Spire to Announce FY Earnings on March 18
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy SPIR?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement: Spire (SPIR) is set to announce its FY earnings on March 18 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.50, reflecting an 88.3% year-over-year decline, indicating significant profitability challenges ahead.
- Revenue Decline: The consensus revenue estimate stands at $71.21 million, representing a 35.5% year-over-year drop, highlighting potential instability in Spire's revenue streams amid competitive pressures.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Spire has only beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, suggesting considerable volatility in its performance and necessitating cautious evaluation from investors regarding future outcomes.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have seen four downward revisions, reflecting a lack of analyst confidence in Spire's upcoming performance.
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Analyst Views on SPIR
Wall Street analysts forecast SPIR stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 10.660
Low
9.00
Averages
11.50
High
14.00
Current: 10.660
Low
9.00
Averages
11.50
High
14.00
About SPIR
Spire Global, Inc. is a global provider of space-based data, analytics and space services, offering datasets and insights about earth so that organizations can make decisions. The Company builds, owns, and operates a fully deployed satellite constellation that observes the earth in real time using radio frequency technology. The data acquired by its satellites provides global weather intelligence, plane movements, and spoofing and jamming detection to better predict how their patterns impact economies, global security, business operations and the environment. It also offers space as a service solution that empowers customers to leverage its infrastructure to put their business in space. It provides customers these solutions through an application programming interface infrastructure. It also offers research and development services to third parties, for the advancement of contracted satellite technologies. It has a presence in the United States, Canada, Luxembourg, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement: Spire (SPIR) is set to announce its FY earnings on March 18 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.50, reflecting an 88.3% year-over-year decline, indicating significant profitability challenges ahead.
- Revenue Decline: The consensus revenue estimate stands at $71.21 million, representing a 35.5% year-over-year drop, highlighting potential instability in Spire's revenue streams amid competitive pressures.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Spire has only beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, suggesting considerable volatility in its performance and necessitating cautious evaluation from investors regarding future outcomes.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have seen four downward revisions, reflecting a lack of analyst confidence in Spire's upcoming performance.
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- Technical Milestone: Spire Global successfully received its first data from the Hyperspectral Microwave Sounder (HyMS) demonstrator satellite, marking the mission's 'first light' milestone and validating its hyperspectral microwave sensing capabilities, thereby enhancing the company's competitive edge in the meteorological data sector.
- Growing Demand for Meteorological Data: As weather-related disruptions increasingly impact industries such as aviation, energy, and agriculture, the demand for high-quality atmospheric data continues to rise, with HyMS expanding Spire's weather sensing capabilities, particularly in data-sparse regions and during severe weather events.
- Innovative Sensing Channels: The HyMS sensor introduces over 1,000 sensing channels for hyperspectral microwave sounding, supporting high-vertical-resolution atmospheric profiling while improving resilience to radio frequency interference in critical microwave weather bands, significantly enhancing forecasting accuracy.
- Collaboration with Global Meteorological Agencies: Spire's weather data is currently utilized by leading meteorological agencies including NOAA, EUMETSAT, and the UK Met Office, indicating its influence and market recognition in the global meteorological monitoring field.
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- Arctic Measurement Innovation: Spire Global has generated Arctic-wide sea ice freeboard maps using its GNSS-Reflectometry technology, validating the significance of commercial satellite data in environmental monitoring and enhancing climate change response capabilities.
- Data Validation and Comparison: The study's results align closely with ESA's CryoSat mission altimetry data, indicating that commercial satellite data can effectively complement government missions, thereby strengthening monitoring capabilities of Arctic environmental changes.
- Technological Advancements Driving Applications: Advances in miniaturization, digital signal processing, and machine learning have enabled Spire Global's RF sensing technology to deliver persistent high-quality data, improving flexibility and cost efficiency in environmental monitoring.
- Market Maturity and Integration: As environmental monitoring demands increase, more agencies are integrating commercial RF datasets into their operational architectures, reflecting the ongoing maturation of the market and the growing importance of commercial infrastructure in government missions.
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- Historic IPO Anticipation: Musk plans a SpaceX IPO in 2026, aiming to raise up to $50 billion, which, if successful, would surpass Saudi Aramco's 2019 record of $29.4 billion, marking a significant milestone in space investing.
- Market Valuation Surge: Post-IPO, SpaceX's valuation is expected to reach $1.5 trillion, nearly doubling its recent $800 billion valuation, which will attract momentum traders and elevate the relative value of other space companies.
- Clear Funding Utilization: The raised funds will be directed towards developing AI data centers and the Starship reusable rocket, helping to reduce launch costs and advance NASA's lunar lander project, further solidifying SpaceX's leadership in the space industry.
- Market Competition Impact: While the SpaceX IPO may elevate the valuations of other space stocks, it could also lead to diminished investor confidence in these stocks, prompting them to sell off to raise funds for SpaceX, thereby affecting the dynamics of the entire space stock market.
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- Investor Attention: SpaceX's planned IPO in 2026 is expected to draw investor interest towards other space stocks, potentially leading to a sell-off of those stocks in favor of SpaceX, thereby reshaping the space investment landscape.
- Potential for Largest IPO: Musk aims to raise up to $50 billion through this IPO, which, if successful, would surpass Saudi Aramco's record of $29.4 billion set in 2019, marking it as the largest IPO in history and enhancing SpaceX's market position.
- Market Valuation Impact: With a projected market valuation of $1.5 trillion, SpaceX's valuation at over 60 times sales will make other space companies like Firefly Aerospace and Planet Labs appear highly attractive, potentially driving their stock prices higher.
- Funding Utilization and Tech Development: The raised funds will be allocated towards developing AI data centers and refining the Starship reusable rocket, helping SpaceX reduce launch costs and solidify its dominant position in the space market, further widening the gap with competitors.
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- Stock Volatility: In 2025, Spire Global's stock experienced significant fluctuations, peaking near $20 and dropping to $7, indicating high market uncertainty regarding its future prospects, necessitating cautious evaluation by investors.
- Improved Financial Position: As of Q3 2025, Spire reported no debt and had $96.8 million in cash and cash equivalents, providing a stable balance sheet despite ongoing challenges with negative earnings and free cash flow, laying a foundation for future growth.
- Optimistic Revenue Forecast: Full-year 2025 revenue is projected at $70.5 million, with approximately $70 million in contracts rolling into 2026, while management anticipates $92 million in revenue for 2026 and break-even operating cash flow by year-end, indicating potential recovery for the company.
- Market Confidence Rebound: The recent launch of nine satellites in collaboration with SpaceX signifies a resurgence of market confidence in Spire, and despite external challenges like the government shutdown, this initiative may pave the way for future sales growth.
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