Strategy Faces $13 Billion Unrealized Loss Amid Bitcoin Slide
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Massive Unrealized Loss: Strategy is facing an unrealized loss exceeding $13 billion as Bitcoin's price drops below $60,000, which under fair-value accounting will flow through the income statement, potentially leading to significant quarterly losses.
- Bitcoin Holdings: The company owns approximately 844,000 BTC, acquired at an average price of $75,600, and its current paper loss surpasses the market capitalization of Dogecoin (around $12.97 billion), highlighting the severity of its asset burden.
- Stock Price Plunge: Strategy's stock has fallen to its lowest level in 28 months, dropping over 81% from its July 2025 high of $457.22, closely tied to the decline in Bitcoin's price, reflecting market concerns about its financial health.
- Market Reaction and Commentary: Long-time Bitcoin skeptic Peter Schiff criticized that Strategy's stock could soon trade at a 40% discount to its Bitcoin value per share, suggesting the company should sell Bitcoin to buy back shares to enhance shareholder value.
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Analyst Views on MSTR
Wall Street analysts forecast MSTR stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 94.130
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
Current: 94.130
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
About MSTR
Strategy Inc. is a bitcoin treasury and business intelligence company. The Company provides cloud-native, artificial intelligence (AI)-powered enterprise analytics software to thousands of global customers. Its Software Business segment is engaged in the design, development, marketing, and sales of enterprise analytics software platform through cloud subscriptions and licensing arrangements and related services. Its Strategy ONE platform provides access to AI-powered workflows, unlimited data sources, cloud-native technologies, and performance to speed up time from data to action. Strategy One delivers visualization, reporting, and embedded analytics capabilities across retail, banking, technology, manufacturing, insurance, consulting, healthcare, public sector, and others. Its Strategy Mosaic is a universal intelligence layer that provides enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Massive Unrealized Loss: Strategy is facing an unrealized loss exceeding $13 billion as Bitcoin's price drops below $60,000, which under fair-value accounting will flow through the income statement, potentially leading to significant quarterly losses.
- Bitcoin Holdings: The company owns approximately 844,000 BTC, acquired at an average price of $75,600, and its current paper loss surpasses the market capitalization of Dogecoin (around $12.97 billion), highlighting the severity of its asset burden.
- Stock Price Plunge: Strategy's stock has fallen to its lowest level in 28 months, dropping over 81% from its July 2025 high of $457.22, closely tied to the decline in Bitcoin's price, reflecting market concerns about its financial health.
- Market Reaction and Commentary: Long-time Bitcoin skeptic Peter Schiff criticized that Strategy's stock could soon trade at a 40% discount to its Bitcoin value per share, suggesting the company should sell Bitcoin to buy back shares to enhance shareholder value.
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- Stock Price Plunge: Strategy's shares have fallen to a 28-month low, currently trading below $85.50, representing an over 81% decline from the July 2025 high of $457.22, indicating significant pressure from the ongoing Bitcoin downturn on the company's stock performance.
- Bitcoin Holding Losses: According to The Block, Strategy faces an estimated $14 billion in unrealized losses on its Bitcoin holdings as the cryptocurrency has dipped below $60,000, leading to substantial financial strain and eroding market confidence in the company.
- Capital Raising Risks: Analysts warn that if MSTR continues to trade below the implied value of its Bitcoin holdings, the company will struggle to raise capital through new equity or convertible securities, potentially leading to cash flow issues that could impact future operations.
- Market Sentiment Shift: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around MSTR shifted from 'bullish' to 'neutral' within 24 hours, reflecting investor concerns about the company's outlook, with some users even suggesting that 'bankruptcy is imminent', indicating a significant decline in market confidence in Strategy.
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- Microsoft Stock Decline: Microsoft's stock hit a 52-week low of $349.20 on Thursday as investors reassessed the financial impact of its aggressive AI expansion, with Stifel cutting its price target from $415 to $400 while maintaining a 'Hold' rating, indicating concerns over future profitability.
- Palantir Under Pressure: Palantir's stock fell to $106.38, extending a seven-day losing streak that reflects skepticism about premium valuations in the enterprise AI software sector, compounded by a legal loss in Switzerland that raises doubts about its international growth prospects.
- Strategy Stock Plunge: Strategy shares dropped to a 52-week low of $85, extending a nearly 25% weekly decline as investor concerns about its financing model and Bitcoin exposure intensified, particularly after Bitcoin fell below $60,000, leading to a significant drop in the value of its preferred stock.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Despite fluctuations in retail sentiment for Microsoft, Palantir, and Strategy, the year-to-date declines of 27%, 39%, and 43% respectively indicate a general caution among investors towards tech stocks amid rising financial pressures.
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- Apple Stock Plunge: Apple Inc. shares fell over 6% after announcing price increases for iPads and MacBooks, primarily due to soaring memory and storage chip costs driven by the AI data center boom, reflecting market concerns about its profitability amid four consecutive days of declines.
- Microsoft Price Hike Impact: Microsoft Corp. saw its stock decline by more than 3% following a price hike on Xbox consoles, with Stifel lowering its price target from $415 to $400 while maintaining a Hold rating, indicating cautious sentiment regarding its future earnings potential.
- Tech Sector Weakness: The Nasdaq Composite index dropped 0.46% as major tech stocks like Apple, Amazon, and Meta experienced declines, highlighting a waning confidence in the tech sector amid broader market weakness.
- Economic Data Affecting Market Sentiment: The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose 4.1% year-over-year, marking a 31-month high, which has intensified market volatility as investors reassess expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, increasing concerns about the economic outlook.
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- Tech Stock Weakness: Apple’s stock fell over 6% after raising prices on Macs, iPads, and Vision Pro to offset memory chip shortages, significantly dragging down the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, highlighting the vulnerability of tech stocks in the current market.
- Chip Sector Strength: Micron Technology’s forecast of $50 billion in Q4 revenue, well above the $43.24 billion consensus, led to a 15% stock surge, bolstering investor confidence in the AI sector and potentially driving growth across related industries.
- Positive Economic Data: Initial jobless claims fell to 215,000, below the expected 225,000, indicating a robust labor market, while May personal spending and income exceeded expectations, suggesting sustained consumer spending that could support the stock market.
- International Market Rally: European and Asian stock markets closed higher, with the Euro Stoxx 50 and Japan’s Nikkei 225 rising by 0.85% and 4.61%, respectively, reflecting global optimism about the US economic recovery, which may provide support for US stocks.
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- Chipmaker Surge: US stocks rose today, led by Micron Technology's forecast of $50 billion in Q4 revenue, significantly above the $43.24 billion consensus, resulting in an 11% stock price increase and bolstering the bullish case for AI trades.
- Positive Economic Indicators: US economic data revealed an upward revision of Q1 GDP to 2.1%, surpassing the expected 1.6%, while weekly initial jobless claims fell by 12,000 to 215,000, indicating a robust labor market that enhances market confidence.
- Improved Inflation Expectations: The May core PCE price index rose 3.4% year-over-year, aligning with expectations, and the 10-year Treasury yield dropped to a 6-week low of 4.36%, providing support for stocks and alleviating investor concerns about rate hikes.
- Apple's Stock Decline: Despite overall market gains, Apple's stock fell over 5% after raising prices on Macs and iPads to offset memory chip shortages, which limited the broader market's upward momentum.
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