semi ramps are expected to be slow, the Optimus 3 reveal is now expected closer to production in the second half of the year, and Musk noted Hardware 3 vehicles will need retrofits to achieve FSD capability, requiring "micro-factories." The firm has an Underweight rating on the shares with a price target of $125.PRODUCTION ON TRACK:Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe noted that the company's Illinois factory had its roof "ripped off" and suffered tornado damage last week, but stated in an interview on Bloomberg TV that R2 vehicle production is on track despite the plant damage. He further noted that Rivian still plans $45,000 variant for R2 line over next year.STAKE IN LUCID:Uberdisclosed an 11.52% passive stake in Lucid, which represents over 37.75M shares. As part of Lucid's $300M capital raise on April 14, Uber increased its purchase commitment to at least 35,000 Lucid vehicles designed exclusively for use as part of Uber's future global robotaxi service. Uber has also committed to an additional $200M investment in Lucid, raising Uber's total investments to $500M to date.BNP UPS LI:BNP Paribas upgraded Li Autoto Neutral from Underperform with a HK$70 price target. The company's sales volume weakness of its previous model cycle is now reflected in the shares, the firm tells investors in a research note. BNP points out that Li is currently undergoing generation upgrades of its L-series.BULLISH ON OKLO:Tigress Financial initiated coverage of Oklowith a Buy rating and $130 price target, which represents a potential return of 80%. Oklo is developing the sub-100 MWe Aurora Powerhouse, notes the firm, which calls the stock a "differentiated way to play the emerging U.S. advanced-nuclear and SMR build-out" via its Aurora sodium-cooled fast reactor, High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium-based fuel cycle, and growing ecosystem across data centers, AI, and isotopes.HSBC also initiated coverage of Oklo with a Buy rating and $96 price target. Oklo is accelerating the integration of power, fuels and isotopes production, with the company pioneering an "owner-operator" model for its small modular reactors, the firm tells investors in a research note. HSBC believes the company is positioned to leverage the new Department of Energy-led licensing process for its 75 MW Aurora powerhouses and fuel foundry. The firm says Oklo has a clean balance sheet with "imminent first revenue," creating a good risk/reward at current share levels.
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Tesla's Revenue from SpaceX and xAI: Tesla reported over $500 million in revenue from sales to SpaceX and xAI in its annual update.
Previous Revenue Disclosure: In January, Tesla disclosed that its business dealings with xAI amounted to approximately $430.1 million.
Additional Revenue from SpaceX: The updated report revealed an additional $143.3 million in revenue from SpaceX.
Overall Financial Performance: These figures highlight Tesla's significant financial interactions with both SpaceX and xAI, contributing to its overall revenue growth.
- IPO Initiation: SpaceX has recently filed confidential paperwork with regulators to pave the way for an IPO, targeting a valuation of $1.75 trillion, which would provide the company with $50 billion to $75 billion in fresh capital, significantly enhancing its financial strength for future growth.
- Investment Banking Team Formation: The company has retained a team of investment bankers from 21 different firms, expected to begin pitching IPO shares in early June, indicating SpaceX's confidence in the market and its proactive approach to capital raising.
- Retail Investor Participation: CFO Bret Johnsen stated that retail investors will play a critical role in this IPO, potentially making it the largest in history by number of participants, which not only increases public engagement but also strengthens brand loyalty.
- Major Investor Event: SpaceX is targeting a
- Primary Opposition Support: The progressive wing of Delaware's Democratic Party endorses six candidates against incumbents who supported SB 21, aiming to promote policies more aligned with working-class interests, reflecting strong opposition to the billionaires bill.
- Billionaires Bill Impact: The SB 21 law, effective in 2025, alters how companies utilize independent directors and limits shareholders' access to records, potentially harming minority shareholders and leading to decisions favoring executives' personal interests.
- Musk's Influence: Elon Musk faced legal challenges regarding his record $56 billion pay package in Delaware, ultimately relocating Tesla's incorporation out of state, highlighting the state's vulnerability in attracting businesses and prompting lawmakers to reconsider related legislation.
- Political Shift: The divide within Delaware's Democratic Party over support for the billionaires bill has widened, with Governor Meyer asserting that the law changes were aimed at ensuring predictability and fairness in corporate law, reflecting the tension between business-friendly policies and workers' rights in the state.
- Progressive Endorsements: The Delaware progressive wing of the Democratic Party is endorsing six candidates against incumbent Democrats who supported SB 21, a law criticized for benefiting billionaires like Musk and Zuckerberg, potentially leading to decreased corporate governance transparency and harming minority shareholders' rights.
- Legislative Context: SB 21, effective in 2025, alters how companies utilize independent directors and limits shareholders' access to records during investigations of corporate misconduct, facing widespread opposition from institutional investors and legal scholars who argue it favors board and executive interests over broader investor concerns.
- Electoral Implications: The endorsements reflect a push to shift Delaware's political landscape towards working-class interests, indicating dissatisfaction with current corporate laws and potentially influencing future legislative directions and power dynamics within the Democratic Party, especially ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
- Musk's Influence: Musk's $56 billion pay package has sparked legal disputes in Delaware, raising concerns about corporate relocations, which lawmakers are keen to address, highlighting vulnerabilities in Delaware's status as a business haven and its implications for future corporate governance.
- Sales Recovery: Tesla's sales in Europe surged nearly 45% in Q1 2023, marking a significant recovery after two consecutive years of declines, including a nearly 27% drop in 2025.
- Registration Surge: According to bilstatistik.dk, Tesla's registrations leapt 102% in Denmark in April, while France saw a 112% increase, indicating strong consumer demand for electric vehicles.
- Intensifying Competition: Despite the sales rebound, Tesla was outsold by Chinese EV startup Xpeng in Denmark and BYD in the Netherlands, highlighting the increasing competition in the electric vehicle market.
- Software Approval Boost: Tesla's sales in Europe were further bolstered by the Dutch regulator's approval of its driver-assistance software, which will be sold via a monthly subscription, potentially enhancing the company's market share.
- Charitable Intent: Musk testified that OpenAI should function as a charity, claiming that Altman and Brockman betrayed the initial nonprofit commitment, indicating his deep concerns about the future of AI, which could impact public trust in OpenAI.
- Dependency on Musk: He highlighted that OpenAI's establishment and growth relied on his funding, talent recruitment, and connections with Microsoft and Nvidia, underscoring his indispensable role in the AI landscape, which may affect future funding opportunities for OpenAI.
- AI Safety Discussions: Musk revealed differing views on AI safety during discussions with Google founder Page, emphasizing the necessity of OpenAI's existence, which could influence public awareness and policy-making regarding AI safety.
- Investment Controversy: Musk described Microsoft's $10 billion investment in OpenAI as a











